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class=\"nx-gp-b\"\/><\/linearGradient><\/defs><\/svg><div class=\"nrp\"><div class=\"nrp-wrap\"><article class=\"nrp-flow\"><header class=\"nrp-hero\"><div class=\"nrp-hero-grid\"><div><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Reports<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Baseline Edition 2026<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Complete edition<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h1 class=\"pp-hero-title nrp-hero-title-l\">United States Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026<\/h1><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The State of the United States\u2019 Interdependent Systems<\/p><div class=\"nrp-actions\"><button class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" type=\"button\" data-nrp-act=\"print\" hidden><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M6 18H4a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-5a2 2 0 0 1 2-2h16a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v5a2 2 0 0 1-2 2h-2\"\/><path d=\"M6 9V3a1 1 0 0 1 1-1h10a1 1 0 0 1 1 1v6\"\/><rect x=\"6\" y=\"14\" width=\"12\" height=\"8\" rx=\"1\"\/><\/svg>Print or save as PDF<\/button><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M19 12H5\"\/><path d=\"m12 19-7-7 7-7\"\/><\/svg>Edition home<\/a><\/div><p class=\"nrp-note nrp-noprint\">Choose A4 or Letter in the print dialog; running heads and page numbers are added in print. This is a review copy: the signed PDF with its DOI is issued at release.<\/p><\/div><div><div class=\"nrp-cover\"><div class=\"nrp-cover-top\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">USA<\/span><\/div><span class=\"nrp-cover-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><p class=\"nrp-cover-k\">Country Systems Risk and Resilience<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cover-t\">United States 2026<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cover-s\">The State of the United States\u2019 Interdependent Systems<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cover-foot\"><span>Baseline Edition 2026<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><span><abbr title=\"The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation\">GCRI<\/abbr> for the Nexus Consortium<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block nrp-imprint\" aria-label=\"Imprint\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Imprint<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Editor<\/dt><dd>Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor, the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI)<\/dd><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI) for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto<\/dd><dt>Report number<\/dt><dd class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/dd><dt>Evidence close<\/dt><dd>30 September 2026, cut NQ-USA-2026-Q0-1<\/dd><dt>Status<\/dt><dd>Draft under stewardship review; not yet released<\/dd><dt>DOI and UNI<\/dt><dd>Issued at deposit<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd>CC BY 4.0 for Nexus-authored text, tables and figures; third-party material keeps its own licence<\/dd><dt>Cite as<\/dt><dd>Valadbaygi, S. (Ed.). (2026). United States <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk and Resilience Report 2026: The State of the United States\u2019 Interdependent Systems (Baseline Edition 2026, Report No. NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE) [Draft under review]. The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI). https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" aria-label=\"Contents\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Contents<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">\u00b7<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-summary\">Executive summary<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">1<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-coupled-system\">Chapter 1. America\u2019s risk is coupled, not cumulative<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">2<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-findings\">Chapter 2. Key findings<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">3<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-systems-and-sectors\">Chapter 3. Systems and sectors at baseline<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">4<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-risk-and-capability\">Chapter 4. Risks and capability<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">5<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-scenario\">Chapter 5. Western heat, fire and grid summer<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">6<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-lenses-and-readings\">Chapter 6. Lenses and readings<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">7<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-agenda\">Chapter 7. The 2027 agenda<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">8<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-systems-in-depth\">Chapter 8. Systems in depth<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-methodology\">Annex A. Methodology<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">B<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-data\">Annex B. Data appendix<\/a><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">C<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-part-references\">Annex C. References and record<\/a><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-summary\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Executive summary<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Executive summary<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The edition on a few pages: the abstract, the key messages, the headline finding and what each steward reads in it.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>5 min read<\/span><span>1 figure<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>16 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.1<\/span><span>Abstract<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-prose\"><p>The United States enters 2027 as the country carrying the largest share of the world\u2019s recorded disaster losses. North America accounted for US$133 billion of the US$224 billion in global natural-disaster losses in 2025, about 70% of it insured, led by the Los Angeles wildfires at about US$53 billion<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup>. There were 27 billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup>, and the contiguous United States has warmed about 1.4 \u00b0C since 1970, faster than the global average<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup>. Gross greenhouse-gas emissions were 6,343 Mt CO\u2082e in 2022; net emissions were about 17% below 2005<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup>. Data centres used about 4.4% of US electricity in 2023, with 6.7\u201312% projected for 2028<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup>, and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> reached a record 2,325 in 2023<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup>. This Baseline Edition fixes the reference state for the five core <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>, maps the dependencies through which shocks travel between them, and sets the questions the first operational edition will answer in Q1 2027. It ranks nothing and decides nothing.<\/p><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.2<\/span><span>Key messages<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The eight questions this edition answers, each with its status and source.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-km\"><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Gross emissions were 6,343 Mt CO\u2082e in 2022; net emissions about 17% below 2005.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Where do emissions stand?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">27 billion-dollar disasters in 2024; the 2025 Los Angeles fires were the costliest <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a> on record.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Are disaster losses rising?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">About 70% of 2025 North American losses were insured, but cover is retreating where risk is highest.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Who carries the losses?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Heat with drought and fire, through grids, water, health and insurance.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n31\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Which hazard couples the most <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">Winter Storm Uri in 2021 showed cold can fail power, water and health together; summer peaks now add data-centre load.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How exposed is the grid?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The Colorado River basin, under its first <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.supply-disruption\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"A break in the flow of goods or materials between producers and users that stops production or leaves shortages.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\">shortage<\/a> since 2021, and the depleting High Plains aquifer.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>Where is water tightest?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">About 40% of animal species and 34% of plants are at risk of extinction.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>How is nature faring?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/p><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">The Western heat\u2013fire\u2013grid pathway into health, water and insurance. SCN-USA-HFG-01<\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-m\"><span>What will Q1 2027 test first?<\/span><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.3<\/span><span>Headline finding<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FIN-002<\/span><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">North America carried US$133 billion of the US$224 billion in global natural-disaster losses in 2025; about US$93 billion, roughly 70%, was insured.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure S.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-fig1-t\">North American disaster losses, 2025 (US$ billion)<\/span><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">Insured<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">93<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Uninsured<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"43.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">40<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: Munich Re NatCatSERVICE 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup>; uninsured = overall \u2212 insured.<\/p><\/figure><p class=\"nrp-p\">High insured shares can hide a growing gap at the margins. Where premiums rise and insurers withdraw, uninsured losses concentrate among households least able to bear them and shift onto state and federal budgets<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.4<\/span><span>At a glance<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">340.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">million<\/span><p>population, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">1.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">\u00b0C<\/span><p>warming since 1970<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">6,343<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Mt CO\u2082e<\/span><p>gross emissions, 2022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224843<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>electricity from natural gas<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">50<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">minerals<\/span><p>on the critical list<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">27<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">events<\/span><p>billion-dollar disasters, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.5<\/span><span>What each steward reads in it<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-cards\" data-n=\"3\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 KEY T<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Technical Truth<\/h3><p>The evidence supports a coupled reading of American risk.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><abbr title=\"The Global Risks Forum\">GRF<\/abbr> \u00b7 KEY M<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Public Meaning<\/h3><p>For most Americans risk arrives as a smoke-filled summer, a power cut in a heat wave or a non-renewed home policy.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><abbr title=\"The Global Risks Alliance\">GRA<\/abbr> \u00b7 KEY F<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Capital Meaning<\/h3><p>Readiness implications only. The world\u2019s largest insured losses, a retreating homeowners market and large flood exposure outside private cover show where finance-readiness evidence will matter.<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEXUS<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Synthesis<\/h3><p>The United States is deeply observed and unevenly protected.<\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">S.6<\/span><span>What this edition is, and is not<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What this edition is<\/h3><p>A baseline: the state of the United States\u2019 water, energy, food, health and biodiversity <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> in 2026, the dependencies between them, the risks that travel through them and the capabilities that hold them. It sets the questions the operational series will answer.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What it is not<\/h3><p>Not a national <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-assessment\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The overall process of identifying, analysing and evaluating risk to inform decisions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">risk assessment<\/a>, an official warning or a rating. It decides nothing about any agency, state, utility or company. Competent federal, state, tribal and local authorities keep every mandate they hold, and national ownership is unaffected.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">What comes next<\/h3><p>Q1 2027 opens the operational series with a sealed Foundry evidence cut. Each later edition reports what changed against this baseline, new observations, source revisions, method changes, scenario updates and corrections.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (ed.), U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters, 1980\u20132024. NOAA NCEI, Asheville, NC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>A. R. Crimmins, C. W. Avery, D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, B. C. Stewart and T. K. Maycock (eds.), Fifth National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (ed.), Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990\u20132022. EPA, Washington, DC, April 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>A. Shehabi, S. J. Smith, A. Hubbard et al., 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>J. T. Howard, N. Androne, K. C. Alcover and A. R. Santos-Lozada, \u201cTrends of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in the US, 1999\u20132023,\u201d JAMA, vol. 332, no. 14, pp. 1203\u20131204, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Federal Insurance Office (ed.), Analyses of U.S. Homeowners Insurance Markets, 2018\u20132022: Climate-Related Risks and Other Factors. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Washington, DC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and North American Electric Reliability Corporation (eds.), February 2021 Cold Weather Outages in Texas and the South Central United States. FERC and NERC, Washington, DC, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r31\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 31\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Texas Department of State Health Services (ed.), February 2021 Winter Storm-Related Deaths, Texas. DSHS, Austin, TX, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (ed.), \u201cReclamation announces 2022 operating conditions for Lake Powell and Lake Mead.\u201d News release, Washington, DC, August 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>C. A. Dieter, M. A. Maupin, R. R. Caldwell et al., Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2015, Circular 1441. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>NatureServe (ed.), Biodiversity in Focus: United States Edition. NatureServe, Arlington, VA, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), National Flood Insurance Program: program description and policy statistics. FEMA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>U.S. Census Bureau (ed.), Vintage 2024 national population estimates. Census Bureau, Washington, DC, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>U.S. Energy Information Administration (ed.), \u201cElectricity in the United States\u201d and Electric Power Monthly. EIA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cs-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>U.S. Geological Survey (ed.), \u201c2022 Final List of Critical Minerals.