Policy, institutional and decision science is the core discipline of this platform. It studies how mandates are written, how institutions coordinate and how decisions are implemented and answered for, and it identifies where responsibility for compounding risk is unclear. Its tools are comparative, documentary and evaluative rather than experimental.
What policy, institutional and decision science does here.
Policy, institutional and decision science studies how public decisions are made, implemented and evaluated. It examines how institutions coordinate across sectors and levels of government when facing shared risks. In governance and institutions and risk management and systemic risk, policy science identifies governance gaps where responsibility for cross-sector risk is unclear. It supports the design of mandates, coordination mechanisms and accountability. The canonical description is on the STEM Commons.
Institutional role mapping
Founding instruments, statutes and organisation charts are coded to show each body's mandate, powers, reporting lines and dependencies, so gaps and overlaps in responsibility for a risk become visible and comparable.
Comparative governance case studies
Cases of governance failure and recovery are reconstructed from inquiry reports, minutes and audit records with a common protocol, so lessons can be compared across sectors and jurisdictions.
Evaluation of governance reforms
Reforms such as new regulators, integrity rules or coordination bodies are evaluated against their stated objectives, with comparison cases and attention to implementation rather than adoption alone.
03Monitor
Survey analysis.
The screen a team would use to follow this method: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.
Survey analysis
Governance · Policy science for institutional · Run R-0409
Estimates stableGRF · Governance Nexus
Estimates
robust standard errors
Decisions recorded with reasons
−0.19
0.18
[−0.1, 1.0]
No
Conflicts declared
−0.09
0.12
[−0.5, 0.4]
Yes
Board risk reviews held
0.51
0.17
[−0.3, 0.5]
No
Capture safeguards in place
0.27
0.19
[0.0, 0.4]
No
Method card
Method
Policy, institutional and decision science
Sample
9881 obs
Design
stratified, weighted
Label
MODELLED
Residuals by group
Survey analysis: the screen's structure, terms and states for Governance.Example names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
04Data
What the method consumes.
Datasets and records used by policy, institutional and decision science on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in the source register.
Data
Role
Label
Legislation and founding instruments
Mandates, powers and appointment rules
Published statistics
Supreme audit institution reports
Evidence of implementation and control
Published statistics
Public inquiry reports
Case reconstruction
Published statistics
Expert-coded governance datasets such as V-Dem
Comparative context with measurement uncertainty
MODELLED
Perception-based composite indices
Comparative context with stated standard errors
ESTIMATED
05Policy scenarios
Compare instruments: rules, incentives and information.
Three families of instruments side by side against the baseline, each with its own lag and adoption speed, under the coverage and compliance you set; effect sizes are teaching values to replace with evidence. Scenario: named assumptions about the future, not a forecast.
Controls
Baseline trend of the outcome
2.0% a year
Coverage of the instrument
70%
Compliance
75%
Effect size, against the teaching value
100%
Years ahead
20 years
Readouts
Largest reduction at the horizon
Regulation
Its reduction against the baseline
21%
Numbers, methods and sources
Year
Baseline
Regulation
Economic incentive
Information and capacity
0
100.0
99.5
98.8
99.1
1
102.0
101.2
100.1
99.8
2
104.0
102.5
101.1
99.9
3
106.1
103.5
101.6
100.0
4
108.2
103.7
101.8
100.7
5
110.4
103.2
101.7
102.1
6
112.6
102.0
101.6
103.9
7
114.9
100.4
101.6
105.9
8
117.2
99.2
102.1
108.0
9
119.5
98.6
102.9
110.1
10
121.9
98.9
104.2
112.3
11
124.3
99.7
105.7
114.5
12
126.8
101.1
107.4
116.8
13
129.4
102.7
109.4
119.2
14
131.9
104.5
111.4
121.6
15
134.6
106.5
113.5
124.0
16
137.3
108.5
115.7
126.5
17
140.0
110.7
118.0
129.0
18
142.8
112.9
120.4
131.6
19
145.7
115.1
122.8
134.2
20
148.6
117.4
125.2
136.9
Methods
Tools of government Hood (1983), The Tools of Government, Macmillan
Carrots, sticks and sermons Bemelmans-Videc, Rist and Vedung (1998), Transaction
Diffusion of innovations Rogers (2003), Diffusion of Innovations, Free Press
Uncertainty fan (parameter Monte Carlo) Spiegelhalter, Pearson and Short (2011), Visualising uncertainty about the future, Science 333
One-at-a-time sensitivity (tornado) Saltelli and others (2008), Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer, Wiley
Data
The model runs on the teaching values set by the controls. To calibrate it for a place, read it against these admitted layers and series, which this page's map can draw:
Borders Natural Earth
Cities Natural Earth
Compare instruments: rules, incentives and information. Illustrative teaching model: it runs on the values set by the controls, not on measured data. Methods: Tools of government (Hood (1983), The Tools of Government, Macmillan); Carrots, sticks and sermons (Bemelmans-Videc, Rist and Vedung (1998), Transaction); Diffusion of innovations (Rogers (2003), Diffusion of Innovations, Free Press).
