Reports · Global Risks Forum

The Reports pillar · Public meaning, key M

Reports at Global Risks Forum

Where every output of the Consortium’s programme is published, in every format, with its sources, its status and its corrections. GRF holds the public meaning of every edition: what a finding means for governance, diplomacy and public trust, and how it is said without overreach. It brings what its councils, dialogues and working groups learn into the series.

Browse the editionsRead the global edition
Editions drafted
86 of 86
drafted in stewardship review; the rest in preparation
Outputs on this site
258
of 602 formats recorded
Findings
1032
each with its status and source
Correction notices
0
none yet; nothing released

Desk profile · public meaning

GRF Public Deliberation

A 3D model of the GRF Public Deliberation desk: at its centre the desk’s own form, around it the 3 remit families on the base ring, the eight chapters of its edition frame standing on the middle ring, 4 intake conduits for what it accepts, 3 series rails above, 37 edition blocks on the outer arc (0 drafted, drawn solid; the rest in preparation, drawn as wire) and the GW-GRF gateway at the front.

Static plate. The interactive model needs scripts and WebGL; the steps and the list of items carry the same content.

  1. GRF Public Deliberation

    What convenings, councils and the public concluded: positions, dissent and open questions. Reading role: public meaning.

    Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].reports, readingRole

  2. Remit

    The record of deliberation: what a convening, council, dialogue or working group was asked, what it concluded, where participants disagreed and which questions stayed open. Families in its remit: Country Systems Risk and Resilience, Regional Systems, Global Systems.

    Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].remit, remitFamilies

  3. What the desk accepts

    The outcome of a convening, with its agenda and who took part, by role. A stakeholder position, stated by the body that holds it. A recorded dissent or minority view. A question a convening left open for the next edition.

    Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].accepts

  4. The eight-part frame

    Every edition of the desk follows the same eight-part frame as the other desks: 1. What was asked, and by whom; 2. Conclusions and dissent; 3. Positions by sector; 4. Public concerns; 5. Deliberated scenarios; 6. Readings from the other desks; 7. Commitments asked for; 8. Session records.

    Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].chapters

  5. Series

    The desk leads Observatory Signal (in the series registry), Strategic Systems (in the series registry), Evidence Brief (in the series registry).

    Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].seriesLeads, seriesNew · REPORT_SERIES

  6. Editions in the 2026 cycle

    37 editions in the federation record: 0 drafted, 37 in preparation. Drafted editions are solid; editions in preparation are drawn as wire.

    Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions

  7. Contribute

    Material reaches the desk through GW-GRF.

    Open the contribution pageSee the desk’s editions

    Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].gateway

Every item in the model

GRF Public Deliberation

Desk
The Global Risks Forum (GRF)
Edition
Public Deliberation
Reading role
public meaning
Reports
What convenings, councils and the public concluded: positions, dissent and open questions.
Remit
The record of deliberation: what a convening, council, dialogue or working group was asked, what it concluded, where participants disagreed and which questions stayed open.
Site
https://globalriskforum.com/nexus-reports/

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].remit

Country Systems Risk and Resilience

Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
Code
COUNTRY
Editions of this desk in it
26

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · families, desks[1].remitFamilies

Regional Systems

Family
Regional Systems
Code
REGIONAL
Editions of this desk in it
10

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · families, desks[1].remitFamilies

Global Systems

Family
Global Systems
Code
GLOBAL
Editions of this desk in it
1

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · families, desks[1].remitFamilies

1. What was asked, and by whom

Chapter
1. What was asked, and by whom
Frame row
1. The question

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].chapters[0], frame[0]

2. Conclusions and dissent

Chapter
2. Conclusions and dissent
Frame row
2. Findings

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].chapters[1], frame[1]

3. Positions by sector

Chapter
3. Positions by sector
Frame row
3. By system and sector

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].chapters[2], frame[2]

4. Public concerns

Chapter
4. Public concerns
Frame row
4. Risk and capability

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].chapters[3], frame[3]

5. Deliberated scenarios

Chapter
5. Deliberated scenarios
Frame row
5. Scenario

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].chapters[4], frame[4]