\u201d Federal Register, vol. 87, 24 February 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cs-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-coupled-system\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 1<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">America\u2019s risk is coupled, not cumulative<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Part I describes systems and their couplings. It assesses no authority and ranks no state or territory.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>6 min read<\/span><span>2 figures<\/span><span>2 tables<\/span><span>13 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.1<\/span><span>The questions this part answers<\/span><\/h2><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Key questions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Where is Canada\u2019s risk concentrated, and in which <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>?<\/li><li>Which couplings carry shocks from one system to the next?<\/li><li>Which capabilities hold under compound stress, and which are only documented?<\/li><li>What must the 2027 programme measure first?<\/li><\/ul><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">In this part<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Narrative<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Headline finding<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Lead figure<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Twelve-domain reading<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Sector screens<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Dependency matrix<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Risk objects<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Capability ladder<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Scenario<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Three lenses<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Portfolio<\/li><\/ul><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.2<\/span><span>The argument<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-prose\"><p>The United States records more disaster losses than any other country, and it usually reports them one event at a time. This baseline reads the record as a coupled system. In 2025 North America carried US$133 billion of the world\u2019s US$224 billion in natural-disaster losses; the Los Angeles wildfires alone caused about US$53 billion, the costliest <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a> disaster on record<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>Frequency now drives the record. There were 27 billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2024, after a record 28 in 2023<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup>. The Fifth National Climate Assessment found that such events, once roughly one every four months in the 1980s, now occur about every three weeks, and that the contiguous United States has warmed about 1.4 \u00b0C since 1970, faster than the global average<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>Insurance has absorbed most of these losses, about 70% in North America in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup>, but cover is retreating where risk is highest. Premiums and non-renewals have risen fastest in the most exposed ZIP codes<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup>, and flood risk remains largely outside private cover<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup>. Where insurance withdraws, losses move onto households, states and federal assistance.<\/p><p>The energy system couples most of the others. Winter Storm Uri in February 2021 failed large parts of the Texas grid; water <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> lost pressure and the state recorded 246 storm-related deaths<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n31\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup>. Summer peaks now add data-centre load: data centres used about 4.4% of US electricity in 2023, with 6.7\u201312% projected for 2028<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>Water is tight where growth is fastest. The first-ever <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.supply-disruption\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"A break in the flow of goods or materials between producers and users that stops production or leaves shortages.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\">shortage<\/a> on the Colorado River was declared in 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup>, thermoelectric power and irrigation take most withdrawals<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup>, and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> reached a record 2,325 in 2023<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup>. About 40% of the country\u2019s animal species are at risk of extinction<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><p>This edition therefore treats American risk as a property of couplings, between heat, grids, water, health and insurance, rather than a list of separate hazards. The matrix, risk objects, capability ladder and scenario that follow ask where a shock travels next and who holds the capability to stop it.<\/p><\/div><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 1.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-fig1-t\">Where does America\u2019s water go? Withdrawals by use, 2015 (% of total)<\/span><p class=\"nrp-fig-what\">Power plants and farms take almost four-fifths of withdrawals. Drought and heat therefore reach electricity and food before they reach household taps<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">Thermoelectric power<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">41<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Irrigation<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"90.2\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">37<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Public supply<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"29.3\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">12<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Self-supplied industry<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"12.2\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">All other uses<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"12.2\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">5<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: as cited in the note to this figure. Year 2015.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Figure ID FIG-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-01-003<\/p><\/figure><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">322<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">bn gal\/day<\/span><p>total withdrawals, 2015<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">4.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>electricity used by data centres, 2023<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">13.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>households food insecure, 2023<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2021<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">first<\/span><p>Colorado River shortage<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.3<\/span><span>Twenty couplings between five systems<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The United States matrix types the twenty couplings between the five core <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events; they set the starting graph that the Q1 2027 Foundry cut will test.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-fig2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-fig2-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 1.2<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-fig2-t\">Couplings between the five systems<\/span><p class=\"nrp-fig-what\">Each line is one coupling from one system to another, drawn by the strength the edition assigns. Strengths are Nexus estimates from the cited evidence and analogue events.<\/p><\/figcaption><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-ring\" viewBox=\"0 0 340 340\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Coupling ring: 20 typed couplings between water, energy, food, health and biodiversity. The matrix in the next table carries every value.\" data-nx-z=\"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\"><\/svg><ul class=\"nrp-legend\"><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"STRONG\"><\/span>Strong<\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"MODERATE\"><\/span>Moderate<\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-key\" data-w=\"WEAK\"><\/span>Weak<\/li><\/ul><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: this edition&#8217;s coupling matrix (Table 1.1); status Estimated.<\/p><\/figure><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 1.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coupling matrix: from the row system to the column system<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">From, to<\/th><th scope=\"col\">WAT<\/th><th scope=\"col\">ENE<\/th><th scope=\"col\">FOO<\/th><th scope=\"col\">HLT<\/th><th scope=\"col\">BIO<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><b>WAT<\/b> Water<\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">thermoelectric cooling \u00b7 hydro<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">irrigation \u00b7 rain-fed yield<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">drinking water<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">flows \u00b7 wetlands<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>ENE<\/b> Energy<\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">pumping \u00b7 treatment<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">fuel \u00b7 fertiliser \u00b7 cold chain<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">facility power \u00b7 cooling<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">reservoirs \u00b7 land use<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>FOO<\/b> Food<\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">withdrawals \u00b7 nutrients<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">biofuel feedstock<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">nutrition \u00b7 food safety<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">land conversion<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>HLT<\/b> Health<\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">workforce<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">workforce<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">labour \u00b7 disease<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><td>WEAK<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">residues<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><b>BIO<\/b> Biodiversity<\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">regulation \u00b7 filtration<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">fire on lines \u00b7 biomass<\/span><\/td><td>STRONG<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">pollination \u00b7 soils<\/span><\/td><td>MODERATE<br><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">zoonoses \u00b7 smoke<\/span><\/td><td><span aria-label=\"same system\">\u00b7<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"6\">Strength: strong, moderate or weak; a Nexus estimate (status Estimated) from cited evidence and analogue events. The scale is defined in Annex A.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Transmission paths<\/h3><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">ENE \u2192 WAT \u2192 HLT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Cold or heat fails the grid; water pressure and care settings fail with it.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> Winter Storm Uri, 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 BIO \u2192 HLT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\"><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">Wildfire<\/a> smoke loads health services far from the fire.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2023 smoke events<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 FIN<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\"><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h24\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">Wildfire<\/a> and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h2\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.cyclone.tropical-cyclone\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Cyclonic storm systems\" data-td=\"A warm-core rotating storm over tropical oceans whose winds, rain and surge threaten coasts and inland river basins.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H2\" data-tr=\"draft\">hurricane<\/a> losses drive insurance retreat.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> 2025 Los Angeles fires<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">WAT \u2192 FOO<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\"><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\">Aquifer decline<\/a> and drought cut irrigated production.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> High Plains aquifer<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">AIC \u2192 ENE<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Data-centre load narrows reliability margins in extremes.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> growth to 2028<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">1.4<\/span><span>Reinforcing loops<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">A shock entering either system of a loop can return amplified through the other.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 1.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Pairs of systems where both directions are rated strong<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Loop<\/th><th scope=\"col\">First direction<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Second direction<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT and BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Water to biodiversity: flows \u00b7 wetlands<\/td><td>Biodiversity to water: regulation \u00b7 filtration<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO and BIO<\/span><\/td><td>Food to biodiversity: land conversion<\/td><td>Biodiversity to food: pollination \u00b7 soils<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"3\">A causal-loop reading of the matrix (Sterman, Business Dynamics, 2000): structural, from estimated strengths, not a measured feedback.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (ed.), U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters, 1980\u20132024. NOAA NCEI, Asheville, NC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>A. R. Crimmins, C. W. Avery, D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, B. C. Stewart and T. K. Maycock (eds.), Fifth National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Federal Insurance Office (ed.), Analyses of U.S. Homeowners Insurance Markets, 2018\u20132022: Climate-Related Risks and Other Factors. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Washington, DC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), National Flood Insurance Program: program description and policy statistics. FEMA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Texas Department of State Health Services (ed.), February 2021 Winter Storm-Related Deaths, Texas. DSHS, Austin, TX, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and North American Electric Reliability Corporation (eds.), February 2021 Cold Weather Outages in Texas and the South Central United States. FERC and NERC, Washington, DC, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r31\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 31\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>A. Shehabi, S. J. Smith, A. Hubbard et al., 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (ed.), \u201cReclamation announces 2022 operating conditions for Lake Powell and Lake Mead.\u201d News release, Washington, DC, August 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>C. A. Dieter, M. A. Maupin, R. R. Caldwell et al., Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2015, Circular 1441. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>J. T. Howard, N. Androne, K. C. Alcover and A. R. Santos-Lozada, \u201cTrends of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in the US, 1999\u20132023,\u201d JAMA, vol. 332, no. 14, pp. 1203\u20131204, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>NatureServe (ed.), Biodiversity in Focus: United States Edition. NatureServe, Arlington, VA, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c1-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>USDA Economic Research Service (ed.), Household Food Security in the United States in 2023. USDA ERS, Washington, DC, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c1-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-findings\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 2<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Key findings<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Twelve findings carry the baseline. They are grouped by system, never ranked. Each resolves to its source or, where Nexus analysis is involved, to its stated method.