GRF · Foresight Nexus
技术未来
Emerging and converging technologies, from artificial intelligence and synthetic biology to quantum computing and space 系统, change faster than the institutions that govern them. Their futures are shaped by research, investment, standards, regulation and public acceptance together. This page sets out how technology foresight works, why impacts are hard to anticipate before a technology is locked in, and which institutions hold the decisions on research funding, standards, regulation and export controls.
Technology futures: how the risk develops.
Emerging and converging technology. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.
Convergence and recombination
Technologies seldom change the world alone. Advances in computing, biology, materials and data combine in ways that no single field anticipates, and the consequential futures often sit at their intersections.
The Collingridge dilemma
Early in a technology’s life its impacts are hard to foresee but it is easy to shape; once impacts are clear, it is embedded in markets, infrastructure and habits and is hard to change. Anticipatory governance works in that early window.
Hype and diffusion
Expectations rise and fall faster than capability. Foresight that follows attention tends to overstate near-term change and understate long-term change; diffusion depends on cost, complements, skills and regulation, not capability alone.
Governance gaps
Standards, liability rules, export controls and safety regimes lag capability. Gaps open between jurisdictions and between regulators whose mandates were drawn for earlier technologies.
北极地区的危害与风险暴露。
Population density, flood water and night lights over the Arctic, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.
交互式地图需要JavaScript;图层列表和来源见下文。
图层 3
本页面的危害与暴露
关于此图层
- 证据
- 估计值
- 来源
- 世界网格化人口 v4.11(NASA SEDAC(哥伦比亚大学 CIESIN))
- 提供方
- NASA SEDAC(CIESIN,哥伦比亚大学)
- 许可协议
- CC BY 4.0
- 年份版本
- null;基于人口普查的估算,静态(2020)
- 分辨率
- 约 1 公里网格
- 不确定性
- 基于普查的 2020 年每平方公里人口估算,作为风险暴露背景展示;不是受任何危害影响的人口数。
- 可通过以下方式到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov,仅在您允许加载实时地图后访问
关于此图层
- 证据
- 观测(云层造成缺口)
- 来源
- VIIRS 全球洪水产品(NASA LANCE)
- 提供方
- NASA LANCE
- 许可协议
- NASA 开放数据
- 年份版本
- 每日;卫星探测;云层造成缺口
- 构建时的最新内容
- 2026-10-14
- 分辨率
- 约 250 米网格
- 不确定性
- 卫星探测;云层造成缺口。按提供方发布的原样提供的卫星或模型栅格数据。云层、扫描带缺口和反演误差会造成缺口和噪声;这些数值是指标,不是某一地点的测量值。
- 可通过以下方式到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov,仅在您允许加载实时地图后访问
关于此图层
- 证据
- 观测
- 来源
- VIIRS 黑色大理石(VNP46A2)(NASA LAADS DAAC)
- 提供方
- NASA LAADS DAAC
- 许可协议
- NASA 开放数据
- 年份版本
- 每日;卫星辐亮度,已校正月光和大气影响
- 构建时的最新内容
- 2026-10-12
- 分辨率
- 约 500 米网格
- 不确定性
- 所示日期的卫星夜间辐亮度;灯光是用电和停电情况的代理指标,不是对供应或可及性的测量。
- 可通过以下方式到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov,仅在您允许加载实时地图后访问
关于此图层
- 证据
- 观测(云层和过境时间造成缺口)
- 来源
- VIIRS NOAA-20 375 米(FIRMS)(NASA LANCE FIRMS)
- 提供方
- NASA LANCE FIRMS
- 许可协议
- NASA 开放数据
- 年份版本
