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GRF · Foresight Nexus

Di Foundry de ava bike

The Foundry pergalên that serve Foresight Nexus, what an authorised project can do with them, and how access is requested. Foundry’s public home is therisk.global/nexus-foundry.

01Şeş stûn

Foundry among the six pillars.

Where things are built, simulated and prepared: every output of the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), the Global Risks Forum (GRF) and the Global Risks Alliance (GRA), under the Nexus Consortium. It is led by the Nexus Consortium; its home is therisk.global/nexus-foundry.

Stûnan hilbijêre · li xetan bigere18 / 18 radestkirin

Rê

Around Foundry

The pillars Foundry hands work to and receives it from.

L · F · U · S · R · A

Stûn
6 ji 6
Radestkirin
18 ji 18
Çerx
17 girtî

Radestkirinên di xebatê de

  • F01Universe → Foundry · Mîsyona pejirandî dibe projeya çerxê bi doza biryarê reAmadekirina amadebûnê
  • F02Foundry → Universe · Core Build Report û delîlên çûn an neçûnêAvakirina kontrolkirî
  • F03Foundry → rêzeya Pergalên Stratejîk · Çavdêrî û rêzeyên nîşanderan ên morkirî li pişt profîlekêGirtina projeyê
  • F04Universe → Reports · Encamên piştî çalakiyê û senaryoyê ji bo beşên 10 û 13Vekolîna piştî çalakiyê

û 14 yên din

F01 heta F14 radestkirinên tomarkirî yên salê bernameyê ne, her yek bi hunera ku diguhere û qonaxa wê; R1, R2, R3 û R4 kar li dora xelekê digerînin. Xelek tê jimartin dema ku her stûnek li ser wê were hilbijartin. Her stûn ji hêla Nexus Consortium ve tê birêvebirin.
  1. LabsCihê ku pirs dibin ceribandin û prototîp: rêbaz, dane û amûrên nû bi vekirî têne ceribandin, bi sînorên wan di qeydê de, berî ku Foundry wan ava bike, di bin Nexus Consortium de.Labs
  2. FoundryCihê ku delîla li pişt mandat an berpirsiyariyekê tê avakirin, bi xwedî û sînorên wê li ser tomarê.Foresight Nexus di Foundry deFoundry
  3. UniverseCihê ku mandat dibin mîsyon: GRF her derî tomar dike, alîgiran dicivîne û bicihanînê berpirsiyar digire.Foresight Nexus di Universe deuniverse.nexus
  4. Nexus StandardsCihê ku rêgezên hevpar bi vekirî têne lihevkirin; her dadrêsî li ser pejirandinê biryar dide, û tu saziyeke gerdûnî mafê vetoyê nîne.Xeterên pergalî di Standards denexustandards.com
  5. rêzeya Pergalên StratejîkWhere governance analysis and the year’s results are published, so commitments can be followed and checked.Foresight Nexus di Reports derêzeya Pergalên Stratejîk
  6. Risk AcademyCihê ku siyasetmedar, dîplomat û karmendên ajansan rol û biryargirtina bernameyê li ser tomarê hîn dibin, li Risk Academy.Fakulteya Zanista xetereyê û Rêbazan di Academy derisksacademy.com