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>3 min read<\/span><span>1 figure<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>12 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.1<\/span><span>Headline finding<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FIN-002\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FIN-002<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-km-t\">North America carried US$133 billion of the US$224 billion in global natural-disaster losses in 2025; about US$93 billion, roughly 70%, was insured.<\/p><figure class=\"nrp-fig\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-fig1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-fig1-t\"><figcaption class=\"nrp-figcap\"><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Figure 2.1<\/span><span class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-fig1-t\">North American disaster losses, 2025 (US$ billion)<\/span><\/figcaption><div class=\"nrp-tblw\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl nrp-bars\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\"><span class=\"nrp-sr\">Bar, scaled to the largest value<\/span><\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">Insured<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">93<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">Uninsured<\/th><td class=\"nrp-barc\"><svg class=\"nrp-svg nrp-barsvg\" viewBox=\"0 0 100 8\" preserveAspectRatio=\"none\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><rect class=\"nrp-track\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"100\" height=\"8\"\/><rect class=\"nrp-bar\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\" width=\"43.0\" height=\"8\"\/><\/svg><\/td><td class=\"nrp-mono\">40<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nrp-fig-src\">Source: Munich Re NatCatSERVICE 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup>; uninsured = overall \u2212 insured.<\/p><\/figure><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Implication<\/h3><p class=\"nrp-p\">High insured shares can hide a growing gap at the margins. Where premiums rise and insurers withdraw, uninsured losses concentrate among households least able to bear them and shift onto state and federal budgets<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup>.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">What would move it<\/h3><p class=\"nrp-p\">Non-renewal rates in high-risk states, reforms of residual-market insurers, and the 2026 and 2027 loss years would each move this finding.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.2<\/span><span>Climate forcing<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CLI-001<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Gross greenhouse-gas emissions were 6,343 Mt CO\u2082e in 2022; net emissions were about 17% below 2005.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CLI-004\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CLI-004\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CLI-004<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The contiguous United States has warmed about 1.4 \u00b0C since 1970, faster than the global average.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CLI-005\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CLI-005\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-CLI-005<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">There were 27 billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2024, after a record 28 in 2023.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.3<\/span><span>Finance<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FIN-002\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FIN-002\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FIN-002<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">North America carried US$133 billion of 2025\u2019s US$224 billion in global disaster losses; about US$93 billion was insured.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FIN-003\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FIN-003\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FIN-003<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The January 2025 Los Angeles wildfires caused about US$53 billion in losses, US$40 billion insured, the costliest <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a> disaster on record.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.4<\/span><span>Energy<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-ENE-006\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-ENE-006\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-ENE-006<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Data centres used about 4.4% of US electricity in 2023, with 6.7\u201312% projected for 2028.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.5<\/span><span>Water<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-WAT-007\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-WAT-007\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-WAT-007<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">Water withdrawals were about 322 billion gallons a day in 2015; thermoelectric power took 41% and irrigation 37%.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-WAT-008\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-WAT-008\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-WAT-008<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The first-ever <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.supply-disruption\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"A break in the flow of goods or materials between producers and users that stops production or leaves shortages.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\">shortage<\/a> on the Colorado River was declared in August 2021 for the lower basin.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.6<\/span><span>Health<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-HLT-009\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-HLT-009\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-HLT-009<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\"><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">Heat-related deaths<\/a> reached a record 2,325 in 2023.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.7<\/span><span>Food<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FOO-010\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FOO-010\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-FOO-010<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">13.5% of US households were food insecure in 2023.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s8\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s8-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s8-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.8<\/span><span>Biodiversity<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-BIO-011<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">About 40% of animal species and 34% of plant species in the United States are at risk of extinction.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s9\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s9-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-s9-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">2.9<\/span><span>Systemic<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li id=\"nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012\"><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 2<\/span><a class=\"nrp-find-id\" href=\"#nx-NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012\">NRF-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-SYS-012<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-find-t\">The leading compound pathway for 2027 testing runs from Western heat and drought through <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a> and grid stress into health, water and insurance availability. \u00a79.3<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Federal Insurance Office (ed.), Analyses of U.S. Homeowners Insurance Markets, 2018\u20132022: Climate-Related Risks and Other Factors. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Washington, DC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), National Flood Insurance Program: program description and policy statistics. FEMA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (ed.), Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990\u20132022. EPA, Washington, DC, April 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>A. R. Crimmins, C. W. Avery, D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, B. C. Stewart and T. K. Maycock (eds.), Fifth National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (ed.), U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters, 1980\u20132024. NOAA NCEI, Asheville, NC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>A. Shehabi, S. J. Smith, A. Hubbard et al., 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>C. A. Dieter, M. A. Maupin, R. R. Caldwell et al., Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2015, Circular 1441. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (ed.), \u201cReclamation announces 2022 operating conditions for Lake Powell and Lake Mead.\u201d News release, Washington, DC, August 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>J. T. Howard, N. Androne, K. C. Alcover and A. R. Santos-Lozada, \u201cTrends of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in the US, 1999\u20132023,\u201d JAMA, vol. 332, no. 14, pp. 1203\u20131204, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>USDA Economic Research Service (ed.), Household Food Security in the United States in 2023. USDA ERS, Washington, DC, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c2-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>NatureServe (ed.), Biodiversity in Focus: United States Edition. NatureServe, Arlington, VA, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c2-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-systems-and-sectors\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 3<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Systems and sectors at baseline<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>5 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>2 tables<\/span><span>16 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.1<\/span><span>Where each system stood at evidence close<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WAT \u00b7 Water<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Total freshwater and saline withdrawals<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">322<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">bn gal\/day<\/span><p>Thermoelectric power took 41% and irrigation 37%.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2015<\/span><span>USGS<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">ENE \u00b7 Energy<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Data centres\u2019 share of US electricity<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">4.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>6.7\u201312% projected for 2028.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2023<\/span><span>LBNL<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">FOO \u00b7 Food<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Households food insecure<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">13.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>about 18 million households in 2023.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2023<\/span><span>USDA ERS<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">HLT \u00b7 Health<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Heat-related deaths<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">2,325<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">deaths<\/span><p>a record; heat deaths rose sharply after 2016.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2023<\/span><span>JAMA<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">BIO \u00b7 Biodiversity<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Animal species at risk of extinction<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">40<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>and 34% of plant species.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2023<\/span><span>NatureServe<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nrp-cell\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">SYS \u00b7 Cross-system<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">North American disaster losses \u00b7 insured<\/h3><span class=\"pp-metric\">133 \u00b7 93<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">US$ bn<\/span><p>led by the Los Angeles wildfires at about US$53 billion.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-cell-foot\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span>2025<\/span><span>Munich Re<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/span><\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.2<\/span><span>Domain posture<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Each of the twelve coupled domains is read in words, not scored. The coupling column names the dependency that carries risk into other <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 3.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Each domain read in words, not scored<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Domain<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Posture at baseline<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coupling<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT<\/span><\/td><td>Ample in the East, tight in the West; Colorado River under <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.supply-disruption\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"A break in the flow of goods or materials between producers and users that stops production or leaves shortages.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\">shortage<\/a>; major aquifers depleting.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">WAT \u2192 ENE cooling \u00b7 WAT \u2192 FOO irrigation<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">ENE<\/span><\/td><td>Gas-led power with growing renewables; reliability stressed in extremes; data-centre load rising.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">ENE \u2194 WAT \u00b7 ENE \u2192 HLT<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO<\/span><\/td><td>A leading producer and exporter; 13.5% of households food insecure in 2023.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FOO \u2190 WAT, ENE \u00b7 FOO \u2192 TRD<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HLT<\/span><\/td><td>Record heat deaths in 2023; smoke and storms load health services.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HLT \u2190 CLI, ENE<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">BIO<\/span><\/td><td>About 40% of animal species at risk; <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a> and land use the fastest pressures.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">BIO \u2192 WAT \u00b7 BIO \u2190 fire<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">CLI<\/span><\/td><td>Warming faster than the global average; billion-dollar disasters every three weeks.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">forcing on all five systems<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 5<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INF<\/span><\/td><td>Ageing grids, water systems and roads; critical functions defined nationally.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INF \u2192 ENE, WAT, HLT<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIN<\/span><\/td><td>Largest insured losses in the world; cover retreating in high-risk areas.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIN \u2190 CLI \u00b7 FIN \u2192 households, states<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DAT<\/span><\/td><td>Cloud and data-centre hub of the world economy; cyber exposure of utilities.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DAT \u2192 ENE, HLT, FIN<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">AIC<\/span><\/td><td>Data centres about 4.4% of electricity in 2023 and rising.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">AIC \u2192 ENE, WAT<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MIN<\/span><\/td><td>50 minerals on the critical list; import reliance for many.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MIN \u2192 ENE, AIC<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">TRD<\/span><\/td><td>Tariff changes in 2025 reshape supply chains and prices.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">TRD \u2192 all sectors<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span> <span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">3.3<\/span><span>Sector screens<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">All sixteen sectors are screened on the same grammar, so that later editions can say what changed. The evidence column describes coverage of the baseline evidence, not the performance of the sector.