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Topic dossier · Research Nexus

Risk research dialogue

Systemic risks cross disciplinary lines: a drought becomes a food, health and finance problem, and no single field holds the evidence for the whole chain. Research dialogue is the structured exchange through which disciplines and institutions agree shared questions, compare framings and record where they still disagree. This page sets out how that dialogue is organised, how its quality can be judged, and what it can and cannot settle for the institutions that rely on it.

01In brief

The short answer.

Interdisciplinary risk research dialogue is the structured exchange through which disciplines and institutions agree shared questions about systemic risks, compare how each frames them and record where they still disagree. Its quality shows in who takes part, whether disagreement is written down and whether follow-up research is commissioned.

02Geography

Hazards and exposure in Europe.

For risk research dialogue, in GRF's situational-awareness reading, the map opens on population density, flood water and night lights with clouds now from NASA GIBS, framed on Europe; 3 further NASA layers wait in the list.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Hazards and exposure, for this page

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

For risk research dialogue, in GRF's situational-awareness reading, the map opens on population density, flood water and night lights with clouds now from NASA GIBS, framed on Europe; 3 further NASA layers wait in the list.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · GDACS · NOAA GOES-East ABI GeoColorSources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), VIIRS 375 m active fire product, NASA LANCE; vector tiles via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, © MapLibre contributors.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not official warnings.
  • Live: GDACS (EC JRC / UN OCHA) Events are indicative, not official warnings.
  • Live: NOAA GOES-East ABI GeoColor (CIRA). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Optional layers (12 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026
  • Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
  • True colour: VIIRS NOAA-20 corrected reflectance, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Active fires and thermal anomalies, last day: VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS), NASA LANCE FIRMS · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024

03Console

Evidence synthesis workspace, in outline.

The working screen behind this subject: its structure, terms and states. Names are placeholders and values illustrative.

Evidence synthesis workspace

Risk research dialogue · Science-policy panel · Synthesis SY-05

  • Records found
    4369
  • Screened
    2895Active
  • Included
    53Normal
  • Reviewer agreement
    0.84kappaNormal
ScreeningGRF · Research Nexus

Systematic review

  1. QuestionPICO
  2. Protocolregistered
  3. Search4 databases
  4. Screentwo reviewers
  5. Extractform v2
  6. Appraisecertainty
  7. Briefpolicy owner

Certainty of evidence

Reduced losses4ModerateBenefit
Faster recovery7LowUnclear
Equity of access6Very lowUnclear
Evidence synthesis workspace: the screen's structure, terms and states for Risk research dialogue.Placeholder names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
04The question

Risk research dialogue: how the risk develops.

Cross-disciplinary research themes. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Framings diverge

Each discipline defines the problem, the unit of analysis and acceptable evidence differently. Without explicit translation, groups talk past each other, and a shared word such as resilience carries several incompatible meanings.

Mechanism

Silos are reinforced

Funding calls, journals, promotion criteria and departmental budgets reward work inside one discipline. Cross-disciplinary themes stay under-resourced even when the risk itself is systemic, so gaps sit exactly where risks interact.

Mechanism

Voices are uneven

Dialogue is shaped by who is invited, who can afford to attend and which language is used. Researchers from lower-income settings and holders of non-academic knowledge often arrive late or not at all.

Mechanism

Disagreement is lost

Summaries of dialogue tend to report consensus and drop dissent. When the record loses the reasons for disagreement, later readers mistake an open question for a settled one, and the error travels into policy.

05Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
Interdisciplinary researchResearch that integrates data, methods, concepts or theories from two or more disciplines to answer a question none could answer alone.
Transdisciplinary researchResearch that brings non-academic actors such as officials, operators and communities into defining questions and producing knowledge.
FramingThe way a problem is defined, which shapes what counts as evidence, which disciplines are asked and which options are considered.
06Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Interdisciplinary co-authorship on a risk themepercent of outputs on the themeannualBibliometric recordsOBSERVED
Funding awarded through cross-disciplinary callsnational currency; share of competitive fundingannualFunder award recordsOFFICIAL
Participation in dialogue by region and sectorparticipants by categoryper eventDialogue recordsREPORTED
Recorded points of disagreementcount per dialogue recordper eventDialogue recordsREPORTED
Fields contributing to a themenumber of fieldsannualTopic classification of publicationsESTIMATED
Mentions of dialogue outputs in policy documentscount per periodannualPolicy document indexesREPORTED
Follow-up research commissioned on a themecount of funded projectsannualFunder award recordsOFFICIAL
07Canvas

From sources to decisions.

The topic as a computational graph: named sources feed the methods, an evidence review gates the outputs, and the decisions stay with the authorities that hold them.

Pipeline canvas · Risk research dialogue as a run graphDesign, not a record
Risk research dialogue: systematic evidence synthesisA question is framed with its owner and a protocol registered; records are searched, screened and checked for eligibility by two reviewers; data are extracted, synthesised and graded for certainty before a brief is written. Design of the process, not a record of a run.