6. Readings from the other desks

Chapter
6. Readings from the other desks
Frame row
6. Readings

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].chapters[5], frame[5]

7. Commitments asked for

Chapter
7. Commitments asked for
Frame row
7. Agenda

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].chapters[6], frame[6]

8. Session records

Chapter
8. Session records
Frame row
8. In depth

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].chapters[7], frame[7]

Accepts: The outcome of a convening, with its agenda and who took part, by role

The desk accepts
The outcome of a convening, with its agenda and who took part, by role
Through
GW-GRF, the desk’s contribution gateway

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].accepts[0]

Accepts: A stakeholder position, stated by the body that holds it

The desk accepts
A stakeholder position, stated by the body that holds it
Through
GW-GRF, the desk’s contribution gateway

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].accepts[1]

Accepts: A recorded dissent or minority view

The desk accepts
A recorded dissent or minority view
Through
GW-GRF, the desk’s contribution gateway

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].accepts[2]

Accepts: A question a convening left open for the next edition

The desk accepts
A question a convening left open for the next edition
Through
GW-GRF, the desk’s contribution gateway

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].accepts[3]

Observatory Signal

Series
Observatory Signal
Identifier
observatory-signal
State
in the series registry

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].seriesLeads · REPORT_SERIES

Strategic Systems

Series
Strategic Systems
Identifier
strategic-systems
State
in the series registry

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].seriesLeads · REPORT_SERIES

Evidence Brief

Series
Evidence Brief
Identifier
evidence-brief
State
in the series registry

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].seriesLeads · REPORT_SERIES

Global Systems 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Global Systems 2026
Family
Global Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-GLB-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope GLB)

Canada 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Canada 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-CAN-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope CAN)

United States 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: United States 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-USA-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope USA)

United Kingdom 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: United Kingdom 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-GBR-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope GBR)

France 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: France 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-FRA-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope FRA)

Germany 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Germany 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-DEU-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope DEU)

Italy 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Italy 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-ITA-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope ITA)

Japan 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Japan 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-JPN-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope JPN)

Mexico 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Mexico 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-MEX-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope MEX)

Brazil 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Brazil 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-BRA-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope BRA)

Argentina 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Argentina 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-ARG-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope ARG)

European Union 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: European Union 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-EU-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope EU)

Türkiye 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Türkiye 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-TUR-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope TUR)

Russian Federation 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Russian Federation 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-RUS-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope RUS)

Saudi Arabia 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Saudi Arabia 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-SAU-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope SAU)

United Arab Emirates 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: United Arab Emirates 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-ARE-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope ARE)

South Africa 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: South Africa 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-ZAF-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope ZAF)

African Union 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: African Union 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-AU-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope AU)

India 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: India 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-IND-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope IND)

China 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: China 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-CHN-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope CHN)

Republic of Korea 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Republic of Korea 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-KOR-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope KOR)

Indonesia 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Indonesia 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-IDN-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope IDN)

Australia 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Australia 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-AUS-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope AUS)

Switzerland 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Switzerland 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-CHE-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope CHE)

Senegal 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Senegal 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-SEN-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope SEN)

Kenya 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Kenya 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-KEN-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope KEN)

Singapore 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Singapore 2026
Family
Country Systems Risk and Resilience
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-SGP-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope SGP)

Africa 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Africa 2026
Family
Regional Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-REG-AFR-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope REG-AFR)

Eurasia 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Eurasia 2026
Family
Regional Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-REG-EUA-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope REG-EUA)

ASEAN 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: ASEAN 2026
Family
Regional Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-REG-ASN-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope REG-ASN)

South Asia 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: South Asia 2026
Family
Regional Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-REG-SAS-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope REG-SAS)

North America 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: North America 2026
Family
Regional Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-REG-NAM-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope REG-NAM)

South America 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: South America 2026
Family
Regional Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-REG-SAM-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope REG-SAM)

Europe 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Europe 2026
Family
Regional Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-REG-EUR-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope REG-EUR)

