Reports atKey T
GCRI
Technical truth, key T. GCRI publishes every edition and holds the technical truth key.
Static view: the interactive globe runs where this page’s scripts and WebGL can; every edition is also listed on this page.
Reports · Global Risks Forum
The Reports pillar · Public meaning, key M
Reports at Global Risks Forum
Where every output of the Consortium’s programme is published, in every format, with its sources, its status and its corrections. GRF holds the public meaning of every edition: what a finding means for governance, diplomacy and public trust, and how it is said without overreach. It brings what its councils, dialogues and working groups learn into the series.
- Editions drafted
- 11 of 86
- in stewardship review
- Outputs on this site
- 33
- of 77 formats recorded
- Findings
- 132
- each with its status and source
- Correction notices
- 0
- none yet; nothing released
01Edition index
Every edition, every output, every format.
Filter by region, theme, year and the formats on this site. Each edition opens its outputs, where they came from and how to cite them. An edition is published only when it is deposited with its DOI; until then it stays in stewardship review.
RegionAsia and PacificEuropeGlobalNorth America
ThemeCountry systemsGlobal and sectorStrategic systemsTechnology
Year2026
On this siteWeb editionIndicator dataFigures
On this siteAt release, with the signed bundle and its DOINot recorded for this edition
- JPNJapan 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportAsia and Pacific · Country systems · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Japan Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Japan Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Japan’s Interdependent Systems.
- Indicator data. 17 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Japan baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE data release v1. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Japan Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-JPN-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Japan Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Japan’s Interdependent Systems.
Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record - GLBGlobal Systems 2026Global Systems Risk & Resilience ReportGlobal · Global and sector · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Interdependent Risk, Readiness and Frontier Change.
- Indicator data. 19 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global baseline indicator set 2026, NR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- DC-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Interdependent Risk, Readiness and Frontier Change.
Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record - CANCanada 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportNorth America · Country systems · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Canada’s Interdependent Systems.
- Indicator data. 20 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-CAN-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Canada’s Interdependent Systems.
Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record - USAUnited States 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportNorth America · Country systems · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), United States Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United States Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the United States’ Interdependent Systems.
- Indicator data. 18 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United States baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United States Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-USA-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United States Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the United States’ Interdependent Systems.
Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record - GBRUnited Kingdom 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportEurope · Country systems · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the United Kingdom’s Interdependent Systems.
- Indicator data. 16 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-GBR-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the United Kingdom’s Interdependent Systems.
Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record - FRAFrance 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportEurope · Country systems · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), France Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), France Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of France’s Interdependent Systems.
- Indicator data. 16 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), France baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), France Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-FRA-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), France Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of France’s Interdependent Systems.
Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record - DEUGermany 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportEurope · Country systems · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Germany Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Germany Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Germany’s Interdependent Systems.
- Indicator data. 14 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Germany baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Germany Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-DEU-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Germany Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Germany’s Interdependent Systems.
Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record - ITAItaly 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportEurope · Country systems · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Italy Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Italy Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Italy’s Interdependent Systems.
- Indicator data. 16 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Italy baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Italy Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- NQ-ITA-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Italy Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Italy’s Interdependent Systems.
Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record - GS-01Global Water 2026Global Sector Report · GS-01Global · Global and sector · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Water Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Water Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the World’s Water System.
- Indicator data. 18 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global water baseline indicator set 2026, NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Water Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- DC-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Water Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the World’s Water System.
Reports series · Global Sector Series GS-01 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record - SR-01Global Polycrisis 2026Strategic Systems Report · SR-01Global · Strategic systems · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Polycrisis Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Strategic Systems Report 2026, Global Polycrisis and Cascading Systems Risk, Baseline Edition.
- Indicator data. 19 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Polycrisis baseline indicator set 2026, NR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Polycrisis Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- DC-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Strategic Systems Report 2026, Global Polycrisis and Cascading Systems Risk, Baseline Edition.
Reports series · Strategic Systems Series SR-01 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record - XT-01AI and Agentic Systems 2026Exponential Technology Report · XT-01Global · Technology · 2026 · ◌DRAFTNR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
- Web editionHTMLOn this site
- Print editionPDFAt release
- Indicator dataCSV · JSONOn this site
- FiguresSVG · PNGOn this site
- SlidesPDFNot recorded
- Evidence briefHTML · PDFNot recorded
- Dataset with DOIDataCiteAt release
Outputs, provenance and citation
Outputs
- Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), AI and Agentic Systems Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE.
- Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Exponential Technology Report 2026, Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems, Baseline Edition.
- Indicator data. 15 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), AI baseline indicator set 2026, NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
- Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), AI and Agentic Systems Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
- Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
- Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
- Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.
Provenance
- Edition pack
- The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
- Evidence cut
- DC-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
- Reproducibility
- sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
- Self-check
- 14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
- Review
- five passes scheduled before release
- Publisher of record
- GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
- Corrections
- Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version
Cite as · NR-CIT-1
S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Exponential Technology Report 2026, Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems, Baseline Edition.
Reports series · Exponential Technology Series XT-01 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit
Publication record
11 drafted editions, ordered by family and code, never by value. 75 more Baseline Edition 2026 editions are in preparation and have no outputs yet; they are listed on the programme board.
Baseline Edition 2026Drafted, in stewardship review
- NR NEXUS REPORTS JPN Countries and unions Japan Baseline Edition 2026 The state of Japan’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-JPN-2026-BASELINE In preparation W1
- NR NEXUS REPORTS GLB Global and sector Global Systems Baseline Edition 2026 The State of Interdependent Risk, Readiness and Frontier Change, the global baseline NR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W0
- NR NEXUS REPORTS CAN Countries and unions Canada Baseline Edition 2026 The state of Canada’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W0
- NR NEXUS REPORTS USA Countries and unions United States Baseline Edition 2026 The state of the United States’ interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
- NR NEXUS REPORTS GBR Countries and unions United Kingdom Baseline Edition 2026 The state of the United Kingdom’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
- NR NEXUS REPORTS FRA Countries and unions France Baseline Edition 2026 The state of France’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
- NR NEXUS REPORTS DEU Countries and unions Germany Baseline Edition 2026 The state of Germany’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
- NR NEXUS REPORTS ITA Countries and unions Italy Baseline Edition 2026 The state of Italy’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
- NR NEXUS REPORTS GS-01 Global and sector Global Water Baseline Edition 2026 The state of the world’s water system, access, scarcity, extremes and the couplings to energy, food, health and nature, at the 2026 baseline NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W0
- NR NEXUS REPORTS SR-01 Strategic systems Global Polycrisis Baseline Edition 2026 How crises become entangled, common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, food, energy, finance, health and conflict, at the 2026 baseline NR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W0
- NR NEXUS REPORTS XT-01 Technology Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems Baseline Edition 2026 Artificial intelligence and agentic systems as physical infrastructure, compute, energy, water, chips, labour, safety and governance, at the 2026 baseline NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W0
- 31 December 2026Q1 2027 · State and agenda
- 31 March 2027Q2 2027 · Evidence and build
- 30 June 2027Q3 2027 · Stress test and readiness
- 30 September 2027Q4 2027 · Annual flagship
02Lead edition · Global Systems Risk & Resilience Report
Global Systems 2026
The State of Interdependent Risk, Readiness and Frontier Change, the global baseline.
Abstract
The world enters 2027 more than 1.4 °C warmer than in the late nineteenth century. 2024 was the warmest year on record at 1.55 °C and 2025 the second or third warmest at 1.43 °C; the eleven years 2015–2025 are the eleven warmest observed [1]. Natural disasters caused US$224 billion in losses in 2025, of which US$108 billion was insured, the sixth successive year above US$100 billion insured, driven by floods, storms and wildfires rather than one peak event [2]. Energy-related emissions reached a record 37.8 Gt CO₂ in 2024 [4]; about 673 million people faced hunger [7]; monitored wildlife populations fell by 73% on average between 1970 and 2020 [9]. This Baseline Edition fixes the reference state for the global water, energy, food, health and biodiversity system, maps the couplings through which shocks travel between regions and sectors, and sets the questions the 2027 global edition will answer from national, regional and sector evidence. It ranks no country. It establishes where the evidence stands, what remains uncertain and what to watch.
Headline finding
□REPORTEDNRF-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-FIN-003
Insurers covered about 48% of the US$224 billion in natural-disaster losses in 2025, about 70% in North America, about half in Europe, about 12% in Asia and under a fifth in Africa.
Implication
The protection gap is widest where exposure is growing fastest and fiscal space is thinnest. Uninsured losses become household debt, delayed reconstruction and pressure on public budgets, which feed back into vulnerability before the next event [2] [13] [18].
