Deliberated scenarios

The scenarios the convenings discussed, and what participants said would change their view.

In preparation. This GRF chapter is not written yet; it holds no findings.
Contents
  1. ·Edition home
  2. 1What was asked, and by whom
  3. 2Conclusions and dissent
  4. 3Positions by sector
  5. 4Public concerns
  6. 5Deliberated scenarios
    1. 5.1 What this chapter will report
    2. 5.2 Where the evidence sits now
    3. 5.3 Contribute to this chapter
  7. 6Readings from the other desks
  8. 7Commitments asked for
  9. 8Session records

5.1What this chapter will report

The scenarios the convenings discussed, and what participants said would change their view.

It answers the frame question "scenario" in the terms of the Global Risks Forum (GRF) Public Deliberation, so the Collection can set it beside chapter 5 of the other desks’ editions.

5.2Where the evidence sits now

The nearest material today is chapter 5 of the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) Systems Evidence edition for Africa: scenario cascade. It is a cross-reference, not a copy, and it is a draft in stewardship review.

GCRI edition, chapter 5

Downloads

The print edition of the evidence this chapter cross-references: the GCRI Systems Evidence edition for Africa.

Draft, not yet releasedThe print and files of the GCRI edition this desk’s edition cross-references. Review copies until release; the DOI is issued at deposit.

  • Print

    • PDF, A4

      The GCRI Systems Evidence print edition for this subject, A4: cover, imprint, contents with page numbers, every chapter and annex.

      PDF110 pages922 KBTagged, with bookmarks

      SHA-256 76ef3eafbaf2674813722d441434a847652a745309e98b674038290bac6287ea

      Download: PDF, A4

    • PDF, US Letter

      The GCRI Systems Evidence print edition for this subject, US Letter: cover, imprint, contents with page numbers, every chapter and annex.

      PDF116 pages933 KBTagged, with bookmarks

      SHA-256 2444ec38a596a54aefb811831fd34c3ff3faa460a5d86370ba8aebade78ab02e

      Download: PDF, US Letter

  • Web edition

  • Data bundle

    • Indicators, CSV

      20 indicators with unit, year, status and source

      NR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE-indicators.csv1 KB

      SHA-256 ca43920f5215706afa619f791d969ac3b434514eb760e9a6eb698b5698ea139b

      Download: Indicators, CSV

    • Indicators, JSON

      The same indicators with the edition’s identity and licence

      NR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE-indicators.json2 KB

      SHA-256 02e298d237b1536ef588285bd9ca753337a1a449e7990af3bd8b12e33a96a8be

      Download: Indicators, JSON

    • Findings, CSV

      12 findings with status, evidence-quality level and references

      NR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE-findings.csv3 KB

      SHA-256 818968170edd08183d6ed8e8a494abd4a104a6b8b39adc48490ad69bbad888d1

      Download: Findings, CSV

  • Citation files

    • Citation, BibTeX

      For LaTeX and reference managers

      NR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE.bib1 KB

      SHA-256 8435bd5847ce8a16672c39d7f5536faf29f9e1d9ba58432688d1bc58a81f8f5f

      Download: Citation, BibTeX

    • Citation, RIS

      For Zotero, EndNote and Mendeley

      NR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE.ris1 KB

      SHA-256 584caf8b4133a0b112554967978756a1a050a9073185cf9cb88c17a9857a6fb9

      Download: Citation, RIS

    • Citation, CITATION.cff

      Citation File Format 1.2.0, for GitHub, Zenodo and software catalogues

      NR-REGIONAL-AFR-2026-BASELINE.cff1 KB

      SHA-256 9004e15af56a778a4034e411b98a3b3f965f78482b87da32fc482727e316693c

      Download: Citation, CITATION.cff

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5.3Contribute to this chapter

The record of deliberation: what a convening, council, dialogue or working group was asked, what it concluded, where participants disagreed and which questions stayed open. Material for this chapter goes to the GRF Public Deliberation desk; what belongs to another desk is forwarded, not refused.

The Forum reads an edition for public meaning: what a finding means for governance, diplomacy and trust, and how it can be said without overclaiming.

If you took part in a convening, send the record and say which body held it. The Forum will ask each participant before it names them.

Which desk takes what you have
ReportsContribute

Contribute to chapter 5 of Public Deliberation: Africa 2026.

Reports is the Consortium’s quarterly publication, written by six desks. This page sits with the GRF Public Deliberation desk. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work. Sent to the wrong desk, it is forwarded, not refused.

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Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.

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