MENA 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: MENA 2026
Family
Regional Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-REG-MEN-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope REG-MEN)

East Asia 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: East Asia 2026
Family
Regional Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-REG-EAS-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope REG-EAS)

Oceania-Pacific 2026

Edition
Public Deliberation: Oceania-Pacific 2026
Family
Regional Systems
State
In preparation
Identifier
NR-GRF-REG-OCP-2026-BASELINE (reserved)

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · editions (desk GRF, scope REG-OCP)

GW-GRF

Gateway
GW-GRF
Contribution form
reports.contribution.grf
Where
https://globalriskforum.com/nexus-reports/contribute/

Source: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json · desks[1].gateway, form

Read from: integrations/wordpress/nexus-reports/data/federation.json, integrations/wordpress/architecture/registry.mjs (REPORT_SERIES). Nothing in the model is scored or ranked.

01GRF Public Deliberation

This desk’s editions: Public Deliberation.

What convenings, councils and the public concluded: positions, dissent and open questions. Each edition is in preparation: its frame is set and chapter 6 carries the desk’s reading from the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) edition. They are parts of the Reports Collection 2026, compiled by GCRI Canada.

The Collection The open call: which desk takes whatThe cycle

Cycle dates are set by the editor. The Collection is released only after every desk edition in it is released. A desk that does not release in a cycle is listed as not in this cycle, never filled in by another desk.

02This desk

What GRF Public Deliberation reports.

The Forum reads an edition for public meaning: what a finding means for governance, diplomacy and trust, and how it can be said without overclaiming.

The Forum deposits session records, positions and the open questions of its series, with the dissent attached to each conclusion.

03Edition index

Every edition, every output, every format.

Filter by region, theme, year and the formats on this site. Each edition opens its outputs, where they came from and how to cite them. An edition is published only when it is deposited with its DOI; until then it stays in stewardship review.

RegionAsia and PacificEuropeGlobalNorth America
ThemeCountry systemsGlobal and sectorStrategic systemsTechnology
Year2026
On this siteWeb editionIndicator dataFigures

On this siteAt release, with the signed bundle and its DOINot recorded for this edition

  1. GLBGlobal Systems 2026Global Systems Risk & Resilience ReportGlobal · Global and sector · 2026 · DRAFTNR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Interdependent Risk, Readiness and Frontier Change.
    • Indicator data. 19 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global baseline indicator set 2026, NR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    DC-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Interdependent Risk, Readiness and Frontier Change.

    Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record
  2. CANCanada 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportNorth America · Country systems · 2026 · DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Canada’s Interdependent Systems.
    • Indicator data. 20 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    NQ-CAN-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Canada’s Interdependent Systems.

    Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record
  3. USAUnited States 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportNorth America · Country systems · 2026 · DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), United States Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United States Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the United States’ Interdependent Systems.
    • Indicator data. 18 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United States baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United States Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    NQ-USA-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United States Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the United States’ Interdependent Systems.

    Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record
  4. GBRUnited Kingdom 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportEurope · Country systems · 2026 · DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the United Kingdom’s Interdependent Systems.
    • Indicator data. 16 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    NQ-GBR-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), United Kingdom Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the United Kingdom’s Interdependent Systems.

    Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record
  5. FRAFrance 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportEurope · Country systems · 2026 · DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), France Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), France Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of France’s Interdependent Systems.
    • Indicator data. 16 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), France baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), France Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    NQ-FRA-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), France Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of France’s Interdependent Systems.

    Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record
  6. DEUGermany 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportEurope · Country systems · 2026 · DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Germany Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Germany Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Germany’s Interdependent Systems.
    • Indicator data. 14 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Germany baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Germany Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    NQ-DEU-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Germany Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Germany’s Interdependent Systems.

    Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record
  7. ITAItaly 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportEurope · Country systems · 2026 · DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Italy Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Italy Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Italy’s Interdependent Systems.
    • Indicator data. 16 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Italy baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Italy Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    NQ-ITA-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Italy Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Italy’s Interdependent Systems.

    Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record
  8. JPNJapan 2026Country Systems Risk & Resilience ReportAsia and Pacific · Country systems · 2026 · DRAFTNR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Japan Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Japan Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Japan’s Interdependent Systems.
    • Indicator data. 17 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Japan baseline indicator set 2026, NR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Japan Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    NQ-JPN-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Japan Systems Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of Japan’s Interdependent Systems.

    Reports series · Edition 2026–2030 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record
  9. GS-01Global Water 2026Global Sector Report · GS-01Global · Global and sector · 2026 · DRAFTNR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Water Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Water Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the World’s Water System.
    • Indicator data. 18 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global water baseline indicator set 2026, NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Water Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    DC-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Water Risk & Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition: The State of the World’s Water System.

    Reports series · Global Sector Series GS-01 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record
  10. SR-01Global Polycrisis 2026Strategic Systems Report · SR-01Global · Strategic systems · 2026 · DRAFTNR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), Polycrisis Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Strategic Systems Report 2026, Global Polycrisis and Cascading Systems Risk, Baseline Edition.
    • Indicator data. 19 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Polycrisis baseline indicator set 2026, NR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Polycrisis Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    DC-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Strategic Systems Report 2026, Global Polycrisis and Cascading Systems Risk, Baseline Edition.

    Reports series · Strategic Systems Series SR-01 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record
  11. XT-01AI and Agentic Systems 2026Exponential Technology Report · XT-01Global · Technology · 2026 · DRAFTNR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0
    Outputs, provenance and citation

    Outputs

    • Web edition. Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source. Valadbaygi (ed.), AI and Agentic Systems Report 2026, Baseline Edition, NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE.
    • Print edition. A4 portrait · screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Exponential Technology Report 2026, Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems, Baseline Edition.
    • Indicator data. 15 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), AI baseline indicator set 2026, NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE data release v1. GCRI, 2026.
    • Figures. 4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder. S. Valadbaygi (ed.), AI and Agentic Systems Report 2026, Baseline Edition, Figure n.m (FIG-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-CH-NNN), v1.0.0.
    • Slides. No slide deck is recorded for this edition.
    • Evidence brief. No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.
    • Dataset with DOI. Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.

    Provenance

    Edition pack
    The edition’s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built
    Evidence cut
    DC-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-B0, closed 30 September 2026
    Reproducibility
    sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters
    Self-check
    14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release
    Review
    five passes scheduled before release (in Annex C)
    Publisher of record
    GCRI for the Nexus Consortium
    Corrections
    Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version

    Cite as · NR-CIT-1

    S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Exponential Technology Report 2026, Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems, Baseline Edition.

    Reports series · Exponential Technology Series XT-01 · Baseline Edition 2026 · v1.0.0 · GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026 · NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 · DOI at deposit

    Publication record

11 drafted editions, ordered by family and code, never by value. 75 more Baseline Edition 2026 editions are in preparation and have no outputs yet; they are listed on the programme board.

This shelf shows 11 of 86 drafted editions. The full list, with every subject, is in the catalogue. Open the catalogue

Baseline Edition 2026Drafted, in stewardship review
  1. NEXUS REPORTS GLB Global and sector Global Systems Baseline Edition 2026 The State of Interdependent Risk, Readiness and Frontier Change, the global baseline NR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W0
  2. NEXUS REPORTS CAN Countries and unions Canada Baseline Edition 2026 The state of Canada’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W0
  3. NEXUS REPORTS USA Countries and unions United States Baseline Edition 2026 The state of the United States’ interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
  4. NEXUS REPORTS GBR Countries and unions United Kingdom Baseline Edition 2026 The state of the United Kingdom’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
  5. NEXUS REPORTS FRA Countries and unions France Baseline Edition 2026 The state of France’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
  6. NEXUS REPORTS DEU Countries and unions Germany Baseline Edition 2026 The state of Germany’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
  7. NEXUS REPORTS ITA Countries and unions Italy Baseline Edition 2026 The state of Italy’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
  8. NEXUS REPORTS JPN Countries and unions Japan Baseline Edition 2026 The state of Japan’s interdependent systems, water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, and the national risk portfolio at the 2026 baseline NR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W1
  9. NEXUS REPORTS GS-01 Global and sector Global Water Baseline Edition 2026 The state of the world’s water system, access, scarcity, extremes and the couplings to energy, food, health and nature, at the 2026 baseline NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W0
  10. NEXUS REPORTS SR-01 Strategic systems Global Polycrisis Baseline Edition 2026 How crises become entangled, common causes, domino effects and feedbacks across climate, food, energy, finance, health and conflict, at the 2026 baseline NR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W0
  11. NEXUS REPORTS XT-01 Technology Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems Baseline Edition 2026 Artificial intelligence and agentic systems as physical infrastructure, compute, energy, water, chips, labour, safety and governance, at the 2026 baseline NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0 In stewardship review W0
  1. 31 December 2026Q1 2027 · State and agenda
  2. 31 March 2027Q2 2027 · Evidence and build
  3. 30 June 2027Q3 2027 · Stress test and readiness
  4. 30 September 2027Q4 2027 · Annual flagship
04Lead edition · Global Systems Risk & Resilience Report

