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GRF · Research Nexus

Research methods dialogue

Risk evidence comes from experiments, observational studies, models, case studies, expert judgement and lived experience, and each answers some questions well and others poorly. Methods dialogue is the comparison of those designs: what each assumes, where each fails and how evidence from different designs can be weighed together. This page sets out why methods choices carry governance consequences, how their quality can be checked, and who decides which evidence counts.

01Register

Research methods dialogue on the record.

02The question

Research methods dialogue: how the risk develops.

Comparative methods and limitations. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Hierarchies are misapplied

Evidence hierarchies built for clinical questions are applied to policy problems where trials are impossible or unethical. Relevant evidence from other designs is discounted, and decisions wait for evidence that cannot exist.

Mechanism

Assumptions stay hidden

Every model and estimate rests on assumptions about data, mechanisms and context. When these go unstated, users cannot judge transfer, and disputes about results are really unacknowledged disputes about assumptions.

Mechanism

Flexibility inflates findings

Many analytic choices remain open after data are seen. Choosing among them by result produces findings that do not replicate, and the problem compounds across a literature that favours positive results.

Mechanism

Context does not travel

An effect estimated in one setting depends on its institutions, population and timing. Transferring it without stating those conditions misleads decisions elsewhere, especially when evidence moves between very different settings.

03Monitor

Research network directory.

The screen a team would use to follow this subject: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.

Research network directory

Research methods dialogue · Research network A · Year 2

Call openGRF · Research Nexus

Collaboration graph

nodes: institutions · illustrative

Joint projects

Compound risk methods4Active
Local knowledge in warnings5Proposal
Open data for risk10Reporting
Research network directory: the screen's structure, terms and states for Research methods dialogue.Example names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
04Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Studies with preregistered protocolspercent of studies on a themeannualRegistry and publication recordsOBSERVED
Replication and reproduction attemptscount per themeperiodicReplication databases and journalsREPORTED
Outputs sharing analysis codepercent of outputsannualPublication and repository metadataOBSERVED
Syntheses rated with a stated certainty frameworkpercent of synthesesannualSynthesis librariesOBSERVED
Mix of study designs on a themecount by design typeperiodicEvidence and gap mapsESTIMATED
Studies reporting sensitivity analysispercent of studies reviewedperiodicContent reviewESTIMATED
05Instruments and commitments

How research methods dialogue is governed: instruments, mandates and commitments.

The instruments, mandates, actors and accountability arrangements a policymaker, diplomat or development agency works with, citing the agreements that set them. Structures follow the frameworks named. Any state or progress drawn is illustrative, not a record.

Who holds which role

The actors around research methods dialogue: who decides, who implements, who finances and who brings knowledge and voice.

Illustrative: roles, not named institutions; no position is attributed to anyone. A dialogue fills it with the participants on record.
Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction · UNDRRParis Agreement · UNFCCC2030 Agenda and the Sustainable Development Goals · United NationsInternational Health Regulations · WHO
06Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
Campbell Collaboration evidence and gap mapsStudy designs and coverage across social policy questionsOpen access, attribution
Cochrane Handbook and methods guidanceStandard methods for systematic reviews and their known limitationsFree to read; reuse terms per item
GRADE working group guidanceA framework for rating the certainty of evidence and the strength of recommendationsFree to read, working group terms
OSF RegistriesPreregistered protocols and registered reportsOpen, terms of service
FORRT Replication DatabaseRecords of replication attempts in the social and behavioural sciencesOpen, terms per release
EQUATOR Network reporting guidelinesReporting standards by study design, such as CONSORT and STROBEFree to read, terms per guideline
OECD Global Science Forum reportsPolicy analysis on reproducibility and research infrastructureFree to read, OECD terms
07Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Research Nexus prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
Research fundersWhether to require preregistration, data and code sharing, or to fund replicationComparative policies; evaluations of their effects with stated limits
Evidence synthesis and guideline bodiesWhich study designs and certainty frameworks to use for a policy questionMethods comparisons; known failures of design hierarchies in policy settings
Government evaluation units and statistical officesWhich evaluation designs to require for public programmesMethods dialogue records; feasibility and ethics of experimental and quasi-experimental designs
Journal editorsWhether to adopt registered reports and reporting guidelinesEQUATOR guidance; replication evidence by field

Outputs this topic produces

  • Methods seminars comparing designs on a shared risk question
  • Peer learning briefs on weighing mixed evidence for decisions
  • Dialogue records of methodological disagreements and their sources
  • Plain-language notes on the assumptions behind common methods
08Core questions

What methods dialogue asks.

  • What kind of claim can this method support: correlation, causation, mechanism, possibility?
  • How do results change when a different but defensible method is used?
  • How can quantitative and qualitative evidence be combined without losing the strengths of either?
  • What are the known failure modes of the methods most used in this field?
09Mechanisms

Why methods comparison matters.

Analyses of the same data by different expert teams often reach different conclusions, because each team makes defensible choices about variables, models and assumptions. This variation is a real source of uncertainty that single studies hide. Comparing methods openly reveals it and helps users judge how robust a finding is.

Different methods also answer different questions. A randomised evaluation can show whether an intervention worked on average in one setting; a case study can show how and why it worked; a simulation can explore what might happen elsewhere. Confusion arises when one kind of evidence is asked to answer another kind of question.

Why now: disagreements about risk often turn on method: models, definitions and uncertainty treatments that differ between disciplines. Research Nexus convenes method dialogues that make those differences explicit, records them with their consequences for decisions, and can propose shared definitions to the Nexus Standards.

10Methods and limits

Practices for comparing methods.

Methods comparison is most useful when it is routine rather than reserved for disputes. Several practices make it so, each with its own cost.

  1. 01

    Methods seminars

    Sessions where researchers present and challenge each other's methods. Limits: depend on openness and good faith.

  2. 02

    Multi-team analyses

    Several teams analyse the same question independently. Limits: resource-intensive.

  3. 03

    Causal inference frameworks

    Explicit causal assumptions and identification strategies, from causal inference and impact evaluation. Limits: assumptions cannot always be tested.

  4. 04

    Mixed-methods synthesis

    Combining statistical and qualitative evidence, with probability and statistics. Limits: no single agreed approach.

11Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. Causal inference and impact evaluationEvaluating funder policy changes · Assessing knowledge brokerage schemesApplied here
  2. Probability and statisticsBuilding bibliometric indicators · Detecting selective reportingApplied here
  3. Policy, institutional and decision scienceComparing science advice systems · Mapping integrity proceduresApplied here
12Questions

Questions and answers.

Is a randomised trial always the strongest evidence?
No. It answers some causal questions well where it is feasible and ethical. Many policy questions need observational, quasi-experimental, modelling or qualitative evidence, judged against their own quality criteria.
What is preregistration?
Recording a study's hypotheses, design and analysis plan before seeing the outcome data. It separates planned from exploratory analysis and makes selective reporting visible.
Why do methods disagree?
Often because they rest on different assumptions or answer slightly different questions. Methods dialogue makes those differences explicit, so users can see which conclusion depends on which assumption.
Is one method best for studying risk?
No. Each method has strengths and limits. Robust conclusions usually draw on several.
Why do expert teams reach different conclusions from the same data?
Because many analytical choices are defensible, and different choices lead to different results. This is a real source of uncertainty.
Can I present my methods at a seminar?
Write to Contact. Seminars are scheduled only when their records are created; no date is promised in advance.
Are seminar records published?
Records are published in agreed form after participants have checked them for accuracy, and they state any attribution rule that applied.
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Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

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