03Read the record
One coupled system, every edition, every finding.
Across scales, through this site’s lens, the headline findings and the six pillars: one reading at a time.
One coupled system, read from the planet to the country.
Every edition assesses the same five core systems and the twenty couplings between them, at its own scale. Read together, they show where shocks travel, where they loop back and amplify, and where national context changes the picture.
- Planetary and sector2 of 16 drafted
Strong in every drafted edition at this scale (11): WAT → ENE, WAT → FOO, WAT → HLT, WAT → BIO, ENE → FOO, ENE → HLT, FOO → WAT, FOO → HLT, FOO → BIO, BIO → WAT, BIO → FOO.
- Strategic systems1 of 14 drafted
Strong in every drafted edition at this scale (11): WAT → ENE, WAT → FOO, WAT → HLT, WAT → BIO, ENE → FOO, ENE → HLT, FOO → WAT, FOO → HLT, FOO → BIO, BIO → WAT, BIO → FOO.
- Technology systems1 of 20 drafted
Strong in every drafted edition at this scale (11): WAT → ENE, WAT → FOO, WAT → HLT, WAT → BIO, ENE → FOO, ENE → HLT, FOO → WAT, FOO → HLT, FOO → BIO, BIO → WAT, BIO → FOO.
- Regional0 of 10 draftedIn preparation; no edition at this scale is drafted yet.
- National7 of 26 drafted
Strong in every drafted edition at this scale (8): WAT → FOO, WAT → BIO, ENE → FOO, ENE → HLT, FOO → HLT, FOO → BIO, BIO → WAT, BIO → FOO.
Reinforcing loops · 3 pairs
- WAT ⇄ FOOWater and foodGLBGS-01SR-01XT-014 of 11
- WAT ⇄ BIOWater and biodiversityJPNGLBCANUSAGBRFRADEUITAGS-01SR-01XT-0111 of 11
- FOO ⇄ BIOFood and biodiversityJPNGLBCANUSAGBRFRADEUITAGS-01SR-01XT-0111 of 11
Where a shock enters one system of a loop it returns amplified through the other; these are the pairs the 2027 stress tests read first. Pairs not listed carry at least one direction rated moderate or weak in every edition.
Where the editions differ · 3 of 20
- WAT → HLTWater to health
- JPN Moderate
- GLB Strong
- CAN Moderate
- USA Moderate
- GBR Moderate
- FRA Moderate
- DEU Moderate
- ITA Moderate
- GS-01 Strong
- SR-01 Strong
- XT-01 Strong
- FOO → WATFood to water
- JPN Moderate
- GLB Strong
- CAN Moderate
- USA Moderate
- GBR Moderate
- FRA Moderate
- DEU Moderate
- ITA Moderate
- GS-01 Strong
- SR-01 Strong
- XT-01 Strong
- WAT → ENEWater to energy
- JPN Strong
- GLB Strong
- CAN Strong
- USA Strong
- GBR Moderate
- FRA Strong
- DEU Strong
- ITA Strong
- GS-01 Strong
- SR-01 Strong
- XT-01 Strong
The other 17 couplings carry the same strength in all 11 editions. Strong everywhere: WAT → FOO, WAT → BIO, ENE → FOO, ENE → HLT, FOO → HLT, FOO → BIO, BIO → WAT, BIO → FOO. Strengths are programme estimates (◆ ESTIMATED) from cited evidence and analogue events; a word, never a score.
The twenty couplings
| From, to | WAT | ENE | FOO | HLT | BIO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WAT | · | varies | Str | varies | Str |
| ENE | Mod | · | Str | Str | Mod |
| FOO | varies | Wea | · | Str | Str |
| HLT | Wea | Wea | Mod | · | Wea |
| BIO | Str | Mod | Str | Mod | · |
Every edition, read through public meaning, key M.
One reading at a time. Each lens is a projection of the edition’s reviewed findings, never a separate argument.
For most people risk arrives as an earthquake alert, a heat wave or a typhoon warning. The baseline asks that public debate weigh how an older, smaller population changes who can evacuate, who can respond and how fast places recover.
For most people global risk arrives as a price rise, a heat wave or a flood, and its burden depends on where they live. The baseline asks that public debate weigh the couplings and the distribution of losses, not a list of separate threats.
For most Canadians risk arrives as a smoke-filled summer, a flooded basement or a higher premium. The baseline asks that these be read as one system, so that public debate is about the couplings, and about who carries the uninsured share.