- 每日;卫星探测;云层和过境时间造成缺口
- 构建时的最新内容
- 2026-10-13
- 分辨率
- 约 500 米网格
- 不确定性
- 所示日期的卫星热点探测结果,包括天然气火炬和工业热源;不是已确认的火情、事件报告或预警。
- 可通过以下方式到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov,仅在您允许加载实时地图后访问
关于此图层
- 证据
- 观测(持续云层仍会造成缺口)
- 来源
- VIIRS NOAA-20 3 级产品,8 日(NASA LANCE)
- 提供方
- NASA LANCE
- 许可协议
- NASA 开放数据
- 年份版本
- 8 日;卫星 8 日合成;持续云层仍会造成缺口
- 构建时的最新内容
- 2026-09-14
- 分辨率
- 约 1 公里网格
- 不确定性
- 截至所示日期的 8 天内地表的卫星表面温度,是一项热风险暴露指标;不是气温、热指数或高温预警。
- 可通过以下方式到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov,仅在您允许加载实时地图后访问
关于此图层
- 证据
- 观测
- 来源
- VIIRS NOAA-20 校正反射率(NASA LANCE)
- 提供方
- NASA LANCE
- 许可协议
- NASA 开放数据
- 年份版本
- 每日;卫星图像
- 构建时的最新内容
- 2026-10-14
- 分辨率
- 约 250 米网格
- 不确定性
- 卫星图像。卫星或模型栅格数据,按提供方发布的原样呈现。云层、条带缺口和反演误差会造成缺口和噪声;数值是指标,而非某地的测量值。
- 可通过以下方式到达
- gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov,仅在您允许加载实时地图后访问
键盘操作,地图获得焦点时
按住 Ctrl 或 ⌘ 并滚动以缩放
最新可用
NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap贡献者 (ODbL) · Natural Earth
正在加载最新的NASA影像。
拖动以移动。按住 Ctrl 或 ⌘ 并滚动、双指缩放或使用按钮缩放;悬停可查看指针下的数值;重置可返回该区域。
北极地区的危害与风险暴露。NASA 发布的卫星和模型产品,各带自己的日期。它们是指标,而非对任何地点的评估。
数据:NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap 贡献者 · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · 美国地质调查局 · NASA GPM IMERG Early来源与许可
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA 开放数据
- We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA 开放数据
- Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). 采用 CC BY 4.0 许可。颜色依据已发布的色标重绘;显示处的数值已按六边形网格平均(经修改)。 doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
- VIIRS 近实时产品(洪水、地表温度、积雪覆盖、校正反射率),NASA LANCE;影像来自 NASA GIBS。颜色依据已发布的色标重绘;显示处的数值已按六边形网格平均(经修改)。 NASA 开放数据
- VIIRS Black Marble 夜间灯光,NASA 戈达德航天中心;由 NASA Level-1 与大气档案和分发系统(LAADS DAAC)分发;影像来自 NASA GIBS。颜色依据已发布的色标重绘;显示处的数值已按六边形网格平均(经修改)。 NASA 开放数据
- NASA 资源管理火灾信息系统(FIRMS),VIIRS 375 m 活跃火点产品,NASA LANCE;矢量瓦片来自 NASA GIBS。颜色依据已发布的色标重绘;显示处的数值已按六边形网格平均(经修改)。 NASA 开放数据
- ASTER GDEM 是 METI 和 NASA 的产品(ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003,NASA LP DAAC);影像来自 NASA GIBS。颜色依据已发布的色标重绘;显示处的数值已按六边形网格平均(经修改)。引用格式:NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA 开放数据
- 使用 Natural Earth 制作。免费矢量和栅格地图数据,见 naturalearthdata.com。 公有领域
- © OpenStreetMap 贡献者(ODbL),经由 NASA GIBS(海岸线、边界、道路和地名)。颜色依据已发布的色标重绘;显示处的数值已按六边形网格平均(经修改)。 ODbL
- Blue Marble,NASA Earth Observatory;影像来自 NASA GIBS。颜色依据已发布的色标重绘;显示处的数值已按六边形网格平均(经修改)。 NASA 开放数据
- 地球仪和平面地图上的背景信息:海岸线、边界、道路和地名来自 NASA GIBS 参考图层(OpenStreetMap 数据,ODbL,© OpenStreetMap contributors);Blue Marble 影像可作为可选底图;3D 地形和高程读数来自 ASTER GDEM 高程色彩指数(5 m 至 200 m 分级,为便于辨识而作了夸张处理)。边界按已发布的样式绘制,不代表对任何领土的立场。
- 实时事件:NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker(EONET);事件仅供参考,并保留其原始来源链接。
- 实时:NASA EONET。事件仅供参考,不是主管机构的预警。
- 实时:美国地质调查局。事件仅供参考,不是主管机构的预警。
- Live: NASA GPM IMERG Early. We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
- 河流流量预报,30天及区间(GloFAS,经Open-Meteo):包含经修改的Copernicus Emergency Management Service 2026年信息;非洪水警报。
