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Test in Universe

The mission themes Governance Nexus brings to the annual Universe programme, governed by The Global Risks Forum, with its own website at universe.nexus.

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01Contents

Test in Universe in five parts.

In this dossier5 parts
  1. 01Six pillarsUniverse among the six pillars
  2. 02Missions from governanceTesting who decides when the named holder is missing
  3. 03ThemesMission themes from this field
  4. 04How testing worksControlled, reviewed and reversible
  5. 05SourcesWhere this page’s references lead
02Six pillars

Universe among the six pillars.

Where everything comes together in the annual programme, with the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), GRF and the Global Risks Alliance (GRA) each contributing in its role and capacity. It is led by the Nexus Consortium; its home is universe.nexus.

Select pillars · hover lines16 / 18 handoffs

Route

Around Universe

The pillars Universe hands work to and receives it from.

L · F · U · S · R · A

Pillars
5 of 6
Handoffs
16 of 18
Loops
16 closed

Handoffs in play

  • F01Universe → Foundry · Admitted mission becomes a cycle project with a decision caseReadiness preparation
  • F02Foundry → Universe · Core Build Report and go or no-go evidenceControlled build
  • F03Foundry → Reports · Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profileCloseout
  • F04Universe → Reports · After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13After-action review

and 12 more

F01 to F14 are the recorded handoffs of the programme year, each with the artefact that moves and its phase; R1, R2, R3 and R4 carry work around the ring. A loop counts when every pillar on it is selected. Every pillar is led by the Nexus Consortium.
  1. LabsWhere questions become experiments and prototypes: new methods, data and tools are tried in the open, with their limits on record, before the Foundry builds them, under the Nexus Consortium.Labs
  2. FoundryWhere the evidence behind a mandate or commitment is built, with its owner and limits on record.Governance Nexus in FoundryFoundry
  3. UniverseWhere mandates become missions: GRF records each gate, convenes the parties and keeps implementation accountable.Governance Nexus in Universeuniverse.nexus
  4. Nexus StandardsWhere shared rules are agreed in the open; each jurisdiction decides adoption, and no global body holds a veto.Foundations and Governance in Standardsnexustandards.com
  5. ReportsWhere governance analysis and the year’s results are published, so commitments can be followed and checked.Governance Nexus in ReportsReports
  6. Risk AcademyWhere policymakers, diplomats and agency staff learn the programme roles and decision-making on the record, on Risk Academy.Faculty of Governance, Policy and International Affairs in Academyrisksacademy.com

Universe in every area of the work

AreaUniverse
LeadershipGRF steers the annual programme and records each gate decision from G0 to G7, with dissent kept on the record.
StrategyNational and regional priorities become the year’s missions; the annual mandate at gate G0 sets which missions the programme takes on.
CadenceOne year to prepare, one month to build, one week to act and test in Q3, a planned stand-down, then review and renewal in Q4.
OwnershipOwns the cycle mandate, mission admission decisions, gate decisions, after-action records and the renewal decision.
ProcessTwelve phases, from planning to renewal, each closed by a gate or a record.
DevelopmentDevelops national demand into admitted, qualified missions, and carries the lessons into the next mandate.
SimulationsTests work under exercise control in Action Week with independent evaluators; nothing simulated is reported as observed impact.
ReportingAuthorises publication of the year’s results at gate G6 and supplies after-action and scenario findings.
GovernanceGRF governs the programme; a cycle gate is a programme decision, not a public-authority approval.
Data and evidenceRun, decision and observation records from Action Week are sealed at closeout, gate G5.
Finance and resourcingData, people and resource offers are qualified before the build at gate G2; an offer is not an allocation.
Risk and assuranceExercise controls and stop-work events keep Action Week controlled, reversible and independently evaluated.
ParticipationGovernments, agencies, researchers, finance, civil society and communities take part through missions, tracks and national contributions.
CommunicationMission themes are presented as proposals until admitted, and confirmed exercises are announced with their gate record.
LocalExercises run on named places and systems, under exercise control.
NationalNational demand forms the agenda, and national counterparts own the agenda, data and decisions.
RegionalRegional programmes contribute missions that cross borders.
PlanetaryThe annual programme brings national and regional work together once a year.

What each institution brings

PillarGCRIGRFGRA
UniverseIts technical office prepares the scientific and data readiness of each mission.Stewards and governs the programme: the mandate, gates G0 to G7, convening and Action Week.Runs finance-readiness dialogues on what each mission means for finance and insurance.
03Missions from governance

Testing who decides when the named holder is missing.

Governance missions exercise delegation: what happens when the person named in a plan is unreachable, when two bodies both claim authority, or when an escalation trigger is met at night.

04Process

How the process runs.

Process explorer · Process

Test in Universe: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

10 steps4 stages

Process

Test in Universe: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability

In IPCC AR6 Working Group II, climate risk results from interactions between hazards and a system’s exposure and vulnerability, and responses can add risk.

  1. 01 Drivers

    1. 01HazardDataset · Civil society observerThe potential occurrence of a natural or human-induced physical event or trend that may harm people, property, services or ecosystems.
    2. 02ExposureDataset · Civil society observerThe presence of people, livelihoods, species, ecosystems, infrastructure or assets in places and settings that could be adversely affected.
    3. 03SensitivityDataset · Civil society observerThe degree to which a system or species is affected, either adversely or beneficially, by climate variability or change.
    4. 04Capacity to cope and adaptDataset · Civil society observerThe ability of systems, institutions, humans and other organisms to adjust to damage, take opportunities or respond to consequences.

  2. 02 Assessment

    1. 05Risk from responsesComponent · Civil society observerRisks from climate responses arise when responses miss their objectives, or from trade-offs or negative side effects.
    2. 06VulnerabilityComponent · Civil society observerThe propensity or predisposition to be adversely affected. It includes sensitivity to harm and lack of capacity to cope and adapt.
    3. 07RiskModel · Governance NexusRisk results from dynamic interactions between hazards and the system’s exposure and vulnerability. Each may be uncertain and change.

  3. 03 Response

    1. 08Risk management and responseStep · Civil society observerRisk management is plans, actions, strategies or policies that reduce the likelihood or size of adverse consequences.
    2. 09Residual riskRecord · Civil society observerThe climate impact risk that remains after adaptation and mitigation efforts. Adaptation can redistribute risk between areas and groups.

  4. 04 Decision

    1. 10Decision by the responsible partyDecision · Civil society observerThe framing names no single decision maker. Decisions on responses rest with the responsible party under its own rules.

Outline of an external standard or method, from its public sources. It describes what the framework says, not a record of any run. It does not show that Nexus or any partner performs, certifies or approves a step. A gate is a step of the method, never a Nexus approval.

05Themes

Mission themes from this field.

  1. 01

    Programme governance and gates

    Proposed for controlled testing in the annual programme; a theme is not a confirmed exercise.

06How testing works

Controlled, reviewed and reversible.

Selected work is tested under controlled conditions, reviewed and then published with its limits. Results that pass go to Reports. The planned stand-down of each edition keeps review, reconciliation and corrections going after the event.

07Sources

Where this page’s references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

08Questions

Questions and answers.

Where is Universe?
It has its own website at universe.nexus. GRF governs the programme.
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