For most Americans risk arrives as a smoke-filled summer, a power cut in a heat wave or a non-renewed home policy. The baseline asks that these be read as one system, and that public debate weigh who carries the losses insurance no longer covers.
For most people risk arrives as a heatwave in a home built for cold, a flooded street or a hosepipe ban. The baseline asks that these be read as one system, and that debate weigh who carries the costs of flooding as cover changes.
For most people risk arrives as a heatwave, a cracked wall or a water restriction. The baseline asks that these be read as one system, and that public debate weigh how the CatNat regime shares costs as claims rise.
For most people risk arrives as a flooded valley, a heatwave or an energy bill. The baseline asks that these be read as one system, and that public debate weigh who carries flood losses when nearly half of homes are uninsured.
For most people risk arrives as a heatwave, a flooded street or a crack after an earthquake. The baseline asks that these be read as one system, and that public debate weigh who carries the losses when fewer than one home in ten is insured.
For most people water risk arrives as a dry tap, a flooded street or a higher food price. The baseline asks that public debate treat water as shared infrastructure for health, food and energy, and that the 2.2 billion without safe water stay at its centre.
For most people global risk arrives as a price rise, a heat wave or a flood, and its burden depends on where they live. The baseline asks that public debate weigh the couplings and the distribution of losses, not a list of separate threats.
For most people AI arrives as a tool at work, a change in a job or a new data centre nearby. The baseline asks that public debate weigh the physical and social footprint of AI, power, water, work and access, alongside its benefits.
The headline finding of each edition.
Filter by family; each row opens the finding at its anchor. The observatory holds all 132 findings with filters by status and system.
Every drafted edition, ordered by family and code, never by value.
7 drafted countries editions.
2 drafted global and sector editions.
1 drafted strategic edition.
1 drafted technology edition.
- JPNJapanThe 2025 revision of the Nankai Trough damage estimate gives a worst case of about 298,000 deaths and ¥292 trillion in damage, with tsunami the leading cause of death.□REPORTED NRF-COUNTRY-JPN-SEI-004
- GLBGlobal SystemsInsurers covered about 48% of the US$224 billion in natural-disaster losses in 2025, about 70% in North America, about half in Europe, about 12% in Asia and under a fifth in Africa.□REPORTED NRF-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-FIN-003
- CANCanadaInsurance has covered about 54% of societal catastrophe losses in Canada over 43 years; in 2025, C$1.0 billion of C$3.4 billion in societal losses was uninsured.□REPORTED NRF-COUNTRY-CAN-FIN-003
- USAUnited StatesNorth America carried US$133 billion of the US$224 billion in global natural-disaster losses in 2025; about US$93 billion, roughly 70%, was insured.□REPORTED NRF-COUNTRY-USA-FIN-002
- GBRUnited KingdomAbout 6.3 million properties in England, roughly one in four, are in areas at risk of flooding from rivers, the sea or surface water, potentially rising to around 8 million by 2050.□REPORTED NRF-COUNTRY-GBR-WAT-006
- FRAFranceNuclear output fell to 279 TWh in 2022, the lowest since 1988, as stress-corrosion repairs coincided with heat and low river flows that limited cooling; output recovered to about 362 TWh in 2024.□REPORTED NRF-COUNTRY-FRA-ENE-004
- DEUGermanyThe floods of July 2021 killed more than 180 people in Germany, 135 in the Ahr valley, and caused damage of about €40 billion, while only about 54% of homes carried natural-hazard insurance.□REPORTED NRF-COUNTRY-DEU-WAT-004
- ITAItalyItaly recorded 18,010 heat-related deaths in the summer of 2022, the highest number of any European country, and a further 12,743 in 2023.□REPORTED NRF-COUNTRY-ITA-HLT-004
- GS-01Global WaterIn 2022, 2.2 billion people lacked safely managed drinking water and 3.5 billion lacked safely managed sanitation, and 2 billion lacked basic hygiene facilities at home.□REPORTED NRF-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-WAT-001
- SR-01Global PolycrisisInsurers covered about 48% of the US$224 billion in natural-disaster losses in 2025, about 70% in North America, about half in Europe, about 12% in Asia and under a fifth in Africa.□REPORTED NRF-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-FIN-003
- XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsData centres used about 415 TWh of electricity in 2024, about 1.5% of the world total, and the IEA projects about 945 TWh by 2030, driven mainly by accelerated servers for AI.□REPORTED NRF-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-ENE-001
How Reports connects the six pillars.