- 天气数据来自 Open-Meteo.com (https://open-meteo.com/), 依据 CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). 授权。
- 可选图层(图层列表中有 11 个来源:实时、预报、观测和背景)开启时会在地图上和此处显示其提供方署名;预报是模型输出,派生指数是估计值。
图层与日期
- 人口密度,2020 年:人口:哥伦比亚大学 CIESIN,世界网格化人口 v4.11(2018),NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · 静态
- 洪水水体,3 日合成:VIIRS 全球洪水产品,NASA LANCE · 2026年10月14日
- 夜间灯光,每日:VIIRS Black Marble(VNP46A2),NASA LAADS DAAC · 2026年10月12日
- 活跃火点与热异常:VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m(FIRMS),NASA LANCE FIRMS · 2026年10月13日
- 地表温度,日间,8 天合成:VIIRS NOAA-20 3 级产品,8 天,NASA LANCE · 2026年9月14日
- 真彩色:VIIRS NOAA-20 校正反射率,NASA LANCE · 2026年10月13日
衡量什么,以及衡量得如何。
每个指标都注明其单位、频率、背后的来源类型以及数值将附带的证据标签。此处不显示数值:数值由计划依据其自身权限提供。
| 指标 | 单位 | 节奏 | 来源类型 | 标签 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patent families in emerging technology classes | count of families | 年度 | Patent office records | 已发布统计 |
| Research publications in emerging fields | count of articles | 年度 | Bibliometric databases | 观测 |
| Government budget allocations for research and development | 每年本国货币金额 | 年度 | Budget statistics | 已发布统计 |
| Technology readiness assessments | technology readiness level | 每次评估 | Structured expert assessment | 估算 |
| Reported incidents involving AI 系统 | count of incidents | 每月 | 事件数据库 | 已报告 |
| Regulatory and standards instruments adopted | count of instruments | 每季度 | Policy and standards trackers | 已发布统计 |
| Accuracy of resolved technology forecasts | Brier 评分 | per question set | Forecasting platform records | 已报告 |
比较文书:规则、激励和信息。
三类文书与基线并列比较,各有其滞后和采纳速度,在你设定的覆盖率和遵守率下运行;效应量是教学数值,应以证据替换。情景:关于未来的明示假设,不是预测。本页地图显示的是北极;模型本身不限于某一地点。
控制措施
- 结果的基线趋势
- 每年 2.0%
- 该工具的覆盖范围
- 70%
- 合规
- 75%
- 效应量,相对于教学取值
- 100%
- 未来年数
- 20 年
读数
- 期末时点降幅最大
- 监管
- 相对基线的降幅
- 21%
数字、方法与来源
| 年份 | 基线 | 监管 | 经济激励 | 信息与能力 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100.0 | 99.5 | 98.8 | 99.1 |
| 1 | 102.0 | 101.2 | 100.1 | 99.8 |
| 2 | 104.0 | 102.5 | 101.1 | 99.9 |
| 3 | 106.1 | 103.5 | 101.6 | 100.0 |
| 4 | 108.2 | 103.7 | 101.8 | 100.7 |
| 5 | 110.4 | 103.2 | 101.7 | 102.1 |
| 6 | 112.6 | 102.0 | 101.6 | 103.9 |
| 7 | 114.9 | 100.4 | 101.6 | 105.9 |
| 8 | 117.2 | 99.2 | 102.1 | 108.0 |
| 9 | 119.5 | 98.6 | 102.9 | 110.1 |
| 10 | 121.9 | 98.9 | 104.2 | 112.3 |
| 11 | 124.3 | 99.7 | 105.7 | 114.5 |
| 12 | 126.8 | 101.1 | 107.4 | 116.8 |
| 13 | 129.4 | 102.7 | 109.4 | 119.2 |
| 14 | 131.9 | 104.5 | 111.4 | 121.6 |
| 15 | 134.6 | 106.5 | 113.5 | 124.0 |
| 16 | 137.3 | 108.5 | 115.7 | 126.5 |
| 17 | 140.0 | 110.7 | 118.0 | 129.0 |
| 18 | 142.8 | 112.9 | 120.4 | 131.6 |
| 19 | 145.7 | 115.1 | 122.8 | 134.2 |
| 20 | 148.6 | 117.4 | 125.2 | 136.9 |
方法
- 政府工具 Hood (1983), The Tools of Government, Macmillan
- 胡萝卜、大棒与说教 Bemelmans-Videc, Rist and Vedung (1998), Transaction
- 创新扩散 Rogers (2003), Diffusion of Innovations, Free Press
