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Topic dossier · Climate and Nature Governance

Climate risk governance

Climate risk governance is how an institution assigns ownership of climate risk, sets objectives, takes decisions and answers for them. In government it runs through climate framework laws, independent advisory bodies, carbon budgets and audit. In companies and financial institutions it runs through boards, risk committees and supervisors. This page sets out the mechanisms that make climate risk governance hold or erode, the records that show it, and who holds each decision.

The interactive map needs JavaScript; the layer list and sources are below.

Layers 3

Climate signals, for this page

Latest available

NASA GIBS / EOSDIS · ASTER GDEM (METI, NASA) · Blue Marble (NASA) · © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL) · Natural Earth

Loading the latest NASA imagery.

Drag to move. Ctrl or ⌘ and scroll, pinch or the buttons to zoom; hover for the values under the pointer; reset returns to the region.

For climate risk governance, in GRF's situational-awareness reading, the map opens on population density, daytime surface heat and night lights with a 15-day forecast chart at the centre and surface air temperature from NASA GIBS, framed on the Andes; 3 further NASA layers wait in the list.Satellite and model products as NASA publishes them, each with its own date; indicators, not assessments of any place; claim ceiling INTEGRATED.

Data: NASA GIBS · ASTER GDEM · Blue Marble · © OpenStreetMap contributors · Natural Earth · NASA EONET · GDACS · NASA AIRSSources and licences

  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN), Columbia University. 2018. Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, Revision 11. NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC). Licensed under CC BY 4.0. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). CC BY 4.0
  • VIIRS near-real-time products (flood, land surface temperature, snow cover, corrected reflectance), NASA LANCE; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • VIIRS Black Marble night-time lights, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center; distributed by the NASA Level-1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System (LAADS DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • GPM IMERG precipitation, NASA Precipitation Processing System; distributed by the NASA Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • GHRSST Level 4 MUR analyses, NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory; distributed by the NASA Physical Oceanography DAAC (PO.DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • ASTER GDEM is a product of METI and NASA (ASTER Global Digital Elevation Model V003, NASA LP DAAC); imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Made with Natural Earth. Free vector and raster map data @ naturalearthdata.com. Public domain
  • © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), via NASA GIBS (coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names). Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). ODbL
  • Blue Marble, NASA Earth Observatory; imagery via NASA GIBS. Colours redrawn from the published colour map; values averaged into H3 cells where shown (modified). NASA open data
  • Context on the globe and flat map: coastlines, boundaries, roads and place names from NASA GIBS reference layers (OpenStreetMap data, ODbL, © OpenStreetMap contributors); Blue Marble imagery as an optional base; 3D terrain and the elevation read-out from the ASTER GDEM elevation colour index (5 m to 200 m classes, exaggerated for legibility). Boundaries are drawn as published and imply no position on any territory.
  • Globe: MapLibre GL JS 6.9.1, BSD-3-Clause, © MapLibre contributors.
  • Live: NASA EONET Events are indicative, not official warnings.
  • Live: GDACS (EC JRC / UN OCHA) Events are indicative, not official warnings.
  • Observed (EO): NASA AIRS. We acknowledge the use of imagery provided by services from NASA's Global Imagery Browse Services (GIBS), part of NASA's Earth Science Data and Information System (ESDIS).
  • Optional layers (23 sources in the layer list: live, forecast, observed and context) print their provider credit on the map and here when switched on; forecasts are model output and derived indices are estimates.

Layers and dates

  • Population density, 2020: Population: CIESIN, Columbia University, Gridded Population of the World v4.11 (2018), NASA SEDAC, CC BY 4.0 · static
  • Land surface temperature, day, 8-day composite: VIIRS NOAA-20 Level 3, 8-day, NASA LANCE · 14 Sep 2026
  • Night-time lights, daily: VIIRS Black Marble (VNP46A2), NASA LAADS DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
  • Precipitation rate, daily mean: GPM IMERG, NASA GES DISC · 12 Oct 2026
  • Sea surface temperature anomaly: GHRSST MUR25, NASA JPL PO.DAAC · 12 Oct 2026
  • Flood water, 3-day composite: VIIRS Global Flood Product, NASA LANCE · 14 Oct 2026

01In brief

The short answer.

