GRF · Climate and Nature Governance

Climate and Nature Governance

Institutions and policy frameworks responsible for climate, adaptation, nature and transboundary environmental priorities. Climate and Nature Governance is an established platform of The Global Risks Forum.

STEM methods
5
Canonical methods this field applies
Topics
9
Subject pages in the field
Counterparts
14
Platforms in shared fields across the network
Report series
2
Reports series it contributes to
01Coverage

The areas of climate and hazards this platform takes on.

Climate and Nature Governance studies how public institutions decide, fund and answer for action on a changing climate and declining nature: adaptation mandates, climate and biodiversity law, river basins, land and ocean tenure, disclosure rules and the gap between pledges and delivery. Its pages set out the mechanisms that make governance hold or fail, the records that show it, the methods that test it and the office holders who decide, with every source labelled by its evidence. Global Risks Forum convenes the dialogue; it does not negotiate or advise governments.

Area

Adaptation institutions

National adaptation plans, mandates, coordination bodies, budgets and the local authorities that carry adaptation into land use, water and infrastructure.

Area

Climate risk governance

How governments and boards assign ownership of climate risk, set objectives, and review progress through legislation, audit and oversight bodies.

Area

Nature and biodiversity law

Biodiversity conventions, protected-area law, environmental assessment, species protection and the courts that interpret them.

Area

River basin governance

Basin organisations, water allocation, transboundary treaties and the institutions that share water between users and countries.

Area

Justice and equity

Who bears climate and nature risk, who decides, procedural rights to information and participation, and redress for loss and damage.

Area

Land and ocean governance

Tenure, spatial planning, protected and conserved areas, fisheries management and the governance of the high seas.

Area

Disclosure governance

Climate and nature disclosure standards, their adoption by jurisdictions, assurance, and the supervisors who enforce them.

Area

Implementation gaps

The distance between targets, plans and budgets on one side and measured delivery on the other, and how it is reported and reviewed.

02Monitor

Adaptation plan tracker.

The screen a team would use to follow this field: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.

Adaptation plan tracker

National adaptation council · Plan year 3

Water sector behindGRF · Climate and Nature Governance

Actions on track by sector

Water, %37 of 70 requiredAgriculture, %74 of 70 requiredHealth, %62 of 70 requiredCities, %41 of 70 required

Implementation gaps

No drought allocation ruleWaterMandate unclearBasin commission
Heat plans missingHealthFundingLine ministry
Coastal setback unenforcedCitiesCapacityProvince D

Adaptation cycle

  1. Assess risknational
  2. PlanNAP
  3. Implementsectors
  4. Monitorindicators
  5. Evaluatelearning
Adaptation plan tracker: the screen’s structure, terms and states for National adaptation council.Example names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
04Policy scenarios

Compare instruments: rules, incentives and information.

Three families of instruments side by side against the baseline, each with its own lag and adoption speed, under the coverage and compliance you set; effect sizes are teaching values to replace with evidence. Scenario: named assumptions about the future, not a forecast. The map on this page shows The Andes; the model itself is not tied to a place.

Controls

Baseline trend of the outcome
2.0% a year
Coverage of the instrument
70%
Compliance
75%
Effect size, against the teaching value
100%
Years ahead
20 years

Readouts

Largest reduction at the horizon
Regulation
Its reduction against the baseline
21%
Numbers, methods and sources
YearBaselineRegulationEconomic incentiveInformation and capacity
0100.099.598.899.1
1102.0101.2100.199.8
2104.0102.5101.199.9
3106.1103.5101.6100.0
4108.2103.7101.8100.7
5110.4103.2101.7102.1
6112.6102.0101.6103.9
7114.9100.4101.6105.9
8117.299.2102.1108.0
9119.598.6102.9110.1
10121.998.9104.2112.3
11124.399.7105.7114.5
12126.8101.1107.4116.8
13129.4102.7109.4119.2
14131.9104.5111.4121.6
15134.6106.5113.5124.0
16137.3108.5115.7126.5
17140.0110.7118.0129.0
18142.8112.9120.4131.6
19145.7115.1122.8134.2
20148.6117.4125.2136.9

