GRF · Foresight Nexus
Research and institutional knowledge
The evidence behind Foresight Nexus: the governance questions it asks, the comparative and policy analysis it uses and how findings are reviewed before they reach a council or a dialogue.
The workspace for research and institutional knowledge.
Evidence grading
Research and institutional · Review wave 3 · Example interface, not a record
Certainty by criterion
0 low to 100 high
Higher is more certain. Values are examples.
Review queue
- R-1Signals loggedsecond reviewer5 d
- R-2Clusters emergingsecond reviewer6 d
- R-3Scenarios in usesecond reviewer3 d
Foresight Nexus · Evidence grading. Evidence grading: example names and illustrative values, not a record.
What the research asks.
- 01
Horizon scanning
Signals, emergence and source quality.
- 02
Strategic scenarios
Plausible alternative futures.
- 03
Deep uncertainty
Methods when probabilities are contested.
- 04
Technology futures
Emerging and converging technology.
- 05
Geopolitical futures
Political economy and strategic shocks.
- 06
Demographic and social futures
Ageing, migration, trust and cohesion.
Every result keeps its label.
Results are labelled as observed, published statistics, estimated, modelled, forecast, scenario or expert judgement. Missing data is shown as missing, never filled silently.
Pages in Research and institutional knowledge.
Questions and answers.
Can I propose a research question?
Contribute evidence from this page.
Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
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Bring a governance question to the Forum.
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Legal documents.
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Maps, data and figures on this site are shown for context and general information. They are not advice, forecasts or warnings; the limits of the information are set out in the Disclaimers and Data Notices.