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GRF · Disaster and Crisis Governance

Test in Universe

The mission themes Disaster and Crisis Governance brings to the annual Universe programme, governed by The Global Risks Forum, with its own website at universe.nexus.

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01Sequence

The order things happen in.

  1. 01QuestionNational, regional or institutional priority
  2. 02EvidenceSTEM foundation of the platform
  3. 03BuildFoundry
  4. 04OrganiseNexus ecosystem
  5. 05TestUniverse (independent site)
  6. 06PublishReports
  7. 07DecideCompetent authorities and institutions, through NXS-RLS (participants, agreements and handoffs)
  8. 08RenewCorrections and the next annual agenda
02Six pillars

Universe among the six pillars.

Where everything comes together in the annual programme, with the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), GRF and the Global Risks Alliance (GRA) each contributing in its role and capacity. It is led by the Nexus Consortium; its home is universe.nexus.

Select pillars · hover lines16 / 18 handoffs

Route

Around Universe

The pillars Universe hands work to and receives it from.

L · F · U · S · R · A

Pillars
5 of 6
Handoffs
16 of 18
Loops
16 closed

Handoffs in play

  • F01Universe → Foundry · Admitted mission becomes a cycle project with a decision caseReadiness preparation
  • F02Foundry → Universe · Core Build Report and go or no-go evidenceControlled build
  • F03Foundry → Reports · Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profileCloseout
  • F04Universe → Reports · After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13After-action review

and 12 more

F01 to F14 are the recorded handoffs of the programme year, each with the artefact that moves and its phase; R1, R2, R3 and R4 carry work around the ring. A loop counts when every pillar on it is selected. Every pillar is led by the Nexus Consortium.
  1. LabsWhere questions become experiments and prototypes: new methods, data and tools are tried in the open, with their limits on record, before the Foundry builds them, under the Nexus Consortium.Labs
  2. FoundryWhere the evidence behind a mandate or commitment is built, with its owner and limits on record.Disaster and Crisis Governance in FoundryFoundry
  3. UniverseWhere mandates become missions: GRF records each gate, convenes the parties and keeps implementation accountable.Disaster and Crisis Governance in Universeuniverse.nexus
  4. Nexus StandardsWhere shared rules are agreed in the open; each jurisdiction decides adoption, and no global body holds a veto.Hazards and Disaster Risk Reduction in Standardsnexustandards.com
  5. ReportsWhere governance analysis and the year’s results are published, so commitments can be followed and checked.Disaster and Crisis Governance in ReportsReports
  6. Risk AcademyWhere policymakers, diplomats and agency staff learn the programme roles and decision-making on the record, on Risk Academy.Faculty of Hazards, Disasters and Resilience in Academyrisksacademy.com

Universe in every area of the work

AreaUniverse
LeadershipGRF steers the annual programme and records each gate decision from G0 to G7, with dissent kept on the record.
StrategyNational and regional priorities become the year’s missions; the annual mandate at gate G0 sets which missions the programme takes on.
CadenceOne year to prepare, one month to build, one week to act and test in Q3, a planned stand-down, then review and renewal in Q4.
OwnershipOwns the cycle mandate, mission admission decisions, gate decisions, after-action records and the renewal decision.
ProcessTwelve phases, from planning to renewal, each closed by a gate or a record.
DevelopmentDevelops national demand into admitted, qualified missions, and carries the lessons into the next mandate.
SimulationsTests work under exercise control in Action Week with independent evaluators; nothing simulated is reported as observed impact.
ReportingAuthorises publication of the year’s results at gate G6 and supplies after-action and scenario findings.
GovernanceGRF governs the programme; a cycle gate is a programme decision, not a public-authority approval.
Data and evidenceRun, decision and observation records from Action Week are sealed at closeout, gate G5.
Finance and resourcingData, people and resource offers are qualified before the build at gate G2; an offer is not an allocation.
Risk and assuranceExercise controls and stop-work events keep Action Week controlled, reversible and independently evaluated.
ParticipationGovernments, agencies, researchers, finance, civil society and communities take part through missions, tracks and national contributions.
CommunicationMission themes are presented as proposals until admitted, and confirmed exercises are announced with their gate record.
LocalExercises run on named places and systems, under exercise control.
NationalNational demand forms the agenda, and national counterparts own the agenda, data and decisions.
RegionalRegional programmes contribute missions that cross borders.
PlanetaryThe annual programme brings national and regional work together once a year.

What each institution brings

PillarGCRIGRFGRA
UniverseIts technical office prepares the scientific and data readiness of each mission.Stewards and governs the programme: the mandate, gates G0 to G7, convening and Action Week.Runs finance-readiness dialogues on what each mission means for finance and insurance.
03Missions from this field

The core of the annual exercises.

Planned missions exercise warning-to-action chains, multi-agency coordination and the reception of international relief across a border, with injects that remove a key agency or channel.

04Process

How the process runs.

Process explorer · Process

Test in Universe: Food early warning to action

9 steps4 stages1 gate

Process

Test in Universe: Food early warning to action

The IPC gives a five-phase scale and protocols for acute food insecurity, which FEWS NET applies; the IPC classifies but sets no triggers or response.

  1. 01 Monitoring

    1. 01Market pricesDatasetFood prices are one of the data types analysts use with the IPC.
    2. 02Crop conditionsDatasetCrop and vegetation conditions inform the outlook. The page read lists post-harvest surveys and seasonal calendars.
    3. 03RainfallDatasetRainfall data is another input.

  2. 02 Analysis

    1. 04Seasonal outlook and scenariosModelFEWS NET produces a current status map and two projection maps for the eight-month outlook. A guidance document covers scenarios.
    2. 05Food security analysis by areaModel · MunicipalityClassification rests on converging evidence and IPC reference tables. An area takes a phase when at least 20% of people are in it or worse.

  3. 03 Triggers

    1. 06Trigger checkGate · MunicipalityA programme can test projected phases against triggers agreed in advance. The IPC does not define them; the response plan does.

  4. 04 Action

    1. 07Early actionsStepIf the trigger is met, a plan can release pre-agreed actions before the lean season, for example cash or seed support.
    2. 08Response planStep · MunicipalityA response plan covers the case where the shock deepens.
    3. 09Release of fundsDecision · MunicipalityThe funder or coordinating body decides whether to release funds and records the decision.

Neutral outline of a published external standard or method, from its issuing body. Not a record of operation. Nexus does not perform, certify or approve any step shown. A gate or decision belongs to the party the source names. FEWS NET uses IPC 3.1 for current and projected outcomes.

05Themes

Mission themes from this field.

  1. 01

    Multi-agency crisis exercise

    Proposed for controlled testing in the annual programme; a theme is not a confirmed exercise.

06How testing works

Controlled, reviewed and reversible.

Selected work is tested under controlled conditions, reviewed and then published with its limits. Results that pass go to Reports. The planned stand-down of each edition keeps review, reconciliation and corrections going after the event.

07Sources

Where this page’s references lead.

The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.

08Questions

Questions and answers.

Where is Universe?
It has its own website at universe.nexus. GRF governs the programme.
Disaster and Crisis Governance

Bring a governance question to the Forum.

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