Climate risk governance is how an institution assigns ownership of climate risk, sets objectives and answers for its decisions. In government it runs through framework laws, independent advisory councils and audit; in companies through boards and supervisors. Courts increasingly test whether duties are met.

02Console

Adaptation plan tracker, in outline.

The working screen behind this subject: its structure, terms and states. Names are placeholders and values illustrative.

Adaptation plan tracker

Climate risk governance · National adaptation council · Plan year 3

Water sector behindGRF · Climate and Nature Governance

Actions on track by sector

Water37 pct · req 70Agriculture45 pct · req 70Health70 pct · req 70Cities38 pct · req 70

Implementation gaps

No drought allocation ruleWaterMandate unclearBasin commission
Heat plans missingHealthFundingLine ministry
Coastal setback unenforcedCitiesCapacityProvince D

Adaptation cycle

  1. Assess risknational
  2. PlanNAP
  3. Implementsectors
  4. Monitorindicators
  5. Evaluatelearning
Adaptation plan tracker: the screen's structure, terms and states for Climate risk governance.Placeholder names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.
03The question

Climate risk governance: how the risk develops.

Risk science translation into governance. The dossier below sets out how the risk develops, what is measured, where the data come from, how it is modelled and who decides.

Mechanism

Framework laws set duties

Climate framework laws can fix targets, carbon budgets, reporting duties and independent advisory councils. Where targets lack interim milestones or enforcement, they shift effort to later governments and courts become the route for holding them to account.

Mechanism

Independent review creates pressure

Advisory councils and audit institutions publish progress assessments that ministers must answer. Their influence depends on their mandate, independence, data access and whether governments must respond formally.

Mechanism

Boards own the risk

Climate risk reaches strategy, credit, underwriting and assets. Where no board committee or executive owns it, climate becomes a disclosure exercise and is absent from capital allocation and risk appetite.

Mechanism

Litigation feeds back

Cases against governments and companies test whether duties are met. Judgments can require stronger targets or disclosures, and the risk of litigation itself changes how institutions document their decisions.

04Key terms

Terms used on this page.

Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.

TermDefinition
Carbon budgetA cap on cumulative emissions over a period, set in some climate framework laws to steer policy towards a long-term target.
Independent climate advisory bodyA statutory body that assesses government climate policy and progress and advises parliament and ministers.
Climate litigationCourt and tribunal cases that raise climate change law, policy or science, against governments or companies.
05Indicators

What is measured, and how well.

Each indicator carries its unit, its cadence, the kind of source behind it and the evidence label a value would carry. No values are shown: a programme supplies them under its own authority.

IndicatorUnitCadenceSource typeLabel
Climate framework law in forceyes or no, with legal citationon changeLegislation databasesOFFICIAL
Independent climate advisory bodyexistence and statutory basis, categoricalon changeNational legislationOFFICIAL
Interim emissions targets in lawcount of legally set milestoneson changeLegislation databasesOFFICIAL
Government responses to advisory reportscount and timeliness, daysannualParliamentary recordsOFFICIAL
Climate cases filedcount by jurisdiction and typeannualClimate litigation databasesREPORTED
Board-level climate oversight disclosedshare of large listed companiesannualCompany disclosuresDECLARED
Supreme audit institution climate auditscount of published auditsannualAudit institution recordsOFFICIAL
06Canvas

From sources to decisions.

The topic as a computational graph: named sources feed the methods, an evidence review gates the outputs, and the decisions stay with the authorities that hold them.

Pipeline canvas · Climate risk governance as a run graphDesign, not a record
Climate risk governance: deliberation to decisionA question is framed with its owner, an independent evidence brief is prepared, positions are heard, options with trade-offs are drafted, a recommendation is made with reasons and the mandate holder decides; follow-up is tracked. Design of the process, not a record of a run.

Fig. 02Nodes carry their type, two metric rows and a state; connectors show what feeds what; dashed frames name the owners; the timeline is the cadence. Design of the pipeline, not a record of a run.

07Sources

Where the evidence comes from.

Named public datasets and institutional records, each with its licence class. Sources by agreement are used only under their terms and never republished.

