Should GRF establish a model certification protocol for institutional use?

As the use of simulation and forecasting models grows across finance, policy, and disaster risk management, questions of reliability, transparency, and fitness-for-purpose become critical. A certification protocol could help establish a baseline of trust, technical rigor, and interoperability for models used by GRF members—including sovereigns, financial institutions, and research bodies. This question seeks input on the feasibility, scope, and design of such a certification framework. Key considerations include criteria for model validation, governance of the certification process, alignment with international standards (e.g., ISO, UNDRR), and the implications for public procurement, risk finance, and multilateral coordination.