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 3.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Sectors: baseline evidence and the exposure to watch<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Code<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Sector<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Exposure to watch<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence coverage<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-00<\/span><\/td><td>Cross-system<\/td><td>coupled losses across perils<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>compound heat\u2013fire\u2013grid summers<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-01<\/span><\/td><td>Water<\/td><td>Western <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.supply-disruption\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"A break in the flow of goods or materials between producers and users that stops production or leaves shortages.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\">shortage<\/a>; aquifer depletion<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>drought; allocation conflict<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-02<\/span><\/td><td>Energy<\/td><td>gas-led mix; new load from data centres<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>heat and cold extremes<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-03<\/span><\/td><td>Food<\/td><td>leading producer<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>drought; <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h10\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 water.deficit.groundwater-depletion\" data-tk=\"Water systems \u00b7 Water deficit\" data-td=\"Aquifers drawn down faster than they refill, lowering wells and driving land subsidence and saltwater intrusion.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H10\" data-tr=\"draft\">aquifer decline<\/a><\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-04<\/span><\/td><td>Health<\/td><td>record heat deaths, 2023<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>heat and smoke surges<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-05<\/span><\/td><td>Finance<\/td><td>largest insured losses<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>insurance retreat<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-06<\/span><\/td><td>Development<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 food-insecurity\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A situation in which people lack reliable access to enough safe and nutritious food for active and healthy lives.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">food insecurity<\/a> 13.5% of households<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>uneven recovery capacity<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-07<\/span><\/td><td>Climate<\/td><td>warming faster than global average<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>extremes of heat, rain and fire<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-08<\/span><\/td><td>Disaster<\/td><td>27 billion-dollar events, 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>frequency of medium events<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-09<\/span><\/td><td>Infrastructure<\/td><td>critical functions defined<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>ageing assets<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-10<\/span><\/td><td>Cities<\/td><td>growth in hot and dry metros<\/td><td>heat and water stress<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-11<\/span><\/td><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>40% of animal species at risk<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>fire and land use<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-12<\/span><\/td><td>Earth observation<\/td><td>strong federal observation programmes<\/td><td>continuity of missions<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-13<\/span><\/td><td>Cyber and digital<\/td><td>critical-infrastructure guidance<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>attacks on utilities<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-14<\/span><\/td><td>Policy<\/td><td>major infrastructure and energy laws<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n28\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r28\" aria-label=\"Note 28\">28<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-n29\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-r29\" aria-label=\"Note 29\">29<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>policy change since 2025<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">GS-15<\/span><\/td><td>Science<\/td><td>deep research base<\/td><td>translation into operations<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>C. A. Dieter, M. A. Maupin, R. R. Caldwell et al., Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2015, Circular 1441. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>A. Shehabi, S. J. Smith, A. Hubbard et al., 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>USDA Economic Research Service (ed.), Household Food Security in the United States in 2023. USDA ERS, Washington, DC, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>J. T. Howard, N. Androne, K. C. Alcover and A. R. Santos-Lozada, \u201cTrends of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in the US, 1999\u20132023,\u201d JAMA, vol. 332, no. 14, pp. 1203\u20131204, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>NatureServe (ed.), Biodiversity in Focus: United States Edition. NatureServe, Arlington, VA, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (ed.), U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters, 1980\u20132024. NOAA NCEI, Asheville, NC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (ed.), \u201cReclamation announces 2022 operating conditions for Lake Powell and Lake Mead.\u201d News release, Washington, DC, August 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>U.S. Energy Information Administration (ed.), \u201cElectricity in the United States\u201d and Electric Power Monthly. EIA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (ed.), 2022 Census of Agriculture. USDA NASS, Washington, DC, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Federal Insurance Office (ed.), Analyses of U.S. Homeowners Insurance Markets, 2018\u20132022: Climate-Related Risks and Other Factors. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Washington, DC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>A. R. Crimmins, C. W. Avery, D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, B. C. Stewart and T. K. Maycock (eds.), Fifth National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (ed.), National Critical Functions: An Evolved Lens for <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 critical-infrastructure\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Physical and digital assets, systems and networks whose disruption would seriously affect health, safety, security, economic welfare or the functioning of government. Criticality depends on what relies on them.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Critical Infrastructure<\/a> Security and Resilience. CISA, Washington, DC, 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>The White House (ed.), National Security Memorandum on Critical Infrastructure Security and Resilience (NSM-22). Washington, DC, April 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>U.S. Congress (ed.), Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Public Law 117-58. Washington, DC, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r28\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 28\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c3-n29\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">29<\/span><span>U.S. Congress (ed.), Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Public Law 117-169, as amended by Public Law 119-21 (2025). Washington, DC.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c3-r29\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 29\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-risk-and-capability\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 4<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Risks and capability<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Four risk objects open the portfolio. Order carries no rank. Each is read across driver, exposure, vulnerability, capacity, cascade and consequence.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>3 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>1 table<\/span><span>8 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">4.1<\/span><span>Risk objects<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Each risk is read across the chain from hazard to consequence, with its status and evidence-quality level.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-find\"><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-USA-CLI-001<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Wildfire at the urban edge, with insurance retreat<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>heat, drought and wind; longer fire seasons<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>wildland\u2013urban interface communities<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>rising premiums and non-renewals<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>fire services; building codes; residual insurers<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 BIO \u2192 HLT \u00b7 CLI \u2192 FIN<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>seasonal \u00b7 1 and 5 years<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-USA-ENE-002<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Grid failure in heat or cold extremes<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/hydrometeorological-hazard-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.thermal.heatwave\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Thermal extremes\" data-td=\"A spell of abnormally high temperature, often with warm nights, that overloads bodies, power grids and crops.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H5\" data-tr=\"draft\">extreme heat<\/a> and cold; new load growth<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>regions with thin reserve margins<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n32\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-r32\" aria-label=\"Note 32\">32<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>winterisation gaps; gas\u2013power interdependence<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n31\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-r31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>interconnection; demand response; storage<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>ENE \u2192 WAT \u2192 HLT<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>seasonal<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-USA-WAT-003<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Western drought and Colorado River shortage<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>low flows; heat; over-allocation<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>cities, farms and hydropower of the Southwest<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>reservoirs near minimum levels<\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.supply-disruption\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"A break in the flow of goods or materials between producers and users that stops production or leaves shortages.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\">shortage<\/a> rules; conservation; groundwater<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>WAT \u2192 ENE, FOO, cities<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>1\u20135 years<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><li><p class=\"nrp-find-m\"><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><span class=\"nrp-eql\" title=\"Evidence-quality level, 1 to 5\">EQL 3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-find-id\">RSK-USA-CLI-004<\/span><\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h4\">Compound hurricane, surge and inland flooding<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Driver<\/dt><dd>warmer oceans; heavier rainfall<\/dd><dt>Exposure<\/dt><dd>Gulf and Atlantic coasts; inland river valleys<\/dd><dt>Vulnerability<\/dt><dd>low flood-insurance take-up<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Capacity<\/dt><dd>forecasting and evacuation; flood insurance<\/dd><dt>Cascade<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 INF \u2192 ENE, HLT, FIN<\/dd><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>annual<\/dd><\/dl><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">4.2<\/span><span>Capability ladder<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Existence is not readiness. Each of the fifteen capability functions is placed on the ladder by the strongest public evidence at baseline.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 4.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Capabilities on the ladder of evidence: listed, exists, demonstrated, tested<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Function<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Rung<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Level<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Strongest public evidence at baseline<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Prevention and mitigation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>building codes and land-use rules vary by state and locality<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Monitoring and observation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>DEMONSTRATED<\/td><td>national weather, water and Earth-observation programmes in continuous use<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 early-warning\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Timely, actionable information about an impending hazard that lets people and institutions act to reduce harm before it occurs.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Early warning<\/a><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>DEMONSTRATED<\/td><td>National Weather Service warnings and wireless alerts in real events<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Preparedness and planning<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>national preparedness reporting<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup>; national risk index<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Redundancy and reserves<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>strategic reserves for some commodities; grid reserve margins thin in places<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n32\" aria-label=\"Note 32\">32<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Response<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>DEMONSTRATED<\/td><td>federal, state and local response in major disasters<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Continuity of critical services<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>critical functions defined<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup>; 2021 <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h48\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 infra.utilities.power-blackout\" data-tk=\"Built systems \u00b7 Utility and communication network outage\" data-td=\"Loss of electricity supply across a large area, stopping water, heating, cooling, communications and health care.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H48\" data-tr=\"draft\">grid failure<\/a> showed gaps<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Recovery<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>federal disaster assistance and state programmes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Adaptation<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>infrastructure investment law of 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n28\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-r28\" aria-label=\"Note 28\">28<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 social-protection\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Public policies and programmes that help people manage risk and reduce poverty and vulnerability across their lives.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Social protection<\/a><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>income and food assistance programmes<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Finance and insurance<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>deep private markets; flood cover largely public<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-n40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Institutional coordination<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>federal\u2013state\u2013tribal frameworks, tested event by event<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Technical infrastructure<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>ageing assets across water, power and transport<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Workforce<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i data-on=\"true\"><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>EXISTS<\/td><td>emergency and health workforce pressures documented<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Research capacity<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-ladder\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><i><\/i><\/span><\/td><td>ADEQUATE<\/td><td>national laboratories and universities; translation uneven<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"4\">A capability listed in policy is not a tested one; each rung is the strongest public evidence at baseline.