Global Systems 2026

The State of Interdependent Risk, Readiness and Frontier Change, the global baseline.

Abstract

The world enters 2027 more than 1.4 °C warmer than in the late nineteenth century. 2024 was the warmest year on record at 1.55 °C and 2025 the second or third warmest at 1.43 °C; the eleven years 2015–2025 are the eleven warmest observed [1]. Natural disasters caused US$224 billion in losses in 2025, of which US$108 billion was insured, the sixth successive year above US$100 billion insured, driven by floods, storms and wildfires rather than one peak event [2]. Energy-related emissions reached a record 37.8 Gt CO₂ in 2024 [4]; about 673 million people faced hunger [7]; monitored wildlife populations fell by 73% on average between 1970 and 2020 [9]. This Baseline Edition fixes the reference state for the global water, energy, food, health and biodiversity system, maps the couplings through which shocks travel between regions and sectors, and sets the questions the 2027 global edition will answer from national, regional and sector evidence. It ranks no country. It establishes where the evidence stands, what remains uncertain and what to watch.

Open the edition

Headline finding

REPORTEDNRF-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-FIN-003

Insurers covered about 48% of the US$224 billion in natural-disaster losses in 2025, about 70% in North America, about half in Europe, about 12% in Asia and under a fifth in Africa.

Implication

The protection gap is widest where exposure is growing fastest and fiscal space is thinnest. Uninsured losses become household debt, delayed reconstruction and pressure on public budgets, which feed back into vulnerability before the next event [2] [13] [18].

05Read the record

One coupled system, every edition, every finding.

One coupled system, read from the planet to the country.

Every edition reads the six-sector nexus of the estate doctrine (water, energy, infrastructure, food, health and biodiversity); the 2026 baseline assesses five of them, and the twenty couplings between those five, at its own scale. Infrastructure couplings are not yet assessed in any edition. Read together, they show where shocks travel, where they loop back and amplify, and where national context changes the picture.

  1. Planetary and sector2 of 16 drafted
    GLBGlobal SystemsGS-01Global Water

    Strong in every drafted edition at this scale (11): WAT → ENE, WAT → FOO, WAT → HLT, WAT → BIO, ENE → FOO, ENE → HLT, FOO → WAT, FOO → HLT, FOO → BIO, BIO → WAT, BIO → FOO.

  2. Strategic systems1 of 14 drafted
    SR-01Global Polycrisis

    Strong in every drafted edition at this scale (11): WAT → ENE, WAT → FOO, WAT → HLT, WAT → BIO, ENE → FOO, ENE → HLT, FOO → WAT, FOO → HLT, FOO → BIO, BIO → WAT, BIO → FOO.

  3. Technology systems1 of 20 drafted
    XT-01Artificial Intelligence and Agentic Systems

    Strong in every drafted edition at this scale (11): WAT → ENE, WAT → FOO, WAT → HLT, WAT → BIO, ENE → FOO, ENE → HLT, FOO → WAT, FOO → HLT, FOO → BIO, BIO → WAT, BIO → FOO.