Foundry builds and seals the evidence, Universe tests it in the annual programme, Nexus Standards codifies it, Reports publishes it and Risk Academy teaches it. These are the handoffs into and out of Reports.
- F03 Sealed observations and indicator series Foundry Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).
- F04 After-action and scenario findings for Universe After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).
- F05 National Portfolio movement for chapter Foundry National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).
- Applied in editions Standards Nexus Standards: applied in editions.
- Quarterly edition Reports Reports at GRF publishes it in every format, with its sources, status labels, citation and corrections.
- F06 Method and correction findings as change Standards Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).
- F12 Q4 synthesis informs the next-year Universe Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).
- Taught in the open Academy Risk Academy: taught in the open.
Handoffs come from the programme spine (F01 to F14); each runs in a named phase of the annual cycle.
| Handoff | Between | What crosses, and when |
|---|---|---|
| F03 | Foundry to Reports | Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout). |
| F04 | Universe to Reports | After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review). |
| F05 | Foundry to Reports | National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review). |
| Ring | Nexus Standards to Reports | Nexus Standards: applied in editions. |
| F06 | Reports to Nexus Standards | Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction). |
| F12 | Reports to Universe | Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal). |
| Ring | Reports to Risk Academy | Risk Academy: taught in the open. |
Select pillars · hover lines16 / 18 handoffs
handoff in playrecorded handoffno direct handoff
Programme yearAll phases
Route
Around Reports
The pillars Reports hands work to and receives it from.
L · F · U · S · R · A
- Pillars
- 5 of 6
- Handoffs
- 16 of 18
- Loops
- 16 closed
Handoffs in play
- F01Universe → Foundry · Admitted mission becomes a cycle project with a decision caseReadiness preparation
- F02Foundry → Universe · Core Build Report and go or no-go evidenceControlled build
- F03Foundry → Reports · Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profileCloseout
- F04Universe → Reports · After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13After-action review
and 12 more
- LabsWhere questions become experiments and prototypes: new methods, data and tools are tried in the open, with their limits on record, before the Foundry builds them, under the Nexus Consortium.Labs
- FoundryWhere things are built, simulated and prepared: every output of GCRI, GRF and the Global Risks Alliance (GRA), under the Nexus Consortium.Foundry
- UniverseWhere everything comes together in the annual programme, with GCRI, GRF and GRA each contributing in its role and capacity.Universe
- Nexus StandardsWhere all standards are developed, corrected and applied, in the open, with adoption decided by each jurisdiction.Nexus Standards
- ReportsWhere all outputs are published, in all formats, across its five sites, each with sources, limits and corrections.Reports at GRFReports
- Risk AcademyWhere everything is taught in the open, in real locations and for impact, by learning on real cycle work.Risk Academy
The pillars through the programme year, with the Reports edition of each quarter
| Pillar | Q1 · State and Agenda | Q2 · Evidence and Build | Q3 · Stress Test and Readiness | Q4 · Annual Synthesis and Renewal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labs | Opens the year’s experiments on the questions the mandate names | Runs prototypes in short cycles; hands reproducible ones to the Foundry | Tests ideas alongside Action Week; records what failed and why | Writes up every experiment; proposes next year’s questions |
| Foundry | Opens cycle projects; National Portfolio baseline | Qualifies sources; one-month controlled build | Runs simulations in Action Week; releases temporary capacity | Supplies data bundles; registers capability gaps |
| Universe | Annual mandate (G0) | Missions admitted (G1), qualified (G2), build accepted (G3) | Action Week (G4), stand-down, evidence sealed (G5) | Publication authorised (G6), renewal (G7) |
| Standards | Routes missions to standards | Composes profiles; validates the build | Monitors conformance; findings become proposals | Council review; adopted changes published |
| Reports | State and Agenda edition | Evidence and Build edition | Stress Test and Readiness edition | Annual Synthesis, the flagship |
| Academy | Pathways open; cohorts enrol | Qualification courses; learning on the build | Exercise assessments; completion records | Course revisions; next cohorts open |
04Take part
Corrections, editions, contributions and the release path.
Every version and notice, every edition by country, region, system or series, how to bring evidence, how an edition reaches the open record, and the four sister sites.
Every version, and every notice.