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Federal Insurance Office (ed.), Analyses of U.S. Homeowners Insurance Markets, 2018\u20132022: Climate-Related Risks and Other Factors. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Washington, DC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-n32\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">32<\/span><span>North American Electric Reliability Corporation (ed.), 2025 Summer Reliability Assessment. NERC, Atlanta, GA, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-r32\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 32\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-n31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and North American Electric Reliability Corporation (eds.), February 2021 Cold Weather Outages in Texas and the South Central United States. FERC and NERC, Washington, DC, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-r31\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 31\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), National Flood Insurance Program: program description and policy statistics. FEMA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), 2024 National Preparedness Report. FEMA, Washington, DC, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), National Risk Index: Technical Documentation. FEMA, Washington, DC, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (ed.), National Critical Functions: An Evolved Lens for <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 critical-infrastructure\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Physical and digital assets, systems and networks whose disruption would seriously affect health, safety, security, economic welfare or the functioning of government. Criticality depends on what relies on them.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Critical Infrastructure<\/a> Security and Resilience. CISA, Washington, DC, 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c4-n28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>U.S. Congress (ed.), Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Public Law 117-58. Washington, DC, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c4-r28\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 28\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-scenario\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 5<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Western heat, fire and grid summer<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>2 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>0 tables<\/span><span>1 note<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.1<\/span><span>Assumptions<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Scenario SCN-USA-HFG-01: what is assumed, and what is held constant.<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Baseline<\/dt><dd>the 2026 reference state in this edition<\/dd><dt>Drivers<\/dt><dd>a second dry winter in the West; a multi-day heat dome; an early and intense fire season during peak demand<\/dd><dt>Analogues<\/dt><dd>2020 California rotating outages; 2021 Pacific Northwest heat dome; 2025 Los Angeles fires<\/dd><dt>Interventions<\/dt><dd>none modelled, the specification describes the unmitigated case<\/dd><dt>Run state<\/dt><dd>narrative specification; quantified Foundry run scheduled for Q1 2027<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.2<\/span><span>The cascade, step by step<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">1<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 WAT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">heat and low flows cut reservoir and hydro output<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2021\u20132022<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">2<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 ENE<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">peak demand meets thin reserves; emergency alerts<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2020 California<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">3<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 HLT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">heat deaths and emergency visits rise<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2021 heat dome<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">4<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">BIO \u2192 HLT<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\"><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a> smoke over large cities<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2020 \u00b7 2023<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">5<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">ENE \u2192 INF<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">public-safety power shut-offs to prevent ignition<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">California<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">6<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">CLI \u2192 FIN<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">insured losses and further non-renewals<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c5-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">5.3<\/span><span>The scenario as a table of steps<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nx-p\">How the shock in scenario SCN-USA-HFG-01 would travel through United States&#8217;s coupled <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a>, step by step, under the assumptions the edition states.<\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">01 Climate to water<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Heat and low flows cut reservoir and hydro output. Analogue or source: 2021\u20132022.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition USA, scenario SCN-USA-HFG-01, step 1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">02 Climate to energy<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Peak demand meets thin reserves; emergency alerts. Analogue or source: 2020 California.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition USA, scenario SCN-USA-HFG-01, step 2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">03 Climate to health<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Heat deaths and emergency visits rise. Analogue or source: 2021 heat dome.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition USA, scenario SCN-USA-HFG-01, step 3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">04 Biodiversity to health<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\"><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">Wildfire<\/a> smoke over large cities. Analogue or source: 2020 \u00b7 2023.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition USA, scenario SCN-USA-HFG-01, step 4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">05 Energy to infrastructure<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Public-safety power shut-offs to prevent ignition. Analogue or source: California.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition USA, scenario SCN-USA-HFG-01, step 5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">06 Climate to finance<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Insured losses and further non-renewals. Analogue or source: 2025 [2].<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\">Edition USA, scenario SCN-USA-HFG-01, step 6<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-2\">A teaching model of a conditional scenario under the edition&#8217;s stated assumptions: not a forecast, not a prediction and not a warning. Sources: <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/scenario\/\" rel=\"noopener\">United States 2026, scenario SCN-USA-HFG-01<\/a> (2026); United States 2026, references (NR-CIT-1) (2026).<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c5-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c5-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-lenses-and-readings\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 6<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Lenses and readings<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The baseline is read through each steward\u2019s lens, then once as a whole. Each lens is a projection of reviewed findings, not a separate argument.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>9 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>6 tables<\/span><span>30 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.1<\/span><span>Three lenses<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">One edition, read by each steward. The lens of this site comes first.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cards\" data-n=\"3\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\" data-host=\"true\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GRF \u00b7 KEY M<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Public Meaning<\/h3><p>For most Americans risk arrives as a smoke-filled summer, a power cut in a heat wave or a non-renewed home policy. The baseline asks that these be read as one system, and that public debate weigh who carries the losses insurance no longer covers.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">HLT-009 \u00b7 FIN-003 \u00b7 CLI-005<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GCRI \u00b7 KEY T<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Technical Truth<\/h3><p>The evidence supports a coupled reading of American risk. Losses are rising with frequency; the grid couples heat and cold to water and health; and insurance is retreating where risk is highest. Evidence is strongest for losses and emissions, and weakest for state-level insurance availability and cross-system dependencies.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">FIN-002 \u00b7 FIN-003 \u00b7 ENE-006 \u00b7 SYS-012<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">GRA \u00b7 KEY F<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Capital Meaning<\/h3><p>Readiness implications only. The world\u2019s largest insured losses, a retreating homeowners market<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup> and large flood exposure outside private cover<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup> show where finance-readiness evidence will matter. Nothing here is advice, a rating or an approval.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">FIN-002 \u00b7 FIN-003<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEXUS<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">Synthesis<\/h3><p>The United States is deeply observed and unevenly protected. The 2027 programme should test the Western heat\u2013fire\u2013grid pathway, map insurance availability by state and peril, and measure reliability margins as data-centre load grows.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">SYS-012 \u00b7 A-01 \u00b7 A-02 \u00b7 A-03<\/p><\/article><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.2<\/span><span>Global Risks Forum reading: editorial essays<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Four signed essays by the Reports editorial team set out the positions this edition takes. They are interpretation, labelled as such; the evidence they draw on is in the findings register.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Insurance has absorbed most American disaster losses. Where it now withdraws, on the wildfire edge, on hurricane coasts, it is reporting what its models see. The retreat of cover is the clearest market signal of rising risk, and it shifts losses onto households and public budgets before any law does.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 01<\/h3><p>The retreat of cover is the signal<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Winter Storm Uri showed that when the grid fails, water, heat, health and communications fail with it. As data centres add load and extremes intensify, reliability is no longer an energy question alone; it is the coupling that holds the other systems together.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 02<\/h3><p>The grid is the coupling<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Heat-related deaths reached a record in 2023, mostly out of sight, in homes without cooling. Heat rarely appears in loss tables, yet it couples power demand, health services and work. It deserves the planning attention given to storms.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 03<\/h3><p>Heat is the quiet disaster<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The Colorado River was divided in wetter decades than these. Its first shortage in 2021 marked the point where allocation met hydrology. The same mismatch is quietly playing out in the aquifers beneath the country\u2019s farms.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EDITORIAL ESSAY \u00b7 04<\/h3><p>Water was allocated for a wetter century<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Essays are signed views of the editorial team. Contributed articles from working groups, consortium institutions and invited experts begin with the Q1 2027 edition, each with its own review route and disclosures.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.3<\/span><span>GCRI reading: the model card<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-p\">GCRI&#8217;s reading of this edition is its model card: what the national model is, what it computes and where it stops. It is printed in full in Annex A, with the methods it belongs to. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/methodology\/\">Annex A, methodology<\/a><\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.4<\/span><span>Global Risks Alliance reading: q1 2027 readiness pack<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The registers that open the first operational quarter. At baseline each is initialised from this edition.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Q1 2027 readiness pack<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Register<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State at baseline<\/th><th scope=\"col\">First Q1 2027 entry<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>E1<\/td><td>National risk state delta<\/td><td>baseline set by this edition<\/td><td>changes against the baseline<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E2<\/td><td>WEFH+B state delta<\/td><td>five system readings set<\/td><td>indicator updates and freshness<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E3<\/td><td>Agenda and Portfolio movement<\/td><td>eight agenda items \u00b7 six proposed objects<\/td><td>admission decisions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E4<\/td><td>NWG delivery register<\/td><td>no groups yet<\/td><td>first monthly outputs<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E5<\/td><td>NNC capability register<\/td><td>membership opens in Q1 2027<\/td><td>first contributions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E6<\/td><td>NLC questions and challenges<\/td><td>none yet<\/td><td>first challenge log<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E7<\/td><td>Foundry technical state<\/td><td>environment prepared<\/td><td>first sealed cut<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E8<\/td><td>Publication candidates<\/td><td>twelve findings carried forward<\/td><td>PUBLISH \u00b7 HOLD dispositions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E9<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/programme\/universe\">Universe<\/a> readiness<\/td><td>one candidate mission<\/td><td>admission and role spine<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>E10<\/td><td>Correction register<\/td><td>none<\/td><td>first correction cycle<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication dispositions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Publish<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Hold<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Needs evidence<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Restricted<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">Superseded<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Programme progress is not real-world risk improvement. These registers record the work of the Nexus programme; they report on no public authority.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.5<\/span><span>Nexus Standards reading: standards and regulatory watch<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Instruments that shape the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> in this edition, by status on the retrieval date. The edition assesses no one\u2019s compliance.