Foundry in every area of the work

Qada erdnigarîFoundry
SerokatîEach build is led by an authorised project with an accountable owner; leadership is technical and never extends to the decision the build informs.
StrategyThe build plan follows the National Portfolio and the missions admitted for the year.
CadenceWorks all year; the controlled build runs for one month in Q2, and measured capacity results are reviewed in Q4.
XwedîtîOwns projects and builds, observations and canonical data, simulation and benchmark runs, the National Portfolio record and evidence seals.
PêvajoWork moves through governed rooms on twenty pergalên, and every run leaves a record with its limits.
PêşxistinDevelops the cycle’s software, data and environments, and develops each country’s National Portfolio.
SimulationsRuns scenarios, experiments and benchmarks with published method and conditions; a simulated capability is not a validated result.
ReportingSupplies the permitted data bundles and sealed observations behind every edition.
RêveberîShared infrastructure made available to the Consortium for public-good purposes; it holds no vote in the governance of the standards.
Dane û delîlCanonical observations and provenance are held in The Global Risks Index (NXS-GRX), and every value carries its source and licence.
Finance and resourcingCompute and data allocations open per project when their terms and review capacity exist; temporary capacity is released at stand-down.
Risk and assuranceBuilds are signed and tested for security and interoperability, and accepted for exercise only at gate G3.
BeşdarîStakeholders and service providers may establish their presence for non-profit and consortium objectives under the Terms.
CommunicationPublic pages describe each system’s purpose and design, and state what it does only as far as its record shows.
HerêmîObservations and models keep their place: every value carries the location and boundary it was drawn on.
NeteweyîEach country’s National Portfolio is developed and tracked.
HerêmîShared systems and cross-border dependencies are modelled across the countries of a region.
PlanetaryGlobal data and Earth observation are held with provenance, so planetary pressures can be read alongside national ones.

What each institution brings

StûnGCRIGRFGRA
FoundryPlatformên wê yên zanistî û teknîkî rêbaz, dane û delîlên ku Foundry li ser ava dike tînin.Mîsyonan qebûl dike û avakirinê ji bo pratîkê di derîyekî tomarkirî de dipejirîne, da ku xebata Foundry li ser tomarê bikeve bernameyê.Pirsên amadebûna fînansî tîne, da ku avakirin delîlên ku sazîyên fînansî dikarin bixwînin hilberînin.
02Tools for foresight

What the Foundry offers foresight work.

  • A signal register with source, date and owner.
  • Scenario libraries with version history.
  • Model runs for quantified scenarios, from GCRI.

See GCRI systems modelling.

03Qada xebatê

The workspace for Build in Foundry.

Build workspace

Foresight · Build in Foundry · Run R-5353 · Example interface, not a record

Run in progressGRF · Foresight Nexus

Runs

same inputs, versioned

R-9679Scenario designv8.20.85Dixebite
R-6076Pêşbînîkirinv3.10.79Drift
R-0590Pergalên tevlihevv9.70.76Passed
R-9075Analîza biryarêv7.30.61Failed test

Karta modelê

Rêbaz
Sêwirandina senaryoyan û ceribandina bin zextê
Têketin
Signals library, Expert Delphi rounds
Erêkirin
held-out period, skill reported
Nîşan
MODELKIRÎ

Run log

  1. 00:00:21AgahîIngest signals library
  2. 00:02:12AgahîSchema and licence checks passed
  3. 00:07:40Hişyar bikeGap filled by interpolation, flagged
  4. 00:12:03QediyaCalibration complete
  5. 00:25:55DerîIndependent test queued
Build workspace.Navrûyeke ronîker; ne daneya zindî ye.

Foresight Nexus · Build workspace. Build workspace: example names and illustrative values, not a record.

04Pergal

Foundry systems for this field.

PergalWhat it does hereRolRead more
NXS-DSSDosyeyên biryarê û nîqaşLays out decision cases, options and trade-offs for deliberation.This fieldBelgekirinIntegrated, not bound
NXS-LABLêkolîn, ceribandin û sîmulasyonResearch, experiments and simulations.This fieldBelgekirinIntegrated, not bound
NXS-AAPÇalakiya pêşdestî û destpêkerRecords triggers and playbooks for anticipatory action.This siteBelgekirinIntegrated, not bound
NXS-RLSBeşdar, peyman û radestkirinHolds participants, agreements and handoffs of a programme.This siteBelgekirinIntegrated, not bound
NXS-NSFTrust, authorisation and assuranceRoutes contributions under the trust and authorisation rules.This siteBelgekirinIntegrated, not bound
NXS-EWSŞopandin û hişyariya pir-metirsîShows the warnings a governance dialogue is responding to.This siteBelgekirinIntegrated, not bound
NXS-GRXDaneya kanonîk, çavkanîbûn û xetereSupplies country profiles and indicators for a governance record.

Index data service: unavailable. No public endpoint is published for this site yet.