Methods

  1. Tools of government Hood (1983), The Tools of Government, Macmillan
  2. Carrots, sticks and sermons Bemelmans-Videc, Rist and Vedung (1998), Transaction
  3. Diffusion of innovations Rogers (2003), Diffusion of Innovations, Free Press
  4. Uncertainty fan (parameter Monte Carlo) Spiegelhalter, Pearson and Short (2011), Visualising uncertainty about the future, Science 333
  5. One-at-a-time sensitivity (tornado) Saltelli and others (2008), Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer, Wiley

Data

The model runs on the teaching values set by the controls. To calibrate it for a place, read it against these admitted layers and series, which this page’s map can draw:

  • Borders Natural Earth
  • Cities Natural Earth
Compare instruments: rules, incentives and information. Illustrative teaching model: it runs on the values set by the controls, not on measured data. Methods: Tools of government (Hood (1983), The Tools of Government, Macmillan); Carrots, sticks and sermons (Bemelmans-Videc, Rist and Vedung (1998), Transaction); Diffusion of innovations (Rogers (2003), Diffusion of Innovations, Free Press).
05Frameworks

What the work is read against.

The platform does not set standards. It reads its evidence against the frameworks that competent bodies have adopted, so a finding can be placed where a decision-maker already works.

Framework or standardBodyWhat it sets
Paris Agreement and its enhanced transparency frameworkUnited Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)Nationally determined contributions, the global goal on adaptation, biennial transparency reports and the global stocktake
Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity FrameworkConvention on Biological Diversity (CBD)Goals and targets for nature to the end of the decade, including conservation, restoration, finance and corporate disclosure, reported through national strategies
Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk ReductionUnited Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)Priorities and targets for understanding and governing disaster risk, monitored through the Sendai Framework Monitor
Convention on the Protection and Use of Transboundary Watercourses and International LakesUNECE, open to all UN member statesObligations to prevent transboundary harm, use shared waters equitably and cooperate through joint bodies
Agreement under UNCLOS on marine biological diversity of areas beyond national jurisdiction (BBNJ)United NationsArea-based management tools including marine protected areas on the high seas, environmental impact assessment and benefit sharing
Aarhus Convention and Escazú AgreementUNECE; UN Economic Commission for Latin America and the CaribbeanRights of access to environmental information, public participation in decisions and access to justice, with protection for environmental defenders in Escazú
IFRS S1 and IFRS S2International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB)General sustainability-related and climate-related financial disclosure requirements that jurisdictions adopt or adapt into law
TNFD recommendations and the LEAP approachTaskforce on Nature-related Financial DisclosuresDisclosure of nature-related dependencies, impacts, risks and opportunities, which the ISSB has said it will draw on in its nature work
Voluntary Guidelines on the Responsible Governance of TenureCommittee on World Food Security, FAOPrinciples for governing tenure of land, fisheries and forests, including recognition of customary rights
06Implementation

From mandate to evaluation, by pillar.

The steps an instrument takes from mandate to evaluation, each with the pillar that runs it, and the decisions that stay with the authority. Teaching model with stated illustrative values, not a prediction. The map on this page shows The Andes; the model itself is not tied to a place.

  1. Mandate and problem framing Competent authority (outside the programme)
    A competent authority frames the problem and the mandate under its own rules. Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009)
  2. Evidence and system model Foundry
    The system is modelled with its feedbacks, data and stated limits. OECD (2014), principle 2
  3. Options appraised with scenarios Foundry
    Instruments are compared under scenarios, with uncertainty shown. Hood (1983)
  4. Exercise with stakeholders Universe
    The options are tested in an exercise with those who would implement and bear them. OECD (2014), principle 3
  5. Standard or guidance drafted Nexus Standards
    What works is codified as a standard or guidance, open to comment. Nexus Standards process
  6. Decision by the authority Competent authority (outside the programme)
    The authority decides, outside the programme, with the evidence on record. Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009)
  7. Capacity and training Risk Academy
    Those who implement are trained on the decided instrument and its data. Sendai Framework (2015), priority 2
  8. Monitoring and public report Reports
    Indicators are published with sources, limits and corrections. OECD (2014), principle 5
  9. Evaluation and revision Nexus Standards
    Results return to the standard and the model: the cycle closes. Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009)