A correction is a new version with a published notice. The log lists each edition’s versions and notices from its own publication record.
0correction notices. No edition has been released yet, so none can be corrected; the log below lists each edition’s current version.
| Edition | Version | Date | State | Change | Notice |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JPN | NR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
| GLB | NR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
| CAN | NR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
| USA | NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
| GBR | NR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
| FRA | NR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
| DEU | NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
| ITA | NR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
| GS-01 | NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
| SR-01 | NR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
| XT-01 | NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 | October 2026 | Draft | Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition, | None |
Notice types: erratum, addendum, supersession, withdrawal. A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable, and no edition is ever edited in silence. How corrections work
By country, region, system or series.
86 Baseline Edition 2026 editions in five families and seventeen series. Drafted editions open here; the rest are in preparation, wave by wave, and named where the programme names them.
86 editions in five families. 10 drafted and in stewardship review; the rest in preparation, wave by wave.
26 countries and unions editions, published in the Country Systems Risk and Resilience series.
10 regions editions, published in the Regional Systems series.
16 global and sector editions, published in the Global Sector Risk and Resilience series.
14 strategic editions, published in the Strategic Systems series.
20 technology editions, published in the Exponential Technology series.
The seventeen Reports series. Each baseline edition opens one series; the operational series report quarterly from Q1 2027.
- Global Systems Risk and Resilience1Reads
- Country Systems Risk and Resilience26Reads
- Country Quarterly0Reads
- Regional Systems10Leads
- Global Sector Risk and Resilience15Reads
- Strategic Systems14Reads
- Exponential Technology20Feeds
- Foresight Outlook0Leads
- Scenario and Stress-Test0Feeds
- Methods and Technical0Reads
- Labs Evidence0Reads
- Foundry Build and Readiness0Reads
- Observatory Signal0Reads
- Universe Annual Synthesis0Leads
- Portfolio and Readiness0Feeds
- Finance and Insurance Readiness0Feeds
- Evidence Brief0Leads
Drafted, in stewardship reviewIn preparation
ACountries and unions26
- CANCanadaW0
- USAUnited StatesW1
- GBRUnited KingdomW1
- FRAFranceW1
- DEUGermanyW1
- ITAItalyW1
- JPNJapanW1
- EUEuropean UnionW1
- CHESwitzerlandW1
- MEXMexicoW2
- BRABrazilW2
- ARGArgentinaW2
- TURTürkiyeW2
- RUSRussian FederationW2
- SAUSaudi ArabiaW2
- AREUnited Arab EmiratesW2
- ZAFSouth AfricaW2
- SENSenegalW2
- KENKenyaW2
- AUAfrican UnionW2
- INDIndiaW2
- CHNChinaW2
- KORRepublic of KoreaW2
- IDNIndonesiaW2
- SGPSingaporeW2
- AUSAustraliaW2
CRegions10
- C-01Region 1 of 10Subject set at commissioningW3
- C-02Region 2 of 10Subject set at commissioningW3
- C-03Region 3 of 10Subject set at commissioningW3
- C-04Region 4 of 10Subject set at commissioningW3
- C-05Region 5 of 10Subject set at commissioningW3
- C-06Region 6 of 10Subject set at commissioningW3
- C-07Region 7 of 10Subject set at commissioningW3
- C-08Region 8 of 10Subject set at commissioningW3
- C-09Region 9 of 10Subject set at commissioningW3
- C-10Region 10 of 10Subject set at commissioningW3
DGlobal and sector16
- GLBGlobal SystemsW0
- GS-01Global WaterW0
- GS-02Global EnergyW4
- GS-03Global Food and agrifoodW4
- GS-04Global HealthW4
- GS-05Global Finance and economyW4
- GS-06Global DevelopmentW4
- GS-07Global ClimateW4
- GS-08Global DisasterW4
- GS-09Global InfrastructureW4
- GS-10Global CitiesW4
- GS-11Global BiodiversityW4
- GS-12Global Earth observationW4
- GS-13Global Cyber and digitalW4
- GS-14Global Policy and institutionsW4
- GS-15Global Science and engineeringW4
EStrategic14
- SR-01Global PolycrisisW0
- SR-02Strategic system 2Subject set at commissioningW5
- SR-03Strategic system 3Subject set at commissioningW5
- SR-04MineralsW5
- SR-05Fiscal resilienceW5
- SR-06Strategic system 6Subject set at commissioningW5
- SR-07Food, water and energyW5
- SR-08Strategic system 8Subject set at commissioningW5
- SR-09Planetary boundariesW5
- SR-10Digital public infrastructureW5
- SR-11Strategic system 11Subject set at commissioningW5
- SR-12Strategic system 12Subject set at commissioningW5
- SR-13Strategic technologyW5
- SR-14Strategic system 14Subject set at commissioningW5
FTechnology20
- XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic SystemsW0
- XT-02Technology 2Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-03Technology 3Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-04Technology 4Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-05Technology 5Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-06SemiconductorsW6
- XT-07Technology 7Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-08Technology 8Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-09Technology 9Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-10Technology 10Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-11Technology 11Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-12Technology 12Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-13Technology 13Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-14Technology 14Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-15Technology 15Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-16Technology 16Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-17Technology 17Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-18Technology 18Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-19Technology 19Subject set at commissioningW6
- XT-20Technology 20Subject set at commissioningW6
- W0Pilots: one of each type and the global anchor
- W1Major economies and unions
- W2Further countries and the African Union
- W3Ten regions
- W4Global sector editions
- W5Strategic system editions
- W6Technology editions
Bring evidence, a correction or a case to the next edition.
