Geopolitical Risk Index
A monthly news-based index of the share of articles in ten major newspapers that discuss adverse geopolitical events and risks, normalised to 100 over 1985-2019, with threats and acts sub-indexes.
Geopolitical risk
The threat, realisation and escalation of adverse events associated with wars, terrorism and any tensions among states and political actors that affect the peaceful course of international relations (Caldara and Iacoviello, 2022).
Future generations commissioner
An independent office that represents long-term interests in public decision-making. Wales’s Future Generations Commissioner monitors how public bodies apply the Well-being of Future Generations Act 2015.
Emerging critical risk
In the OECD’s draft revised Recommendation (2026), new risks or familiar risks evolving under new circumstances, such that existing risk management arrangements may be ill suited.
Declaration on Future Generations
Annex II of the Pact for the Future (2024), in which UN Member States commit to safeguard the needs and interests of future generations, including through strategic foresight and anticipatory planning.
Anticipatory innovation
In OECD OPSI usage, the ability of organisations to consistently perceive, understand and act on the future.
Anticipatory technology governance
The OECD’s approach (2024) built on five interdependent elements: embedding values, enhancing foresight and technology assessment, engaging stakeholders, agile and adaptive regulation, and international cooperation.
Anticipatory governance
A broad-based capacity across society to act on a variety of inputs, including foresight, to manage emerging technologies and risks while they can still be steered (after Guston, 2014).
Nexus Governance Council Architecture
Nexus Governance Council Architecture is the public-good governance and leadership architecture through which The Global Risks Forum (GRF) helps organize Leadership Councils, Specialized Leadership Boards, public-good participation, stakeholder formation, civic trust, policy learning, foresight, diplomacy, governance pathways, recognition discipline, and…
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The defining challenge of the present century is not the existence of risk. Risk has always accompanied human development, ecological change, technological invention, industrial transformation, economic integration, political order, and institutional life. The defining challenge is that risk now moves…
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