Methods

  1. Policy cycle Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009), Studying Public Policy, Oxford University Press
  2. Governance of critical risks OECD (2014), Recommendation of the Council on the Governance of Critical Risks
  3. Layered drawing of directed graphs Sugiyama, Tagawa and Toda (1981), IEEE SMC 11
From mandate to evaluation, by pillar: the steps as recorded, each with its pillar; sources as cited on each step.
07Overview

What Climate and Nature Governance does.

Climate and nature governance is the system of mandates, laws, budgets, courts and review bodies through which institutions decide and answer for action on climate and nature. Global Risks Forum’s platform compares adaptation institutions, biodiversity law, basin agreements, tenure, disclosure regimes and implementation gaps, and names who holds each decision.

Who it serves

Its community

Climate governance researchers; environment agencies; regional bodies; conservation institutions.

How it works

Its methods

Comparative governance analysis; institutional mandate mapping.

What it produces

Its outputs

Climate governance dossiers; nature-policy dialogues; adaptation policy briefs.

08Twin and cascade simulator

Exercise a cascade in Climate and Nature Governance with the people who decide.

Assembled from the Nexus Standards area profile Climate adaptation and transition risk: the hazards it names, the systems and communities that carry the loss, the controls and institutions that dampen it and the data that observe it. Pick an initiating event and step through the cascade to see where mandates meet and which decisions fall to whom. The Map view places the run on an example geography with open data. Every weight is a stated assumption. An exercise for dialogue, not a forecast, an assessment or a position. To model a place of your own choosing, open the full System Builder.

Hazards

  • Sea-level rise
  • Heatwave
  • Windstorm
  • Flash flood
  • Meteorological drought
  • Groundwater depletion
  • Widespread power outage (set off downstream)
  • Large forest disturbance (set off downstream)
  • Wildfire (set off downstream)
  • Extreme fire weather (set off downstream)
  • Heat-driven grid stress (set off downstream)
  • Agricultural drought (set off downstream)
  • Flash drought (set off downstream)
  • Snow drought (set off downstream)
  • Ground-level ozone episode (set off downstream)
  • Debris flow (set off downstream)
  • Hydrological drought (set off downstream)
  • Peat and underground fire (set off downstream)

Controls

  • NS-0 Constitution and principles
  • NS-3 Risk record UNIs (grammar, legacy crosswalk, allocation authority)
  • NS-9 Contextual UNIs (deployments, instances, programme instances)
  • NS-10 Policies and clauses (machine-readable obligations: definition, binding, evaluation and enforcement)
  • NS-11 Verification and monitoring (evidence, attestations, zero-trust conformance observation)
  • NS-14 Conformance and crosswalk to external standards
  • NRS-X1 Climate change risk and adaptation
  • NRS-T16 AI agents and autonomous decision systems risk
  • NRS-H65 Hazard family: Planetary boundary transgressions (NHS-1 planet.boundary)
  • NRS-I7 Intelligence applications: grounded retrieval, reasoning and decision support
  • NRS-K20 Domain pack profile: Climate adaptation (DOMAIN-020)
  • NRS-K21 Domain pack profile: Climate mitigation carbon (DOMAIN-021)

Observation

  • CMIP6 climate projections (Copernicus Climate Data Store) (listed for reference)
  • NGFS Scenario Explorer (listed for reference)
  • ERA5 reanalysis (Copernicus Climate Data Store) (listed for reference)
  • World Bank Open Data and World Development Indicators API (listed for reference)
  • Number of countries with nationally determined contributions, long-term strategies, national adaptation plans and adaptation communications
  • Number of countries that adopt and implement national DRR strategies in line with the Sendai Framework