SourceWhat it givesLicence class
Climate Change Laws of the WorldFramework laws, targets and institutional arrangements by countryFree to use with attribution, terms to check
Sabin Center climate change litigation databasesUnited States and global climate cases with documentsFree to read, terms to check
National climate advisory council reportsProgress assessments and government responsesPublic records, terms per body
INTOSAI Working Group on Environmental Auditing recordsEnvironmental and climate audits by supreme audit institutionsPublic records, terms to check
IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group IIIAssessment of climate governance, institutions and policy instrumentsFree, IPCC terms
SEC EDGAR and national filing registersCompany governance and climate risk disclosuresPublic domain or public records, terms per register
08Decisions

Who decides, and what the evidence serves.

Climate and Nature Governance prepares evidence. The decisions below are taken by the authorities named, under their own rules, and never by the platform.

Who decidesThe questionEvidence this page serves
LegislaturesWhether to enact or amend a climate framework law, and what duties it setsComparative framework designs and the record of independent review
Heads of government and cabinetsHow climate risk ownership is assigned across ministriesDecision-rights maps and advisory body assessments
Company boards and risk committeesWho owns climate risk and how it enters strategy and risk appetiteGovernance practice in comparable institutions and supervisory expectations
CourtsWhether a public or private duty concerning climate has been breachedGovernance records and filings presented by parties; the page serves context only

Outputs this topic produces

  • Comparative notes on climate framework laws and advisory councils
  • Decision-rights maps for climate risk in public bodies and boards
  • Dialogue briefs on what recent climate judgments ask of institutions
  • Oversight questions for legislatures, audit committees and supervisors
09Core questions

What experts ask about risk governance.

  • How do governments assess climate risk, and how do those assessments reach budget and planning decisions?
  • How is deep uncertainty about future climate handled in rules and standards?
  • Who owns each risk, and is that ownership written down?
  • How are compound and cascading risks, which cross sectors, governed?
10Mechanisms

From science to decision.

Risk arises from the combination of hazard, exposure and vulnerability. Governance can influence all three: land-use planning limits exposure, building codes and social protection reduce vulnerability, and mitigation policy influences long-term hazard. Yet risk assessments are often produced by technical agencies and do not reach the ministries that set budgets.

Uncertainty is a governance problem in itself. Design standards based on historical climate may be inadequate, but future projections come as ranges. Adaptive approaches, which set decision points and triggers for revisiting plans, are one way institutions handle that uncertainty.

11Methods and evidence

How risk governance is studied.

  1. 01

    National risk assessment review

    Comparing how countries assess and use climate risk, drawing on climate and atmospheric science and policy, institutional and decision science. Methods differ, limiting comparison.

  2. 02

    Risk ownership mapping

    Identifying which institutions own each risk and where ownership is missing.

  3. 03

    Adaptive pathways analysis

    Examining how institutions set decision points and triggers. Few have been tested over long periods.

  4. 04

    Dialogue

    Structured exchanges between scientists and decision-makers through dialogues, recorded with their limits.

12Methods

How it is studied, and what the methods cannot say.

  1. Policy, institutional and decision scienceMandate and decision-rights mapping · Process tracing of commitmentsApplied here
  2. Climate and atmospheric scienceScenarios for adaptation plans · Attribution in governance debatesApplied here
  3. Ecology and biodiversity scienceCumulative effects in assessment · Protected-area representativeness · Restoration monitoringApplied here
13Questions

Questions and answers.

What is a climate framework law?
A law that sets the long-term direction of national climate policy, often with targets, carbon budgets, planning and reporting duties, and an independent advisory body. Designs differ widely between countries.
Why do climate advisory councils matter?
They give government and parliament an independent assessment of progress. Their effect depends on their mandate, independence and whether the government must respond publicly to their findings.
Does the platform follow climate litigation?
It reads published judgments and case records to understand what courts ask of institutions. It does not comment on pending cases or predict outcomes.
What is the difference between risk assessment and risk governance?
Assessment estimates the risk. Governance decides who acts on it, with what authority and resources, and how decisions are reviewed.
How should institutions handle uncertainty?
By using ranges rather than single projections, building flexibility into decisions and setting points at which plans are revisited as evidence changes.
Does the platform produce risk assessments?
No. Risk science is done at GCRI. The platform studies how assessments are used in governance.
What are cascading risks?
Risks that spread from one system to another, such as a drought that affects water, power and food at once. Their governance is hard because no single agency owns them.
Climate and Nature Governance

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