Call for contributions · GW-GRF
Experts and practitioners: bring what you know to the next edition.
Researchers, practitioners, public bodies, companies, communities and students can contribute through Global Risks Forum. Material received before the next evidence cut is reviewed for that edition by the key that owns its subject, and credited if it is used.
- EvidenceEvidence layer of the next edition; cited with its release
- CorrectionA published notice and, where upheld, a new version
- Case studyA boxed case in a chapter or an Evidence Brief
- Analysis or methodMethods and Technical series, or a chapter annex
- Peer reviewThe edition’s review record
- TranslationA translated edition linked to its source version
- Profile inputThe profile’s next quarterly update
Anything sent through a gateway or a Zenodo community request gets one record, one screening, one review by the key that owns its subject and a decision with a reason.
| Step | What happens | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 01 You bring something | Evidence, a case, a correction, a method, a review, a translation or input to a profile: anyone can contribute, with or without an account. | |
| 02 Two routes in | Send it through the Global Risks Forum gateway (GW-GRF), or deposit your own record on Zenodo and submit it to the Reports community. Both routes reach the same review. | |
| 03 Screening | The editorial office checks rights, licence, personal data, safety and scope. Material that fails is returned with the reason. | |
| 04 The owning key reviews | The Global Risks Forum turns the meaning key: its steward checks that each finding is said without overreach, endorsement or judgement of public figures. A subject owned by another key goes to that steward instead. | |
| 05 A decision with a reason | The series editor uses it, holds it for a later edition or declines it, and the reason is recorded either way. | |
| 06 Credited in the record | Used material enters the edition record with a UNI and your CRediT role; Nexus material is published under CC BY 4.0. | |
| 07 Citable, found and taught | The edition’s version DOI carries the credit, the metadata flows to ORCID, OpenAIRE and OpenAlex, and Risk Academy can teach from the cited edition. |
A teaching model of the process, not a forecast and not a record of any run; dates and counts on this page come from the programme record. Sources: Reports governance at Global Risks Forum (2026); Zenodo, repository of record for Reports deposits (2026); ORCID, contributor identifiers (2026).
Contribution composer
Write a contribution the editor can act on.
Say what it is, where its record is kept and on which licence. It arrives tagged with this page, its area and its gateway, so it reaches the editor who owns it.
Your email opens with the subject and a template already filled in for GW-GRF.
- Evidence
- Correction
- Case study
- Analysis or method
- Peer review
- Translation
- Profile input
Never send personal data or sensitive infrastructure detail. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights.
How an edition reaches the open record.
The quarterly release, step by step, with the pillar that runs each step and its source.