Example geography

  • Pacific Island states: 150 hexagonal cells
  • Night lights tonight, outages (VIIRS Day/Night Band), NASA GIBS
  • Surface air temperature, daytime (AIRS), NASA GIBS
  • Rain rate, last half hour (IMERG), NASA GIBS
  • Surface water through cloud, 30 m (OPERA DSWx-S1 radar), NASA GIBS
09The problem

The science is clear enough; the institutions are not keeping pace.

Climate change and the loss of nature are physical processes, but whether societies manage them well is a question of institutions: who holds authority, who pays, who is accountable and whether commitments become practice.

Mandates

Who is responsible

Overlapping or missing mandates across ministries, levels of government and borders.

Implementation

From pledge to practice

Commitments that lack budgets, lead agencies, monitoring or enforcement.

Legitimacy

Who bears the costs

Unequal exposure and voice, which shape trust in climate and nature policy.

Climate risk does not respect administrative boundaries. A drought may span several countries and ministries; a river basin may be shared by states with different laws; a coastline may be managed by national, regional and municipal authorities with overlapping mandates. Ecosystems that regulate water, protect coasts and sustain food production often fall between agencies, or are governed by rules written for a stable climate.

Governance failures cascade in recognisable ways. Adaptation plans without budgets or lead agencies remain on paper. Protected areas without enforcement or local consent degrade. Transboundary agreements that allocate fixed volumes of water break down when flows change. Disclosure rules that are inconsistent across jurisdictions produce data that cannot be compared. Costs fall hardest on communities with the least voice in decisions, including Indigenous peoples and the rural poor, which erodes trust and the legitimacy of further action.

The governance problem is to understand which institutional arrangements work, where mandates overlap or leave gaps, and how evidence can reach the people who decide.

Why now: countries are implementing a new round of national climate plans after the first Global Stocktake (2023) and national biodiversity strategies under the Kunming-Montreal framework (2022), and the International Court of Justice’s advisory opinion (2025) has sharpened questions of state duty. The platform is designed to convene the institutions that carry these duties, test arrangements such as drought sharing in Universe, and feed reviewed findings to Reports.

10Sector signature

Who a decision on Climate and Nature Governance reaches.

The sectors a policy on Climate and Nature Governance has to coordinate: a choice in one ministry lands in the others.

Select corners · hover lines6 / 15 relations

Signature

Biodiversity and its partners

Biodiversity gives pollination and soils to food (0.6), watershed regulation to water (0.5) and zoonotic spillover and medicines to health (0.4).

W · E · I · F · H · B

Sectors
4 of 6
Relations
6 of 15
Coupling
0.46 share of total

Strongest relations in play

  • Food → Biodiversity · land conversion0.6
  • Water → Food · irrigation0.8
  • Water → Biodiversity · environmental flows0.6
  • Food → Health · nutrition0.7
Teaching values for a typical city-region, not measurements for any place. Coupling is the summed strength of the relations in play, as a share of all fifteen.
11What the platform does

Comparative governance analysis and convening.

The platform’s methods are comparative governance analysis and institutional mandate mapping. It is designed to publish climate governance dossiers, convene nature-policy dialogues and produce adaptation policy briefs that public institutions and regional bodies can examine and use.

Audience

Who it serves

Climate governance researchers, environment agencies, regional bodies and conservation institutions, with ministries, parliaments and civil society.

Methods

How it works

Comparative analysis of laws and institutions, mapping of mandates and accountability, and structured dialogue between those responsible.

Outputs

What it is designed to publish

Climate governance dossiers, nature-policy dialogue records and adaptation policy briefs.

GRF convenes and governs programmes. It does not regulate, finance, procure or certify, and hosting or sponsorship confers no authority over findings.

12Instruments and commitments

How Climate and Nature Governance is governed: instruments, mandates and commitments.