Fig. 02Nodes carry their type, two metric rows and a state; connectors show what feeds what; dashed frames name the owners; the timeline is the cadence. Design of the pipeline, not a record of a run.

08Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
OpenAlexOpen index of works, authors, institutions, topics and citations for mapping research themesOpen, CC0
Crossref metadataPublication, funding and update metadata registered by publishersOpen, metadata free to reuse
UNESCO Science ReportPeriodic review of research systems, priorities and cooperation by country and regionFree to read, CC BY-SA IGO
CORDIS (European Commission)Records of EU-funded research projects, partners and outputsFree reuse, attribution
National research council award databasesAwards by programme, discipline and institution, such as UKRI Gateway to Research and NSF award searchOpen Government Licence or public domain, by council
International Science Council publicationsReports on transdisciplinary research and global research prioritiesFree to read, terms per report
09Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Research Nexus prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Research councils and fundersWhether to open a cross-disciplinary call on a risk theme, and how to review proposals that span panelsTheme maps of contributing and missing fields; records of where review panels disagreed
Ministries responsible for scienceWhich systemic risk themes to name in national research prioritiesDialogue records with consensus and dissent kept apart; coverage gaps by discipline
National academies and learned societiesWhether to convene a joint study across disciplines, and on what termsEarlier dialogue records, their participation profile and the open questions they leave
University research officesHow to recognise cross-disciplinary work in hiring and promotionComparative practice from other institutions and the assessment frameworks they use

Outputs this topic produces

  • Research dialogue records with agreements and open disagreements kept apart
  • Theme maps showing which disciplines contribute and which are absent
  • Methods seminars on translating framings between fields
  • Peer learning briefs for institutions convening cross-disciplinary work
10Core questions

What cross-disciplinary dialogue asks.

  • How do different disciplines define and measure the same risk, and can their findings be combined?
  • Which links between systems fall between disciplines and are studied by no one?
  • Where do researchers agree, where do they disagree, and is the disagreement about evidence, methods or values?
  • Which questions from institutions are not being answered by current research?
11Mechanisms

What makes dialogue productive.

Research on interdisciplinary collaboration shows that shared vocabulary matters more than shared methods. Groups that spend time agreeing what terms mean, and that map how their models connect, produce more integrated work. Boundary objects, such as a shared scenario, dataset or diagram, give participants something concrete to work on together.

Dialogue fails when one discipline dominates, when participants defend positions rather than explore them, or when institutional participants are present only as audience. Power imbalances between well-resourced and less-resourced researchers, or between global and local knowledge, can silence important voices unless the process corrects for them.

12Methods and limits

How dialogue is structured.

No format suits every question. Exploratory dialogue on an emerging risk needs openness and time; dialogue on a contested finding needs careful balance and a clear record of each position.

  1. 01

    Structured dialogue formats

    Facilitated sessions with defined questions, balanced participation and recorded outcomes. Limits: depend heavily on facilitation quality.

  2. 02

    Evidence mapping

    Mapping what research exists on a question, across disciplines, before discussion. Limits: maps reflect what is published and indexed.

  3. 03

    Structured expert elicitation

    Formal methods for combining expert views, informed by probability and statistics. Limits: experts share blind spots.

  4. 04

    Disagreement mapping

    Recording where and why participants disagree. Limits: some disagreements cannot be resolved by evidence.

13Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. Policy, institutional and decision scienceComparing science advice systems · Mapping integrity proceduresApplied here
  2. Probability and statisticsBuilding bibliometric indicators · Detecting selective reportingApplied here
  3. Causal inference and impact evaluationEvaluating funder policy changes · Assessing knowledge brokerage schemesApplied here
14Questions

Questions and answers.

What is a research dialogue record?
A structured account of a convened exchange: the question, who took part, the evidence discussed, what was agreed and what remained in dispute, with the reasons. It is a record of deliberation, not a scientific finding.
Why keep disagreement in the record?
Because a later reader needs to know whether a question is settled. Dropping dissent makes an open question look closed, and decisions built on that impression inherit an uncertainty they cannot see.
Does Research Nexus publish research?
No. It hosts dialogue, methods seminars and peer learning. Scientific publication authority remains with GCRI and with authors, journals and institutions under their own peer review.
Which values on this page are real?
The indicator names, units, sources and frameworks are real. No indicator on this page carries a value. Values come from the named holders, under their own terms and labels.
Is dialogue a substitute for research?
No. It connects and interprets research, and it identifies where new research is needed.
Who can propose a dialogue topic?
Researchers and institutions can propose topics through dialogues@globalriskforum.com. Proposals are considered through GRF programme governance.
Are dialogue records peer-reviewed?
No. They are records of discussion, reviewed for accuracy by participants, and labelled as such.
How is balance kept between disciplines?
Participation is planned so that no single discipline or institution dominates, and records note which perspectives were present and which were missing.
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