Conclusions are tested through comparative cases, counterfactual evaluation and peer review. Implementation outcomes are monitored against stated objectives.
Check
How it is done
Coding reliability
Two coders map the same instruments independently; disagreements are reconciled and reported
Case selection
Cases are chosen by stated criteria, including cases where failure was averted, to limit hindsight bias
Source triangulation
Each claim in a case is traced to at least two independent records, or labelled as single-source
Peer review
Methods and cases are reviewed by governance specialists outside the authoring team
Findings are often context specific and difficult to transfer. Political dynamics can override technically preferred options.
07Implementation
From mandate to evaluation, by pillar.
The steps an instrument takes from mandate to evaluation, each with the pillar that runs it, and the decisions that stay with the authority. Teaching model with stated illustrative values, not a prediction.
Mandate and problem framingCompetent authority (outside the programme) A competent authority frames the problem and the mandate under its own rules. Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009)
Evidence and system modelFoundry The system is modelled with its feedbacks, data and stated limits. OECD (2014), principle 2
Options appraised with scenariosFoundry Instruments are compared under scenarios, with uncertainty shown. Hood (1983)
Exercise with stakeholdersUniverse The options are tested in an exercise with those who would implement and bear them. OECD (2014), principle 3
Standard or guidance draftedNexus Standards What works is codified as a standard or guidance, open to comment. Nexus Standards process
Decision by the authorityCompetent authority (outside the programme) The authority decides, outside the programme, with the evidence on record. Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009)
Capacity and trainingRisk Academy Those who implement are trained on the decided instrument and its data. Sendai Framework (2015), priority 2
Monitoring and public reportReports Indicators are published with sources, limits and corrections. OECD (2014), principle 5
Evaluation and revisionNexus Standards Results return to the standard and the model: the cycle closes. Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009)
Methods
Policy cycle Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009), Studying Public Policy, Oxford University Press
Governance of critical risks OECD (2014), Recommendation of the Council on the Governance of Critical Risks
Layered drawing of directed graphs Sugiyama, Tagawa and Toda (1981), IEEE SMC 11
From mandate to evaluation, by pillar: the steps as recorded, each with its pillar; sources as cited on each step.
How policy science for institutional governance is governed: instruments, mandates and commitments.
The instruments, mandates, actors and accountability arrangements a policymaker, diplomat or development agency works with, citing the agreements that set them. Structures follow the frameworks named. Any state or progress drawn is illustrative, not a record.
Policy instrument matrix
The kinds of instrument available on policy science for institutional governance, by level of government and cooperation.
Instrument type
Local
National
Regional
Global
Regulatory
Zoning, building codes
Laws, standards, licensing
Harmonised rules
Conventions and treaties
Economic
Local levies, grants
Budget lines, taxes, insurance schemes
Risk pools, regional funds
Financing mechanisms
Information
Local warnings
Disclosure, early warning, statistics
Data sharing arrangements
Global monitoring and reporting
Institutional
Local committees
Lead agencies, coordination councils
Regional bodies and secretariats
Multilateral mandates
Cooperative
Community agreements
Partnership compacts
Memoranda and joint programmes
Agreements and joint commitments
A typology after the OECD Recommendation on the Governance of Critical Risks; examples of instrument types, not an inventory of any country's measures.
Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction · UNDRRParis Agreement · UNFCCC2030 Agenda and the Sustainable Development Goals · United NationsInternational Health Regulations · WHO
10Stewardship
Who maintains the method.
Policy Nexus stewards policy, institutional and decision science for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.
What are the limits of policy, institutional and decision science in this field?
Findings are often context specific and difficult to transfer. Political dynamics can override technically preferred options.
How are results checked?
Conclusions are tested through comparative cases, counterfactual evaluation and peer review. Implementation outcomes are monitored against stated objectives.
Are the values on this page real?
The data names, roles and checks are real descriptions of practice. The canvas shows a design of the method's use, not a run; no result is reported here.
Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
Global Risks ForumGovernance NexusPortfolio and ReadinessUniverse Annual Synthesis
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