<\/p><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">IN FORCE<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">ADOPTED<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">SUBMITTED<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">UNDER REVIEW<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">PUBLISHED \u00b7 VOLUNTARY<\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Standards and regulatory watch<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Instrument<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Body<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Scope<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Relevance<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/climate\/paris-agreement-and-ndc-alignment\/\">Paris Agreement<\/a>, United States withdrawal<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n30\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r30\" aria-label=\"Note 30\">30<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>UNFCCC<\/td><td>international<\/td><td>WITHDRAWN \u00b7 JAN 2026<\/td><td>emissions framework<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n28\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r28\" aria-label=\"Note 28\">28<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>U.S. Congress<\/td><td>federal<\/td><td>IN FORCE<\/td><td>infrastructure resilience<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Inflation Reduction Act, as amended in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n29\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r29\" aria-label=\"Note 29\">29<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>U.S. Congress<\/td><td>federal<\/td><td>IN FORCE \u00b7 AMENDED<\/td><td>clean-energy credits<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NSM-22 on <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 critical-infrastructure\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Physical and digital assets, systems and networks whose disruption would seriously affect health, safety, security, economic welfare or the functioning of government. Criticality depends on what relies on them.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">critical infrastructure<\/a><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n19\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r19\" aria-label=\"Note 19\">19<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>The White House<\/td><td>federal<\/td><td>ISSUED 2024<\/td><td>resilience roles<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>National Critical Functions<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n18\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r18\" aria-label=\"Note 18\">18<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CISA<\/td><td>federal<\/td><td>PUBLISHED<\/td><td>critical infrastructure<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Export controls on advanced computing<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n34\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r34\" aria-label=\"Note 34\">34<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>BIS<\/td><td>federal<\/td><td>IN FORCE \u00b7 UPDATED<\/td><td>chips and AI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Critical minerals list<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>USGS<\/td><td>federal<\/td><td>PUBLISHED 2022<\/td><td>supply security<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/sendai-framework-alignment\/\">Sendai Framework<\/a> 2015\u20132030<\/td><td>UNDRR<\/td><td>international<\/td><td>ADOPTED 2015<\/td><td>disaster <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 risk-reduction\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Preventing new risk, reducing existing risk and managing residual risk, all contributing to resilience.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">risk reduction<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Changed since 2024<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>The US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement took effect in January 2026<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n30\" aria-label=\"Note 30\">30<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Clean-energy tax credits were amended in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n29\" aria-label=\"Note 29\">29<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>NOAA retired its billion-dollar disaster series in 2025<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">To watch in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Colorado River operating guidelines after 2026<\/li><li>State reforms of residual-market insurers<\/li><li>NERC reliability standards for extreme weather<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Status is read from the issuing body on the retrieval date. A change in status opens a review task for every finding that relies on the instrument.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">6.6<\/span><span>Risk Academy reading: literature and evidence review, science and assessments<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The review behind this edition covers peer-reviewed science, national and international assessments and the institutional reports that bind its findings. Full systematic reviews begin in Q1 2027 for each agenda item.<\/p><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Review protocol<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Question<\/dt><dd>What does the published evidence establish about the United States\u2019 coupled water, energy, food, health and biodiversity risks?<\/dd><dt>Sources searched<\/dt><dd>peer-reviewed literature; federal assessments and statistics; state and industry data; loss records<\/dd><dt>Window<\/dt><dd>releases available at evidence close, 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Selection<\/dt><dd>sources that bind or contextualise a finding in this edition<\/dd><dt>Next step<\/dt><dd>systematic reviews for agenda items A-01 to A-05 in Q1 2027<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Peer-reviewed science and assessments<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Type<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Crimmins et al. (eds.)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>assessment<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>warming, disaster frequency<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Howard et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journal article<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>heat deaths<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Lee and Romero (eds.)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n23\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r23\" aria-label=\"Note 23\">23<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>assessment<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>global forcing<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Zscheischler et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n24\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r24\" aria-label=\"Note 24\">24<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journal article<\/td><td>2018<\/td><td>framework<\/td><td>compound events<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Buldyrev et al.<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n25\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r25\" aria-label=\"Note 25\">25<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>journal article<\/td><td>2010<\/td><td>framework<\/td><td>cascades<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>McElwee et al. (eds.)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>assessment<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>nexus interlinkages<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Institutional reports<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>GHG Inventory<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>EPA<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>emissions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cold weather outages<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n31\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>FERC \u00b7 NERC<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h48\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 infra.utilities.power-blackout\" data-tk=\"Built systems \u00b7 Utility and communication network outage\" data-td=\"Loss of electricity supply across a large area, stopping water, heating, cooling, communications and health care.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H48\" data-tr=\"draft\">grid failure<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Homeowners insurance markets<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Treasury FIO<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>insurance retreat<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>National Risk Index<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n14\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r14\" aria-label=\"Note 14\">14<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>FEMA<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>hazard exposure<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>National Preparedness Report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n20\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r20\" aria-label=\"Note 20\">20<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>FEMA<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>capability<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Industry and loss data<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Annual catastrophe figures<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Munich Re<\/td><td>2026<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>losses<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Billion-dollar disasters<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NOAA NCEI<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>frequency<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Data-centre energy<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>LBNL<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>electricity<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Summer reliability<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n32\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r32\" aria-label=\"Note 32\">32<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NERC<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>grid margins<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy and AI<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n27\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>IEA<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>context<\/td><td>load growth<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 6.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Standards, regulation and national official sources<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Reference<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Issuer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Used for<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Water use 2015<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>USGS<\/td><td>2018<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>withdrawals<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Colorado <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.supply-disruption\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"A break in the flow of goods or materials between producers and users that stops production or leaves shortages.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\">shortage<\/a><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>Bureau of Reclamation<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>water<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Food security<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>USDA ERS<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>food<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Census of Agriculture<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>USDA NASS<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>production<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Biodiversity in Focus<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>NatureServe<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>species at risk<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Critical minerals<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n13\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-r13\" aria-label=\"Note 13\">13<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>USGS<\/td><td>2022\u201325<\/td><td>supports<\/td><td>minerals<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Where the evidence agrees<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Disaster frequency and losses are rising<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>Heat is a growing and under-counted health risk<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>The West faces structural water shortage<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Where it is unsettled<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>How fast data-centre load will grow<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>How insurance markets will adjust in high-risk states<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/li><li>How much warming is attributable in individual events<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NEWS AND PREPRINTS<\/p><p>No news report or preprint binds a finding in this edition. News is used only to date events; preprints used from Q1 2027 will be flagged as not peer-reviewed.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Federal Insurance Office (ed.), Analyses of U.S. Homeowners Insurance Markets, 2018\u20132022: Climate-Related Risks and Other Factors. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Washington, DC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), National Flood Insurance Program: program description and policy statistics. FEMA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n30\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">30<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/climate\/paris-agreement-and-ndc-alignment\/\">Paris Agreement<\/a>, and notification of withdrawal by the United States of America (effective January 2026). United Nations, New York.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r30\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 30\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>U.S. Congress (ed.), Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Public Law 117-58. Washington, DC, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r28\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 28\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n29\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">29<\/span><span>U.S. Congress (ed.), Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Public Law 117-169, as amended by Public Law 119-21 (2025). Washington, DC.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r29\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 29\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>The White House (ed.), National Security Memorandum on <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 critical-infrastructure\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Physical and digital assets, systems and networks whose disruption would seriously affect health, safety, security, economic welfare or the functioning of government. Criticality depends on what relies on them.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Critical Infrastructure<\/a> Security and Resilience (NSM-22). Washington, DC, April 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r19\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 19\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (ed.), National Critical Functions: An Evolved Lens for Critical Infrastructure Security and Resilience. CISA, Washington, DC, 2019.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r18\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 18\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n34\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">34<\/span><span>U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Industry and Security (ed.), export controls on advanced computing and semiconductor manufacturing items. Federal Register, October 2022, as updated.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r34\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 34\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>U.S. Geological Survey (ed.), \u201c2022 Final List of Critical Minerals.\u201d Federal Register, vol. 87, 24 February 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (ed.), U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters, 1980\u20132024. NOAA NCEI, Asheville, NC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>A. R. Crimmins, C. W. Avery, D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, B. C. Stewart and T. K. Maycock (eds.), Fifth National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>J. T. Howard, N. Androne, K. C. Alcover and A. R. Santos-Lozada, \u201cTrends of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in the US, 1999\u20132023,\u201d JAMA, vol. 332, no. 14, pp. 1203\u20131204, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.), <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> 2023: Synthesis Report. IPCC, Geneva, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r23\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 23\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., \u201cFuture climate risk from compound events,\u201d Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469\u2013477, 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r24\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 24\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>S. V. Buldyrev, R. Parshani, G. Paul, H. E. Stanley and S. Havlin, \u201cCatastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks,\u201d Nature, vol. 464, pp. 1025\u20131028, 2010.