GRF · Policy Nexus
Methods and critical debate
The methods Policy Nexus relies on to inform policy and governance decisions: comparative governance, policy analysis, foresight and exercises with institutions, with the mandates they serve and their limits.
The order things happen in.
- 01Draftsources cited, labels attached
- 02Evidence checkevery value traced
- 03Independent reviewconflicts declared
- 04Editionpublished with its limits
- 05Correctiona new version, never a silent edit
The methods in use.
- 01Policy, institutional and decision scienceMandate mapping for a cross-sector risk · Review of regulatory impact assessmentsApplied here
- 02Game theory and mechanism designStability of a transboundary agreement · Design of a regional risk poolApplied here
- 03Causal inference and impact evaluationStaggered adoption of a reform · Eligibility thresholds in programmesApplied here
- 04Decision analysis under uncertaintyOption appraisal for a policy instrument · Adaptive pathways for public planningApplied here
How options are analysed.
| Method | Use | Platform page |
|---|---|---|
| Cost-benefit and cost-effectiveness analysis | Comparing value of options | Decision analysis |
| Game-theoretic analysis | Strategic behaviour between jurisdictions | Game theory |
| Programme evaluation | Did the policy cause the change? | Causal inference |
| Multi-criteria analysis | Options with incommensurable values | Policy science |
How the process runs.
Process explorer · Process
Methods and critical debate: Asset register to adaptation
8 steps·3 stages
Process
Methods and critical debate: Asset register to adaptation
A generic method sketch using standard hazard, exposure and vulnerability vocabulary; no single body publishes this chain, so it is not a standard.
01 Inputs
- 01Asset registerDataset · Policy ownerA register lists the public assets in scope with their location and condition.
- 02Hazard layersDatasetHazard maps, for example flood or heat, come from a named source. The source is set by the page.
02 Analysis
- 03OverlayModelA spatial join places each asset in the hazard zones.
- 04ExposureDatasetExposure lists the assets and people served in the hazard zones.
- 05Vulnerability classesModelVulnerability classes by asset type, for example damage curves, relate hazard intensity to expected damage.
- 06Risk rankingStep · Policy ownerAssets are ranked by expected damage and criticality. The ranking criteria are chosen by the owner.
03 Plan
- 07Adaptation optionsStepOptions such as grey or green measures are listed with their co-benefits and costs.
- 08Capital planDecision · Policy ownerThe responsible body decides which options enter the capital plan.
Neutral outline of a published external standard or method, from its issuing body. Not a record of operation. Nexus does not perform, certify or approve any step shown. A gate or decision belongs to the party the source names. No authoritative public source for this exact chain was found.
How uncertainty is reported.
- 01
State assumptions
Each analysis lists its assumptions and the data it depends on.
- 02
Quantify where possible
Ranges and confidence are reported alongside central estimates.
- 03
Validate and compare
Models are checked against observations and, where possible, against other models.
- 04
Publish limits
What an analysis cannot show is stated beside what it can.
Where this page's references lead.
The bodies and documents this page is read against. Status and editions change; each link goes to the issuing body.
Questions and answers.
Are the methods open?
Contribute evidence from this page.
Reports is the Consortium's quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.
- EmailGateway GW-GRFSend it from this pageEvidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.
- ZenodoOpen depositDeposit it and submit to the communityPublish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.
- ReportsGlobal Risks ForumSee every way to contributeThe contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.
Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.
Bring a governance question to the Forum.
Information and enquiries are open today. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.
Legal documents.
Show all 18 legal documents
Maps, data and figures on this site are shown for context and general information. They are not advice, forecasts or warnings; the limits of the information are set out in the Disclaimers and Data Notices.