- 不确定性扇形图(参数蒙特卡罗) Spiegelhalter, Pearson and Short (2011), Visualising uncertainty about the future, Science 333
- 单因素敏感性(龙卷风图) Saltelli and others (2008), Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer, Wiley
数据
The model runs on the teaching values set by the controls. To calibrate it for a place, read it against these admitted layers and series, which this page’s map can draw:
- 边界 Natural Earth
- 城市 Natural Earth
贯穿六大支柱,由 Nexus Consortium 牵头
证据来自何处。
具名公共数据集与机构记录,各自注明许可类别。依协议获得的来源仅按其条款使用,绝不再次发布。
| 来源 | 它提供什么 | 许可类别 |
|---|---|---|
| OECD.AI 政策观察站 | National AI policies, research and investment indicators across countries | OECD terms, free with attribution |
| Stanford AI Index | Annual compilation of research, technical performance, investment and policy data on AI | CC BY-ND 4.0 |
| WIPO PATENTSCOPE and WIPO Technology Trends | Patent records and technology landscape studies | WIPO terms of use |
| AI Incident Database (Responsible AI Collaborative) | Public records of harms and near-harms involving AI 系统 | Open access, database terms |
| OECD Main Science and Technology Indicators | Research spending, personnel and patent indicators by country | OECD terms, free with attribution |
| arXiv metadata | Preprint records for tracking the emergence of research fronts | CC0 for metadata |
| Metaculus and Good Judgment Open question records | Public forecasts on technology milestones with resolution records | Platform terms of use |
从授权到评估,按支柱划分。
一项文书从授权到评估所经历的步骤,每一步都标明负责运行的支柱,以及仍由当局作出的决定。这是带有明示说明性数值的教学模型,不是预测。本页地图显示的是北极;模型本身不限于某一地点。
- 授权与问题界定 主管当局(计划之外)
主管当局依其自身规则界定问题和授权。 Howlett、Ramesh 和 Perl(2009) - 证据与系统模型 Foundry
对系统及其反馈、数据和已说明的局限进行建模。 OECD (2014),原则 2 - 在情景下评估备选方案 Foundry
在情景下比较各项政策工具,并显示不确定性。 Hood (1983) - 与利益相关方演练 宇宙
在演练中与将实施和承担这些方案的各方一起检验方案。 OECD(2014),原则 3 - 起草标准或指南 Nexus Standards
行之有效的做法被编纂为标准或指南,并公开征求意见。 Nexus Standards 流程 - 由主管当局决定 主管当局(计划之外)
主管当局在计划之外,依据记录在案的证据作出决定。 Howlett、Ramesh 和 Perl(2009) - 能力与培训 Risk Academy
负责实施的人员接受关于所决定文书及其数据的培训。 仙台框架(2015),优先事项 2 - 监测与公开报告 报告
指标连同来源、局限和更正一并发布。 OECD(2014),原则 5 - 评估与修订 Nexus Standards
结果反馈至标准和模型:循环闭合。 Howlett、Ramesh 和 Perl(2009)
方法
- 政策周期 Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009), Studying Public Policy, Oxford University Press
- 关键风险治理 OECD(2014),Recommendation of the Council on the Governance of Critical Risks
- 有向图的分层绘制 Sugiyama, Tagawa and Toda (1981), IEEE SMC 11
贯穿六大支柱,由 Nexus Consortium 牵头
由谁决定,以及证据服务于什么。
Foresight Nexus 负责准备证据。以下决定由所列主管机构依据其自身规则作出,绝不由平台作出。
| 谁来决定 | 问题 | 本页面服务的证据 |
|---|---|---|
| Science, technology and innovation ministries | Where public research funding should anticipate convergence rather than follow single fields | Bibliometric and patent evidence on emerging fronts, with expert readiness assessments and their uncertainty |
| AI, data protection and telecommunications regulators | Which emerging uses fall outside current mandates and need guidance or rules | Incident records, capability trajectories and the governance gaps they reveal |