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r25\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 25\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.13850054\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (ed.), Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990\u20132022. EPA, Washington, DC, April 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and North American Electric Reliability Corporation (eds.), February 2021 Cold Weather Outages in Texas and the South Central United States. FERC and NERC, Washington, DC, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r31\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 31\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), National Risk Index: Technical Documentation. FEMA, Washington, DC, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r14\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 14\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), 2024 National Preparedness Report. FEMA, Washington, DC, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r20\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 20\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>A. Shehabi, S. J. Smith, A. Hubbard et al., 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n32\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">32<\/span><span>North American Electric Reliability Corporation (ed.), 2025 Summer Reliability Assessment. NERC, Atlanta, GA, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r32\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 32\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>International Energy Agency (ed.), Energy and AI. World Energy Outlook Special Report. IEA, Paris, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r27\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 27\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>C. A. Dieter, M. A. Maupin, R. R. Caldwell et al., Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2015, Circular 1441. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (ed.), \u201cReclamation announces 2022 operating conditions for Lake Powell and Lake Mead.\u201d News release, Washington, DC, August 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>USDA Economic Research Service (ed.), Household Food Security in the United States in 2023. USDA ERS, Washington, DC, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (ed.), 2022 Census of Agriculture. USDA NASS, Washington, DC, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>NatureServe (ed.), Biodiversity in Focus: United States Edition. NatureServe, Arlington, VA, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c6-n13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>U.S. Geological Survey (ed.), Mineral Commodity Summaries 2025. USGS, Reston, VA, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c6-r13\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 13\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-agenda\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 7<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">The 2027 agenda<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda. Each comes from a baseline finding, names the initiative that will carry it and the first output due at the Q1 2027 cut.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>5 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>6 tables<\/span><span>2 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.1<\/span><span>Questions for the operational series<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How would a Western summer of heat, drought and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a> load the grid, water supply, health services and insurance at the same time?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-USA-HFG-01 \u00b7 Western heat\u2013fire\u2013grid; first output: dependency graph for three regions.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Where is homeowners insurance retreating under <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h24\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a>, <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h2\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.cyclone.tropical-cyclone\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Cyclonic storm systems\" data-td=\"A warm-core rotating storm over tropical oceans whose winds, rain and surge threaten coasts and inland river basins.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H2\" data-tr=\"draft\">hurricane<\/a> and flood risk, and where do the uninsured losses land?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-USA-FIN-02 \u00b7 insurance availability; first output: state-by-peril availability table.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How much reliability margin remains when data-centre load grows during heat and cold extremes?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-USA-ENE-03 \u00b7 load and reliability; first output: margin analysis for five regions.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How much food production depends on the depleting High Plains and Central Valley aquifers?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-USA-WAT-04 \u00b7 aquifer dependence; first output: aquifer\u2013crop dependence register.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">What health-system surge capacity exists for record heat in large southern and western cities?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">INI-USA-HLT-05 \u00b7 heat surge readiness; first output: surge baseline for ten metro areas.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How will Colorado River allocation after 2026 couple to cities, farms and hydropower?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">With GS-01 Water; first output: basin scenario note.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-07<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">How exposed are coastal communities to compound hurricane, surge and inland flooding?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">To be admitted in Q1 2027; first output: scoping note.<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">A-08<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Which capabilities have been tested in real events, and which are only documented?<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">National capability register; first output: rung evidence for 15 functions.<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.2<\/span><span>Portfolio proposed for the Q1 2027 alignment<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Five initiatives and one Universe mission candidate are proposed for admission at the Q1 2027 alignment. They are programme objects, no partner, funder or member is attached to them in this edition.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Objects proposed for the first operational quarter<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">ID<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Object<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Kind<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Question<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-USA-HFG-01<\/span><\/td><td>Western heat\u2013fire\u2013grid dependency model<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-01<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-USA-FIN-02<\/span><\/td><td>Insurance availability by state and peril<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-02<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-USA-ENE-03<\/span><\/td><td>Load growth and reliability margins<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-03<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-USA-WAT-04<\/span><\/td><td>Aquifer dependence of food production<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-04<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">INI-USA-HLT-05<\/span><\/td><td>Heat surge readiness in large metros<\/td><td>Initiative<\/td><td>A-05<\/td><td>PROPOSED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">MSN-USA-2027-01<\/span><\/td><td>Western heat\u2013fire\u2013grid Universe mission<\/td><td>Mission<\/td><td>A-01<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Candidate<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.3<\/span><span>The pathway<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">United States is the national pathway through which the Nexus operating system will run from 2027. At baseline the pathway is designed and its records are prepared; its councils and working groups are constituted from Q1 2027. This page states what exists today and what comes next, nothing more.<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">One National Agenda<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">bounded national questions for the year<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">DRAFT 2027 \u00b7 agenda review at the Q1 alignment<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Desk<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">coordination, records, routing and continuity<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">DESIGNED \u00b7 constituted in Q1 2027<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Model<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">the country as a system of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a><\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">v0 SPECIFIED \u00b7 v1 with the first Foundry cut<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">National Portfolio<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">risks, capabilities, initiatives, projects, missions<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">7 PROPOSED \u00b7 admission at the Q1 alignment<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Foundry<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">continuous computational environment<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">PREPARED \u00b7 first sealed cut NQ-USA-2027-Q1<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Reports<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">quarterly and annual publication<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">BASELINE ISSUED \u00b7 Q1 2027 \u00b7 State &amp; Agenda<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">07<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Universe<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">annual proving environment<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">CANDIDATE MISSION \u00b7 mandate set in 2027<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">08<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-t\">Evidence and correction<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">after-action, correction and renewal<\/p><p class=\"nrp-rows-m\">OPEN \u00b7 first correction cycle in Q2 2027<\/p><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.4<\/span><span>Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission<\/span><\/h2><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Mandate<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Core Build \u00b7 1 month<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Action \u00b7 1 week<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Evidence seal<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Portfolio correction<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">06<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">Next mandate<\/p><\/li><\/ol><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Universe 2027, evidence pack for the candidate mission<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Record<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Timing<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>F1<\/td><td>Annual mandate record<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>after the Q2 2027 alignment<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F2<\/td><td>Core Build record<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>one month before the exercise<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F3<\/td><td>Exercise evidence<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>during the Action week<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F4<\/td><td>Decision packets<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>exercise state only<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F5<\/td><td>Proof receipts<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>scoped to each recorded check<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F6<\/td><td>After-action report<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>within one quarter<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F7<\/td><td>Upgrade docket<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>routed to the Portfolio<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F8<\/td><td>Portfolio renewal<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>Q4 2027 annual edition<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>F9<\/td><td>Public synthesis<\/td><td>PLANNED<\/td><td>public-safe extracts only<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Mission<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>ID<\/dt><dd>MSN-USA-2027-01 \u00b7 Western heat\u2013fire\u2013grid<\/dd><dt>Role spine<\/dt><dd>Leadership sponsor (NLC) \u00b7 Institutional anchor (NNC) \u00b7 Mission lead (NWG)<\/dd><dt>Receiving actors<\/dt><dd>to be identified with the mandate<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Simulation success is not deployment approval; demonstration is not certification; finance readiness is not financing secured.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.5<\/span><span>Handoffs and routing<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Where the baseline\u2019s findings go next. A handoff routes a finding for awareness, review or work; it transfers no authority.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Handoffs and routing<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Finding<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Routed to<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Purpose<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Class<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>CLI-001 \u00b7 emissions<\/td><td>public record<\/td><td>reference for the 2027 series<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FIN-002 \u00b7 losses<\/td><td>finance-readiness review (key F)<\/td><td>insurance availability A-02<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FIN-003 \u00b7 Los Angeles fires<\/td><td>INI-USA-FIN-02<\/td><td>insurance retreat<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ENE-006 \u00b7 data centres<\/td><td>INI-USA-ENE-03 \u00b7 XT-01<\/td><td>reliability margins<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WAT-008 \u00b7 Colorado River<\/td><td>GS-01 Water edition<\/td><td>basin scenario<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>HLT-009 \u00b7 heat deaths<\/td><td>INI-USA-HLT-05<\/td><td>surge readiness<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>BIO-011 \u00b7 species at risk<\/td><td>GS-11 Biodiversity edition<\/td><td>condition baseline<\/td><td>PUBLIC<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SYS-012 \u00b7 compound pathway<\/td><td>MSN-USA-2027-01<\/td><td>Universe candidate<\/td><td>CONSORTIUM<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Routing rules by publication class<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Class<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Where it goes<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Who can see it<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>PUBLIC<\/td><td>the published edition and its evidence bundle<\/td><td>anyone<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CONSORTIUM<\/td><td>governed rooms of the national pathway<\/td><td>consortium members under agreement<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CONTROLLED<\/td><td>need-to-know channels<\/td><td>named competent actors only<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Handoffs carry findings to Nexus programme objects and steward reviews. Competent authorities receive public editions as published; nothing here instructs them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">7.6<\/span><span>Feeds and signal register<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Feeds watched from Q1 2027<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Feed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Producer<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Latency<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Feeds into<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>U.S. Drought Monitor<\/td><td>National Drought Mitigation Center<\/td><td>weekly<\/td><td>RSK-USA-WAT-003<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>National Weather Service alerts<\/td><td>NOAA<\/td><td>real time<\/td><td>early-warning rung<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fire weather and incidents<\/td><td>National Interagency Fire Center<\/td><td>daily in season<\/td><td>RSK-USA-CLI-001<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Electric Power Monthly<\/td><td>EIA<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><td>ENE findings<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Reliability assessments<\/td><td>NERC<\/td><td>seasonal<\/td><td>RSK-USA-ENE-002<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Catastrophe estimates<\/td><td>reinsurers and index providers<\/td><td>per event<\/td><td>FIN findings<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat-health data<\/td><td>CDC and state health departments<\/td><td>weekly in season<\/td><td>HLT-009<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 7.