The instruments, mandates, actors and accountability arrangements a policymaker, diplomat or development agency works with, citing the agreements that set them. Structures follow the frameworks named. Any state or progress drawn is illustrative, not a record.

Mandates and agreements over time

The agreements that set mandates and commitments on Climate and Nature Governance, from adoption to their current horizon.

  1. 1992UNFCCC and Convention on Biological DiversityUnited Nations
  2. 2015Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk ReductionUNDRR
  3. 20152030 Agenda and the Sustainable Development GoalsUnited Nations
  4. 2015Paris AgreementUNFCCC
  5. 2022Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity FrameworkCBD
  6. 2023First global stocktake under the Paris AgreementUNFCCC
  7. 2030Horizon of the 2030 Agenda and the Sendai FrameworkUnited Nations
Adoption years of the agreements named; the texts and their bodies are the authority. Chosen from the page’s fields.

Development outcomes

The Sustainable Development Goals and targets that outcomes on Climate and Nature Governance are reported against.

GoalTargetHow this subject links
Goal 13, climate actionTarget 13.1, resilience and adaptive capacityOutcomes reported through the agreed indicator of the target
Goal 15, life on landTarget 15.5, halt biodiversity lossOutcomes reported through the agreed indicator of the target
Goal 6, clean water and sanitationTarget 6.5, integrated water resources managementOutcomes reported through the agreed indicator of the target
Goal 2, zero hungerTarget 2.4, sustainable and resilient food productionOutcomes reported through the agreed indicator of the target
Goal 16, peace, justice and strong institutionsTarget 16.6, effective, accountable and transparent institutionsOutcomes reported through the agreed indicator of the target
Goals and targets of the 2030 Agenda, chosen from the page’s fields; indicators are reported by countries, not by the Forum.
Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction · UNDRRParis Agreement · UNFCCC2030 Agenda and the Sustainable Development Goals · United NationsInternational Health Regulations · WHO
14Geography

Habitat condition in the Andes.

Vegetation, land cover and population density over the Andes, from NASA GIBS. Each layer carries its own date.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Habitat condition, for this page

About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds leave gaps)
Source
MODIS Terra EVI (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite index; clouds leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-13
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite vegetation index for the 8 days to the date shown, a habitat condition indicator; not a measure of species or biodiversity.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Modelled (latest year GIBS publishes)
Source
MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1) (NASA LP DAAC)
Provider
NASA LP DAAC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
yearly; Satellite classification; latest year GIBS publishes
Newest at build
2024-01-01
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite land cover classes for the year shown, including croplands; a classification with known errors, not a farm register.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Estimated
Source
Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University))
Provider
NASA SEDAC (CIESIN, Columbia University)
Licence
CC BY 4.0
Vintage
null; Census-based estimate, static (2020)
Resolution
about 1 km grid
Uncertainty
Census-based estimate of people per square kilometre in 2020, shown as exposure context; not a count of people affected by any hazard.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds leave gaps)
Source
VIIRS Global Flood Product (NASA LANCE)
Provider
NASA LANCE
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite detection; clouds leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-14
Resolution
about 250 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite detection; clouds leave gaps. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Observed (clouds and overpass timing leave gaps)
Source
VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS) (NASA LANCE FIRMS)
Provider
NASA LANCE FIRMS
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite detection; clouds and overpass timing leave gaps
Newest at build
2026-10-13
Resolution
about 500 m grid
Uncertainty
Satellite hot-spot detections for the day shown, including gas flares and industrial heat; not a confirmed fire, an incident report or a warning.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map
About this layer
Evidence
Estimated
Source
GPM IMERG (NASA GES DISC)
Provider
NASA GES DISC
Licence
NASA open data
Vintage
daily; Satellite estimate, near real time
Newest at build
2026-10-12
Resolution
about 2 km grid
Uncertainty
Satellite estimate, near real time. Satellite or model raster as the provider publishes it. Clouds, swath gaps and retrieval error leave gaps and noise; values are indicators, not measurements at a place.
Reached through
gibs.earthdata.nasa.gov, only after you allow the live map