| Standards bodies and national standards institutes | When a technology is mature enough for a standard and what it should cover | Readiness assessments, diffusion scenarios and the interests of affected parties |
| Trade and export control authorities | Which dual-use technologies need controls and how to review them as capability moves | Technology trajectories, convergence maps and forecasts with their track records |
该主题产生的产出
- Technology outlooks that separate capability, diffusion and governance
- Convergence maps linking research fronts across fields
- Scenario sets for regulatory and standards bodies
- Reviews of past technology forecasts against what happened
Exercise a cascade in technology futures with the people who decide.
Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile 子孙后代与长期风险: the hazards it names, the 系统 and communities that carry the loss, the controls and institutions that dampen it and the data that observe it. Pick an initiating event and step through the cascade to see where mandates meet and which decisions fall to whom. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every weight is a stated assumption. An exercise for dialogue, not a forecast, an assessment or a position. To model a place of your own choosing, open the full System Builder.
灾害
- Nuclear war
- 溃坝
- 金融传染
- Cryptographically relevant quantum computer
- 河流洪水(在下游引发)
- Flash flood (set off downstream)
- 大规模流离失所(在下游引发)
- Nuclear detonation (set off downstream)
- Health-system overload (set off downstream)
- Data breach (set off downstream)
- Mass account takeover (set off downstream)
- Harvest-now, decrypt-later collection (set off downstream)
- 大范围停电(在下游引发)
- 供水短缺(在下游引发)
- Sovereign debt crisis (set off downstream)
- Currency crisis (set off downstream)
- Nuclear winter (set off downstream)
- High-altitude electromagnetic pulse (set off downstream)
系统与耦合
- 子孙后代与长期风险
- 全球巨灾风险与生存性风险标准 机制
- 气候适应与转型风险 机制
- 全球与系统性风险 共同驱动因素
- 前沿技术风险标准 机制
控制措施
NS-0章程与原则NS-9情境 UNI(部署、实例、计划实例)NS-10政策和条款(机器可读的义务:定义、约束、评估和执行)NS-11验证与监测(证据、证明、零信任符合性观测)NS-13标准制定流程(公开提案、审查、版本管理、采纳)NRS-U12宇宙 platform profile: Foresight NexusNRS-H26危害类别:土地与湿地退化(NHS-1 eco.land)NRS-H92危害类别:老化与退化的基础设施(NHS-1 infra.ageing)NRS-P4前瞻、地平线扫描与战略NRS-H11危害类别:沿海与海平面危害(NHS-1 water.coastal)NRS-H31危害类别:持久性和生物累积性物质(NHS-1 poll.persistent)
观测
- Our World in Data datasets (listed for reference)
- CMIP6 气候预估(Copernicus Climate Data Store)(仅列作参考)
- World Bank Open Data 和 World Development Indicators API(仅列作参考)
- Number of countries with mechanisms in place to enhance policy coherence of sustainable development
示例地理范围
- 孟加拉国:134 个六边形单元
- 今夜夜间灯光与停电(VIIRS 昼夜波段),NASA GIBS
- 穿透云层的地表水,30 m(OPERA DSWx-S1 雷达),NASA GIBS
- 过去半小时降雨率(IMERG),NASA GIBS
- 地表土壤湿度(SMAP),NASA GIBS
从业者提出的问题。
- How quickly could a technology mature, spread and change the 系统 it touches?