This siteBelgekirinIntegrated, not bound
NXS-HUBZanîn, tomar û fêrbûnKeeps the records of dialogues and councils findable.This siteBelgekirinIntegrated, not bound

The release of the Nexus pergalên is on hold. Each code links its definition in the Nexus Risk Standards.

05Pêvajo

Pêvajo çawa dimeşe.

Process explorer · Process

Build in Foundry: Build, sign and accept

10 steps4 qonax2 derî

Pêvajo

Build in Foundry: Build, sign and accept

An admitted mission becomes a cycle project; the build is pinned, verified and signed, and GRF records acceptance for exercise, not permission to deploy.

  1. 01 Request and sources

    1. 01Admitted mission becomes a cycle projectRecord · Universe to FoundryAn admitted mission becomes a cycle project with a decision case.
    2. 02Qualify data sources and resourcesGav · GCRIGCRI qualifies data sources and resource offers and builds the scenario models. An offer is not an allocation.
  2. 02 Build and verify

    1. 03Source snapshotTomar · NXS-FAC (blueprints, builds and signing)The snapshot pins the commit, dependencies and generator versions.
    2. 04Build contractRecord · NXS-FAC (blueprints, builds and signing)The build contract declares the artefact kind, environment and reproducibility envelope.
    3. 05Integrate and buildModel · GCRIGCRI integrates software and data, signs builds, and tests security and interoperability.
    4. 06Verification suiteGate · NXS-FAC (blueprints, builds and signing)Required and advisory checks stay separate. Reproducibility needs pinned inputs, declared nondeterminism and independent rebuilds.
  3. 03 Sign and admit

    1. 07Sign the exact artefactStep · NXS-FAC (blueprints, builds and signing)NXS-FAC builds, attests and requests a signature via a scoped signer identity. It holds no key material.
    2. 08Package admissionStep · NXS-NXQ (software, models and capability lifecycle)NXS-NXQ receives the signed package and keeps admission evidence that binds the task, data class, evaluation suite and expiration.
  4. 04 Accept

    1. 09Core Build ReportTomar · GCRIThe Core Build Report is the go or no-go record. Universe assembles the Core and holds the decision for the exercise.
    2. 10G3 · Avakirin ji bo pratîkê hatiye pejirandinDerî · The Global Risks ForumGRF records whether the build is accepted for exercise. A signed build or release candidate is not permission to deploy to production.

Salê bernameyê · NXS-FAC · UniverseDesigned programme process, not a record of operation. No cycle has run and every programme is at service level R0. A gate is a programme decision, never a public-authority approval, certification or deployment authorisation. The record order follows the Builds and Releases room lists of NXS-FAC.

06Access

How a project gets access.

  1. 01

    Pirsîn

    Describe the project and its owner to forma têkiliyê.

  2. 02

    Authorisation

    Access requires an authorised project with an accountable owner, data terms and a review plan.

  3. 03

    Allocation

    Compute and data allocations open when their terms and review capacity exist.

Agahî û pirs îro vekirî ne. Pirsek referansekê distîne û gava piştî wê dide nasîn; serlêdan, drav, veqetandina hesabkirinê û tomarkirin tenê dema ku tîm, mercên wê û kapasîteya vekolînê hebin vedibin.

07Çavkanî

Where this page’s references lead.

Sazî û belgeyên ku ev rûpel li hember wan tê xwendin. Rewş û çap diguherin; her girêdan diçe ba saziya derxistinê.

08Girêdayî

Ev rûpel li ser Konsorsiyûmê te ber bi kû ve dibe.

09Pirs

Pirs û bersiv.

Is Foundry access free?
Terms are set per project when allocations open.
Pêşdîtin Nexus

Pirsek ya rêveberiyê bînin Forumê.

Agahî û pirs îro vekirî ne. Pirsek referansekê distîne û gava piştî wê dide nasîn; serlêdan, drav, veqetandina hesabkirinê û tomarkirin tenê dema ku tîm, mercên wê û kapasîteya vekolînê hebin vedibin.