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

Habitat condition, framed on the Andes.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date. They are indicators, not assessments of any place.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT · U.S. Geological SurveySources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • MODIS land products (vegetation indices, gross primary production, land cover), NASA LP DAAC and LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). doi:10.7927/H49C6VHW. CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • NASA Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS), VIIRS 375 m active fire product, NASA LANCE; vector tiles via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • GPM IMERG precipitation, NASA Precipitation Processing System; distributed by the NASA Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). Cite as: NASA/METI/AIST/Japan Spacesystems and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team (2019). ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003. doi:10.5067/ASTER/ASTGTM.003. NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into hexagonal cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Live events: NASA Earth Observatory Natural Event Tracker (EONET); events are indicative and keep their original source links.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • Observed (EO): NASA JPL OPERA DIST-ALERT (contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2026). We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Live: U.S. Geological Survey Events are indicative, not authority warnings.
  • NASA GIBS: We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA’s Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA’s Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Optional layers (7 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Enhanced vegetation index, rolling 8 days: MODIS Terra EVI, NASA LANCE · 13 Oct 2026
  • Land cover type (IGBP), yearly: MODIS Terra and Aqua land cover (MCD12Q1), NASA LP DAAC · 2024
  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026
  • Active fires and thermal anomalies: VIIRS NOAA-20 375 m (FIRMS), NASA LANCE FIRMS · 13 Oct 2026
  • Precipitation rate, daily mean: GPM IMERG, NASA GES DISC · 12 Oct 2026

15Grounding

Built on named science, technology, engineering and mathematics.

Every claim on Climate and Nature Governance rests on methods with a canonical page in the STEM Commons, so readers can see what a finding depends on and where its limits lie.

Climate and atmospheric scienceEcology and biodiversity sciencePolicy, institutional and decision scienceHydrology and water scienceAgricultural, soil and food science

See the STEM foundation of Climate and Nature Governance

16Cycle

How work moves in this field.

A question becomes evidence, a governed build, an organised community, a controlled test, a reviewed publication and, finally, a decision taken by the competent authority under its own rules.

  1. Question Universe National, regional or institutional priority. Question in Climate and Nature Governance
  2. Evidence Foundry STEM foundation of the platform. Evidence in Climate and Nature Governance
  3. Build Foundry Foundry. Build in Climate and Nature Governance
  4. Organise Universe Nexus ecosystem. Organise in Climate and Nature Governance
  5. Test Universe Universe (independent site). Test in Climate and Nature Governance
  6. Publish Reports Reports. Publish in Climate and Nature Governance
  7. Decide Competent authority Competent authorities and institutions, through NXS-RLS (participants, agreements and handoffs). Decide in Climate and Nature Governance
  8. Renew Universe Corrections and the next annual agenda. Renew in Climate and Nature Governance

Each step of the cycle in the pillar it runs in; the decision stays with the competent authority, outside the programme.

17Six pillars

How this works across the six pillars.

Climate and Nature Governance works through six pillars of one annual programme, led by the Nexus Consortium, with GCRI, GRF and GRA each contributing in its role: explore, experiment and prototype in Labs, build, simulate and prepare in Foundry, convene and test in Universe, codify, correct and apply in Nexus Standards, publish in every format in Reports, teach in the open in Risk Academy.

Select pillars · hover lines18 / 18 handoffs

Route

The whole programme

Every pillar hands its work to another; together they close the year’s feedback loops.