  4. Regional0 of 10 drafted
    In preparation; no edition at this scale is drafted yet.

  5. National7 of 26 drafted
    CANCanadaUSAUnited StatesGBRUnited KingdomFRAFranceDEUGermanyITAItalyJPNJapan

    Strong in every drafted edition at this scale (8): WAT → FOO, WAT → BIO, ENE → FOO, ENE → HLT, FOO → HLT, FOO → BIO, BIO → WAT, BIO → FOO.

Reinforcing loops on the six-sector hexagon (Infrastructure is not yet assessed in any edition): 3 pairs rated strong in both directions in at least one edition
Line weight: the share of editions that rate both directions strong. Method: a causal-loop reading of each edition’s coupling matrix (Sterman, Business Dynamics, 2000). Strengths are ◆ ESTIMATED; a loop here is structural, not a measured feedback.

Reinforcing loops · 3 pairs

  1. WAT ⇄ FOOWater and foodGLBGS-01SR-01XT-014 of 11
  2. WAT ⇄ BIOWater and biodiversityGLBCANUSAGBRFRADEUITAJPNGS-01SR-01XT-0111 of 11
  3. FOO ⇄ BIOFood and biodiversityGLBCANUSAGBRFRADEUITAJPNGS-01SR-01XT-0111 of 11

Where a shock enters one system of a loop it returns amplified through the other; these are the pairs the 2027 stress tests read first. Pairs not listed carry at least one direction rated moderate or weak in every edition.

Where the editions differ · 3 of 20

  1. WAT → HLTWater to health
    1. GLB Strong
    2. CAN Moderate
    3. USA Moderate
    4. GBR Moderate
    5. FRA Moderate
    6. DEU Moderate
    7. ITA Moderate
    8. JPN Moderate
    9. GS-01 Strong
    10. SR-01 Strong
    11. XT-01 Strong
    4 strong · 7 moderate
  2. FOO → WATFood to water
    1. GLB Strong
    2. CAN Moderate
    3. USA Moderate
    4. GBR Moderate
    5. FRA Moderate
    6. DEU Moderate
    7. ITA Moderate
    8. JPN Moderate
    9. GS-01 Strong
    10. SR-01 Strong
    11. XT-01 Strong
    4 strong · 7 moderate
  3. WAT → ENEWater to energy
    1. GLB Strong
    2. CAN Strong
    3. USA Strong
    4. GBR Moderate
    5. FRA Strong
    6. DEU Strong
    7. ITA Strong
    8. JPN Strong
    9. GS-01 Strong
    10. SR-01 Strong
    11. XT-01 Strong
    10 strong · 1 moderate

The other 17 couplings carry the same strength in all 11 editions. Strong everywhere: WAT → FOO, WAT → BIO, ENE → FOO, ENE → HLT, FOO → HLT, FOO → BIO, BIO → WAT, BIO → FOO. Strengths are programme estimates (◆ ESTIMATED) from cited evidence and analogue events; a word, never a score.

The twenty couplings

From the row system to the column system. Strong, moderate or weak in every drafted edition; “varies” where they differ.
From, toWATENEFOOHLTBIO
WAT·variesStrvariesStr
ENEMod·StrStrMod
FOOvariesWea·StrStr
HLTWeaWeaMod·Wea
BIOStrModStrMod·
06Take part

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A correction is a new version with a published notice. The log lists each edition’s versions and notices from its own publication record.

0correction notices. No edition has been released yet, so none can be corrected; the log below lists each edition’s current version.

EditionVersionDateStateChangeNotice
GLBNR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None
CANNR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None
USANR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None
GBRNR-COUNTRY-GBR-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None
FRANR-COUNTRY-FRA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None
DEUNR-COUNTRY-DEU-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None
ITANR-COUNTRY-ITA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None
JPNNR-COUNTRY-JPN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None
GS-01NR-SECTOR-WATER-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None
SR-01NR-STRATEGIC-POLYCRISIS-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None
XT-01NR-XTECH-AI-GLOBAL-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0October 2026DraftBaseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,None

Notice types: erratum, addendum, supersession, withdrawal. A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable, and no edition is ever edited in silence. How corrections work

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