GRF
Insights and resources
What The Global Risks Forum (GRF) publishes under its own authority: governance papers, institutional analyses, explainers, approved speeches and lessons from dialogues, councils and annual cycles. Institutions face pressure to act on fast analysis. The UN Global Principles for Information Integrity (2024) ask publishers to show sources and corrections. Every GRF item carries its author, review state, sources and correction history. Nothing appears before release.
Five collections, each with its own rule.
- Governance papersWhat it holdsAnalysis of how institutions govern shared risk: decision rights, coordination, oversightAuthorityGRF, after review
- Foresight resourcesWhat it holdsForesight Nexus work on anticipation, scenarios and long horizonsAuthorityThe Foresight Nexus as publisher
- Institutional learningWhat it holdsReflections from dialogues, councils and annual cycles, including what went wrongAuthorityGRF, with participants’ consent
- Reports relationshipWhat it holdsGRF’s contributions to the common Reports programmeAuthorityThe Reports programme and its reviewers
- Publication correctionsWhat it holdsEvery correction to a GRF publication, with the version it replacedAuthorityThe responsible editor
Five genres and the standard each meets.
| Genre | Purpose | Review |
|---|---|---|
| Governance paper | Analysis of a governance question with options | External review by at least one independent reader |
| Explainer | Plain-language account of an instrument or process | Accuracy check against the instrument’s text |
| Case study | Reconstruction of how institutions governed an event | Factual check by the institutions described |
| Learning note | Lessons from dialogues and exercises | Review by the lesson owners |
| Speech or statement | GRF’s own position on its own work | Adopted by the responsible GRF organ |
GRF does not take positions on other institutions’ decisions.
Insights explain and analyse; they do not lobby for an outcome in any negotiation or rate any government. Where a paper presents options, it says what evidence supports each and who would decide. Evidence comes from GCRI’s Reports with its labels.
What every item is designed to state.
Who wrote it and for whom
Authors, the publishing institution and any funder are named. Sponsors cannot approve publications or change evidence.
What it rests on
Sources are cited, and data carries its evidence class: observed, modelled, scenario or expert judgement.
What changed and why
A correction creates a recorded new version, never a silent edit.
From convening to a publication someone can check.
- 01
Records first
Most GRF analysis starts from records: dialogue outcomes, council minutes, exercise after-action notes. An insight cites the record it interprets.
- 02
Method stated
Comparative institutional analysis, case study, process tracing or scenario review, with the method named and its limits given.
- 03
Review route
Each item states who reviewed it and how conflicts were managed; speeches are labelled as the speaker’s views unless released as an institutional statement.
- 04
Onward use
Findings may be offered to the Reports programme or, where a common method is missing, filed as a change proposal to the Nexus Standards. Neither body is bound by GRF’s analysis.
What a GRF publication is not.
- It is not a regulatory interpretation, a rating, a ranking or a certification of any institution or country.
- It is not investment, legal or financial advice; finance-readiness questions are led by The Global Risks Alliance (GRA).
- A dialogue record states what participants agreed. An analysis states GRF’s view. The two are never presented as each other.
- A scenario or exercise finding is never a forecast or a warning.
No GRF publication is listed in these collections yet. Questions go to the contact form and corrections to the integrity concern form. GCRI’s research library is at GCRI publications.
Where the first items will come from.
No GRF publication is listed in these collections yet. The Reports editions that GRF is scheduled to review for public meaning are drafts in stewardship review; each edition page states its evidence close, version and review passes. See the editions in review.
Where this page’s references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
Questions and answers.
Why are there no papers listed yet?
Can I cite a GRF speech as a GRF position?
How do I report an error?
Where is the scientific evidence behind GRF analyses?
Contribute evidence from this page.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
- EmailGateway GW-GRFSend it from this pageEvidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.
- ZenodoOpen depositDeposit it and submit to the communityPublish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.
- ReportsGlobal Risks ForumSee every way to contributeThe contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.
Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.
Bring a governance question to the Forum.
Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.
Legal documents.
Show all 18 legal documents
Maps, data and figures on this site are shown for context and general information. They are not advice, forecasts or warnings; the limits of the information are set out in the Disclaimers and Data Notices.