L · F · U · S · R · A

Pillars
6 of 6
Handoffs
18 of 18
Loops
17 closed

Handoffs in play

  • F01Universe → Foundry · Admitted mission becomes a cycle project with a decision caseReadiness preparation
  • F02Foundry → Universe · Core Build Report and go or no-go evidenceControlled build
  • F03Foundry → Reports · Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profileCloseout
  • F04Universe → Reports · After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13After-action review

and 14 more

F01 to F14 are the recorded handoffs of the programme year, each with the artefact that moves and its phase; R1, R2, R3 and R4 carry work around the ring. A loop counts when every pillar on it is selected. Every pillar is led by the Nexus Consortium.
  1. LabsWhere questions become experiments and prototypes: new methods, data and tools are tried in the open, with their limits on record, before the Foundry builds them, under the Nexus Consortium.Labs
  2. FoundryWhere the evidence behind a mandate or commitment is built, with its owner and limits on record.Climate and Nature Governance in FoundryFoundry
  3. UniverseWhere mandates become missions: GRF records each gate, convenes the parties and keeps implementation accountable.Climate and Nature Governance in Universeuniverse.nexus
  4. Nexus StandardsWhere shared rules are agreed in the open; each jurisdiction decides adoption, and no global body holds a veto.Climate and Earth Systems in Standardsnexustandards.com
  5. ReportsWhere governance analysis and the year’s results are published, so commitments can be followed and checked.Climate and Nature Governance in ReportsReports
  6. Risk AcademyWhere policymakers, diplomats and agency staff learn the programme roles and decision-making on the record, on Risk Academy.Faculty of Earth and Environmental Sciences in Academyrisksacademy.com
21Questions

Questions and answers.

Who publishes Climate and Nature Governance?
The Global Risks Forum (GRF) publishes Climate and Nature Governance and is responsible for what it publishes. GRF convenes and governs programmes. It does not regulate, finance, procure or certify, and hosting or sponsorship confers no authority over findings.
Is Climate and Nature Governance active?
Climate and Nature Governance is an established platform of The Global Risks Forum. Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.
How can I contribute?
Start with the participation paths or write to the contact form. An enquiry receives a reference; it does not create membership, a role or an assignment.
Where are findings published?
Reviewed outputs appear on the publications page, and contributions to the Reports series are listed on Publish in Reports.
Which values on this platform are real?
Indicator names, units, sources, methods and frameworks are real. Levels in figures and canvases are examples in a design. A programme replaces them with labelled evidence it owns.
How do I report an error?
Use corrections and concerns, or write to the integrity concern form. A correction is recorded as a new version, never a silent edit.
Does the platform make climate or environmental policy?
No. Policy is made by competent public authorities under their own rules. The platform convenes, compares and publishes; see the decision-rights context.
How is this different from climate science platforms?
Science is done at The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), for example in Climate and Hazards and Water Nexus. This platform studies and convenes the institutions that use that science.
ReportsContribute

Contribute evidence from this page.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.

Global Risks ForumClimate and Nature GovernanceRegional SystemsEvidence Brief
How it works

How Climate and Nature Governance works.

Choose a view and press Play to follow the platform’s process, its programme year, the standards it applies and how its findings are published. The outline shows how the work is designed to run, not the status of any decision.

Climate and Nature Governance

How Climate and Nature Governance works

Platforms · Programme year · Standards · Reports

A platform joins a field to named methods, labelled evidence and the outputs it publishes, without becoming the authority it serves.

  1. 01 Scope

    1. 01Field and familiesStart · The platform leadThe home states the field, its families and who it serves.
    2. 02Topic dossiersRecord · Platform authorsTopics explain the subject with labelled evidence.
  2. 02 Evidence

    1. 03Evidence labelsRecord · GCRIEach value is labelled: observed, published statistics, estimated, modelled, scenario or unknown.
    2. 04MethodsStep · Method ownersMethods come from the STEM Commons, each with one canonical page.
  3. 03 Work

    1. 05Scenarios on the systemsModel · Foundry pillarScenarios run on the Nexus systems, labelled as scenario.
    2. 06Standards that applyRecord · Nexus StandardsThe platform names the standards that apply. A validator report is evidence for review.
  4. 04 Publish

    1. 07EditionsRecord · ReportsFindings are published through Reports with their limits.
    2. 08Authority decidesOutcome · The competent authorityDecisions and execution stay with the government, operator or licensed institution.