- Where could technologies converge to produce effects that none would cause alone?
- How can governance prepare before a technology’s effects are clear?
- Who benefits and who bears the risks of technological change?
- How can hype be separated from substantive change?
How technology futures is governed: instruments, mandates and commitments.
政策制定者、外交官或发展机构所使用的文书、授权、行为方和问责安排,并注明设定它们的协定。结构遵循所列框架。所绘制的任何状态或进展均为说明性,并非记录。
政策工具矩阵
The kinds of instrument available on technology futures, by level of government and cooperation.
| 工具类型 | 地方 | 国家 | 区域 | 全球 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 监管型 | 分区、建筑规范 | 法律、标准、许可 | 统一规则 | 公约与条约 |
| 经济 | 地方税费、拨款 | 预算项目、税收、保险计划 | 风险池,区域基金 | 融资机制 |
| 信息 | 地方预警 | 披露、预警、统计 | 数据共享安排 | 全球监测与报告 |
| 制度型 | 地方委员会 | 牵头机构,协调理事会 | 区域机构与秘书处 | 多边授权 |
| 合作型 | 社区协议 | 伙伴关系契约 | 谅解备忘录与联合计划 | 协定与共同承诺 |
驱动因素与动态。
Technological change rarely follows a straight line. Many technologies pass through cycles of inflated expectations and disappointment before finding lasting uses, while others arrive faster than expected when costs fall or complementary technologies mature. Convergence, such as artificial intelligence applied to biology or materials science, can accelerate change in unexpected directions.
Governance faces a well-known dilemma: early in a technology’s life, its effects are hard to foresee but easy to shape; later, effects are clear but the technology is entrenched. Anticipatory governance responds by building foresight, public engagement and adaptive regulation into the early stages of development. Regulatory sandboxes, staged approvals and review clauses are examples of tools that let rules evolve as evidence accumulates.
Why now: AI, biotechnology and quantum technologies are developing faster than the institutions that will govern them. Foresight Nexus scans and builds scenarios for technology change, and passes the governance questions it raises to the platforms and dialogues that can take them up.
如何开展。
- 01
Technology scanning
Tracking research, patents, investment and deployment to assess maturity and pace.
- 02
专家意见征询
Structured methods such as Delphi gather and compare expert judgements on timelines and impacts.
- 03
情景分析
Exploring how technologies could interact with social and economic forces, using 情景设计与压力测试.
- 04
局限
Expert timelines are often wrong in both directions, adoption depends on social and economic factors that are hard to predict, and commercial interests can shape available information.
问题与解答。
Can technology breakthroughs be predicted?
Why does governance lag technology?
What is anticipatory governance of technology?
Can technology timelines be forecast reliably?
What is anticipatory governance?
Does Foresight Nexus assess specific products?
由谁审查该主题的覆盖范围?
从本页贡献证据。
报告 is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
- 电子邮件网关 GW-GRF从本页发送证据、更正、案例、方法、审查、翻译或概况投稿。它会带上本页标签送达,由负责的编辑接收。
- Zenodo开放存缴存缴并提交到社区用您的 ORCID iD 在 Zenodo 上发布您自己的记录,然后提交到那里的 Reports 社区。由策展人审核;DOI 仍归您所有。
- 报告全球风险论坛(Global Risks Forum)查看所有贡献方式贡献类型、各自的评审方式、您获得的署名、许可协议,以及绝不接受的内容。
切勿发送个人数据、敏感基础设施细节或您无权分享的任何内容。贡献在使用前会经过审查;发送贡献不赋予署名权或编辑权,赞助也绝不能换取研究结论。
法律文件。
显示全部 18 份法律文件
本网站上的地图、数据和图表仅作为背景和一般信息展示。它们不是建议、预测或预警;信息的局限见免责声明和数据说明。