Every edition is built from a sealed evidence cut, reviewed under three keys, signed and deposited before any site shows it as published; corrections go to Nexus Standards as change proposals and feed the next cut.
| Step | What happens | Source |
|---|---|---|
| 01 Evidence arrives from the pillars | Foundry seals observations and indicator series, Universe hands over after-action and scenario findings, and contributions are screened at every gateway, including this site’s. | |
| 02 The cut is sealed | On the cut date the evidence is pinned under one identifier, so anyone can rebuild the edition from exactly what it was built on. | |
| 03 The edition is assembled | The edition is drafted from its template and content pack. Agents may draft; they never publish and never decide. | |
| 04 The keys turn | The Global Risks Forum turns the meaning key: its steward checks that each finding is said without overreach, endorsement or judgement of public figures. No edition moves on until every key has been turned by a named steward. | |
| 05 The gate opens | A named approver releases one exact digest of the edition; any change after this point is a new version, never a silent edit. | |
| 06 Signed and deposited | The PDF, the web edition and the data bundle are signed together with a manifest and an RO-Crate description, and deposited on Zenodo with a concept and a version DOI. | |
| 07 Published on five sites | Only then do the five Reports sites show the edition as published, each reading it through its own lens. | |
| 08 Corrections go to Standards | Method and correction findings go to Nexus Standards as change proposals; citations, corrections and new contributions feed the next evidence cut. |
A teaching model of the process, not a forecast and not a record of any run; dates and counts on this page come from the programme record. Sources: Reports governance at Global Risks Forum (2026); Zenodo, repository of record for Reports deposits (2026).
Every edition reads the Index.
Every value an edition carries is indexed through The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX) on Nexus Standards: its series, its country profile, its source and its licence.
- 01 · Sources205 registered sourcesEvery value keeps its source and licence; withheld values are counted.Data and licences
- 02 · Nexus StandardsNIS-1 and NHS-1451 indicators, 905 hazards; every record carries a UNI.Nexus Standards
- 03 · The Index54 series, 195 country profilesComputed on the standards; no value is published until an edition is released.The Global Risks Index
- 04 · This pageReportsMaps, figures and feeds read the Index in the context of hazards, climate, conflict.Public API
Sources205registered, each with its licence
Indicators451NIS-1, 106 composites, 20 domain indices
Hazards905NHS-1, crosswalked to UNDRR-ISC HIPs
Series54global, sector, strategic, technology, thematic
Country profiles195one site per country
Series in this context hazards, climate, conflict
- GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap…NXS-GRX-AR-000002Hazards · Climate · Conflict
- THDisaster Risk Intelligence (DRI)Signals, observations, event streams, geospatial layers and scenario packs turned into structured risk intelligence for preparedness and planning.NXS-GRX-AR-000111Hazards · Climate · Conflict
- GSGlobal CitiesUrban exposure, heat, flooding, informal settlement, service dependency and the economic weight of cities at risk.NXS-GRX-AR-000068Hazards · Infrastructure · Climate
- GSGlobal ClimateChronic and acute physical climate hazard, transition exposure, adaptation gaps and scenario pathways to 2030, 2050 and 2100.NXS-GRX-AR-000065Climate · Hazards · Finance
Country profiles the world
Every country profile carries the source and licence of each value. Correct a value or reply
Hazard domains NHS-1
- Atmosphere and weatherNXS-GRX-AR-000135
- Solid EarthNXS-GRX-AR-000138
- Systemic and compound eventsNXS-GRX-AR-000148
Geodata and API open
Open layers on an equal-area hexagon grid, shown as densities per km² or as symbols: People · GHSL 2025People · WorldPop 2025Built-up areaPortsAirportsRoadsRailwaysRivers and lake centrelines
/api/v1/public/grix · https://nexustandards.com/uni/{uni}
Developers · Data · Made with Natural Earth, Public domain; GHSL and WorldPop, CC BY 4.0
Snapshot of the Index registries pinned 2026-10-23 · 22c6eed. Research and risk-analytics information: not a rating, an official classification, a warning, a benchmark or advice.
Five sites, one publication.
Every edition is published on all five sites and read through each institution’s lens; each site has its own gateway into the next edition.
Reports atKey F
Global Risks Alliance
Capital meaning, key F. Global Risks Alliance holds the capital-meaning key; country, sector and strategic editions carry its finance lens.
Reports atStandards review
Nexus Standards
Standards and regulatory watch. Nexus Standards reviews the standards each edition applies; sector and technology editions read most against them.
Reports atLearning review
Risk Academy
Literature and evidence review. Risk Academy teaches what the editions find; country, sector and technology editions feed its curriculum.
ReportsContribute
Contribute to the next edition.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
Global Risks Forum
- EmailGateway GW-GRFSend it from this pageEvidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.
- ZenodoOpen depositDeposit it and submit to the communityPublish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.
- ReportsGlobal Risks ForumSee every way to contributeThe contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.
Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.