Climate and Nature Governance home · Platforms · Shared methodsAn outline of how the work is designed to run; it does not report the status of any decision or record.

Take part

Take part in Climate and Nature Governance.

Start from who you are. Answer an open call. Or form and lead a competence cell on the Climate and Nature Governance platform.

Route

National institutions

Ministries, statistics offices and agencies: a national desk and chapter, and a seat in the working groups. National chapters

Route

Sectors and professions

Operators, regulators, banks, insurers and professional bodies whose work touches Climate and Nature Governance. Participate

Route

Learning

Courses and practice, with a record of every course completed. Free to study. Open learning

Route

Standards

Draft, review and adopt the methods and data standards with the working groups. Working groups

Route

Communities and research

Universities, civil society and individual experts: projects, data and review. Write to the team

The Global Risks Index

Every figure on this page is indexed: environment, economy, climate, The Andes.

The Index is the Consortium’s indexing system for risk data. Every indicator, hazard, series and country profile carries its Nexus Standards identifier, its source and its licence, so what this page shows can be traced, corrected and reused.

  1. 01 · Sources205 registered sourcesEvery value keeps its source and licence; withheld values are counted.Data and licences
  2. 02 · Nexus StandardsNIS-1 and NHS-1451 indicators, 905 hazards; every record carries a UNI.Nexus Standards
  3. 03 · The Index54 series, 195 country profilesComputed on the standards; no value is published until an edition is released.The Global Risks Index
  4. 04 · This pageClimate and Nature GovernanceMaps, figures and feeds read the Index in the context of environment, economy, climate and The Andes.Public API
Sources205registered, each with its licence
Indicators451NIS-1, 106 composites, 20 domain indices
Hazards905NHS-1, crosswalked to UNDRR-ISC HIPs
Series54global, sector, strategic, technology, thematic
Country profiles195one site per country

Series in this context environment, economy, climate

  1. GSGlobal BiodiversityEnvironmental pressure, ecosystem condition, nature dependency of economies and the nature–climate–water–food feedbacks.NXS-GRX-AR-000069Environment · Climate · Economy
  2. GSGlobal Food and agrifoodAcute and chronic food insecurity, production shocks, import dependency, prices, fertiliser and logistics chokepoints, nutrition and pollination dependency.NXS-GRX-AR-000061Climate · Economy · Environment
  3. GLBGlobal SystemsThe state of interdependent global risk: the twenty domain indices aggregated to the world, the five core systems (water, energy, food, health, biodiversity) and their couplings, the global tail register and the gap…NXS-GRX-AR-000002Climate · Economy · Environment
  4. GSGlobal Earth observationWhat Earth observation can and cannot see of risk: coverage, revisit, latency and the observing systems NXS-GRX (canonical data, provenance and risk) depends on.NXS-GRX-AR-000070Climate · Environment

All 54 series · The 20 domain indices

Country profiles The Andes

Every country profile carries the source and licence of each value. Correct a value or reply

Hazard domains NHS-1

Geodata and API open

Open layers on an equal-area hexagon grid, shown as densities per km² or as symbols: People · GHSL 2025People · WorldPop 2025Built-up areaPortsAirportsRoadsRailwaysRivers and lake centrelines

/api/v1/public/grix · https://nexustandards.com/uni/{uni}
Developers · Data · Made with Natural Earth, Public domain; GHSL and WorldPop, CC BY 4.0

Snapshot of the Index registries pinned 2026-10-23 · 22c6eed. Research and risk-analytics information: not a rating, an official classification, a warning, a benchmark or advice.

Climate and Nature Governance

Bring a governance question to the Forum.

Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.

The Global Risks Forum

Convening · leadership · urgency

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Independence

Editors and the expert reviewers named on each article decide what we publish. Funders and partners do not review or approve articles before publication.

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Articles: CC BY 4.0. Figures, maps, twins and data: CC BY 4.0. Other uses: ask through the permissions form.