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Signals at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">ID<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Signal<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Corroboration<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Systems<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Route<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>SIG-CAN-001<\/td><td>Recurrent low water in western reservoirs and rivers, 2023\u20132025<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>WAT \u00b7 ENE<\/td><td>research question A-01<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SIG-CAN-002<\/td><td>H5N1 in poultry and wild birds; a domestically acquired human case in 2024<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c7-n27\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-r27\" aria-label=\"Note 27\">27<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>HLT \u00b7 FOO \u00b7 BIO<\/td><td>monitoring<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>SIG-CAN-003<\/td><td>Fire seasons starting earlier and lasting longer<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c7-n40\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-r40\" aria-label=\"Note 40\">40<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>CORROBORATED<\/td><td>CLI \u00b7 BIO \u00b7 HLT<\/td><td>risk object RSK-CAN-CLI-001<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Escalation routes<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">none \u00b7 keep monitoring<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">research question<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">project<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">risk object<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">quarterly publication<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">signal report<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>A signal is not a warning. Signal records never substitute for official alerting or early-warning authorities, and they bypass no publication control.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-n27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>International Energy Agency (ed.), Energy and AI. World Energy Outlook Special Report. IEA, Paris, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c7-r27\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 27\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c7-n40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), National Flood Insurance Program: program description and policy statistics. FEMA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c7-r40\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 40\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-systems-in-depth\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Chapter 8<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Systems in depth<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>6 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>5 tables<\/span><span>16 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.1<\/span><span>Water, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">America\u2019s water is ample in total and tight where growth is fastest. Power plants and farms take most withdrawals, and the West is in structural <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.supply-disruption\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"A break in the flow of goods or materials between producers and users that stops production or leaves shortages.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\">shortage<\/a>.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">322<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">bn gal\/day<\/span><p>withdrawals, 2015<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">41<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>for thermoelectric power<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2021<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">first<\/span><p>Colorado River shortage<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Withdrawals<\/td><td>thermoelectric 41%, irrigation 37%, public supply 12%<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Western shortage<\/td><td>first Colorado River shortage declared in 2021<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Groundwater<\/td><td>High Plains and Central Valley depletion<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Drought<\/td><td>tracked weekly nationwide<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n17\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Service access<\/td><td>tribal and rural gaps not consolidated<\/td><td>,<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>WAT \u2192 ENE cooling and hydro<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 FOO irrigation<\/li><li>WAT \u2192 HLT drinking water<\/li><li>BIO \u2192 WAT watershed regulation<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>aquifer levels and recharge<\/li><li>post-2026 Colorado allocation<\/li><li>tribal water access<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Colorado River operating guidelines after 2026; aquifer levels in the High Plains and Central Valley; drought declarations.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Related editions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">REG-NAM North America<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GLB Global Systems<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-01 Water<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-02 Energy<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-05 Finance<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">XT-01 AI<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Water management rests with federal, state, tribal and local authorities and interstate compacts; this chapter assesses none of them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.2<\/span><span>Energy, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">A gas-led electricity system with growing renewables faces two pressures at once: extremes of heat and cold, and fast new load from data centres.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">\u224843<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>electricity from natural gas<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">4.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>used by data centres, 2023<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">246<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">deaths<\/span><p>Winter Storm Uri, Texas<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Generation mix<\/td><td>gas about 43%, nuclear about 18%, growing renewables<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Reliability<\/td><td>reserve margins thin in some regions<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n32\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r32\" aria-label=\"Note 32\">32<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Extremes<\/td><td>2021 cold-weather failures across Texas and the South Central US<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n31\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r31\" aria-label=\"Note 31\">31<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>New load<\/td><td>data centres 4.4% in 2023, 6.7\u201312% projected for 2028<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Policy<\/td><td>clean-energy credits amended in 2025<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n29\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r29\" aria-label=\"Note 29\">29<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>ENE \u2192 WAT pumping and treatment<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 HLT cooling and care<\/li><li>AIC \u2192 ENE data-centre load<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>reliability margins under compound heat<\/li><li>gas\u2013power interdependence in winter<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>NERC seasonal reliability warnings; data-centre interconnection queues; winter gas\u2013power coordination.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Related editions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">REG-NAM North America<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GLB Global Systems<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-01 Water<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-02 Energy<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-05 Finance<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">XT-01 AI<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Electricity decisions rest with federal and state regulators and system operators; this chapter assesses none of them.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.3<\/span><span>Food and agrifood, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The United States is one of the world\u2019s largest food producers and exporters, yet 13.5% of its households were food insecure in 2023.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">13.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>households food insecure, 2023<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">37<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>of withdrawals for irrigation<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2022<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">census<\/span><p>of agriculture<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n22\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Production<\/td><td>large grain, oilseed and livestock output<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n22\" aria-label=\"Note 22\">22<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Irrigation<\/td><td>depends on depleting aquifers in key regions<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Access<\/td><td>13.5% of households food insecure<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Trade<\/td><td>export markets exposed to tariff changes<\/td><td>,<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Drought<\/td><td>Plains and Western production exposed<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n17\" aria-label=\"Note 17\">17<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>WAT \u2192 FOO irrigation<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 FOO inputs and cold chain<\/li><li>FOO \u2192 TRD exports<\/li><li>FOO \u2192 HLT nutrition<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>aquifer dependence of production<\/li><li>food access after disasters<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Drought on the Plains; export-market access; household <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 food-insecurity\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A situation in which people lack reliable access to enough safe and nutritious food for active and healthy lives.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">food insecurity<\/a> after disasters.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Related editions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">REG-NAM North America<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GLB Global Systems<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-01 Water<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-02 Energy<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-05 Finance<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">XT-01 AI<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>This chapter describes the food system; it makes no statement on agricultural or trade policy or about any company.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.4<\/span><span>Health and One Health, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Heat is the fastest-growing climate\u2013health risk. Grid failures turn weather into health emergencies, and smoke reaches cities far from fire.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2,325<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">deaths<\/span><p>heat-related, 2023<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">246<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">deaths<\/span><p>Winter Storm Uri, Texas, 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2023<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">record<\/span><p>heat mortality year<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Heat<\/td><td>record heat deaths in 2023<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Cold and outages<\/td><td>deaths in the 2021 Texas <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h48\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 infra.utilities.power-blackout\" data-tk=\"Built systems \u00b7 Utility and communication network outage\" data-td=\"Loss of electricity supply across a large area, stopping water, heating, cooling, communications and health care.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H48\" data-tr=\"draft\">grid failure<\/a><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Smoke<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a> smoke over large cities<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Surge capacity<\/td><td>not consolidated nationally<\/td><td>,<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 one-health\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"An integrated approach that recognises the health of people, animals, plants and ecosystems as interdependent and manages risks across them together.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">One Health<\/a><\/td><td>zoonotic risks tracked by federal agencies<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>CLI \u2192 HLT heat and smoke<\/li><li>ENE \u2192 HLT power for care and cooling<\/li><li>FOO \u2192 HLT nutrition<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>heat surge capacity in large metros<\/li><li>cooling access for at-risk households<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Heat-warning days in large southern and western cities; smoke episodes; outage-related health events.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Related editions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">REG-NAM North America<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GLB Global Systems<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-01 Water<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-02 Energy<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-05 Finance<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">XT-01 AI<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Health-system planning rests with federal, state and local health authorities. No personal health data are used or shown in Reports.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">8.5<\/span><span>Biodiversity and ecosystems, the baseline system chapter<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Many of the country\u2019s species are at risk, and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a>, land use and water stress are the fastest-changing pressures.<\/p><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">40<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>of animal species at risk<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">34<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">%<\/span><p>of plant species at risk<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">2025<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">record<\/span><p>costliest <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h24\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a> disaster<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table 8.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">State at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Component<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Evidence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Species<\/td><td>about 40% of animal species at risk of extinction<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Plants<\/td><td>about 34% of plant species at risk<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fire<\/td><td>larger and more destructive fires in the West<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Freshwater<\/td><td>river and wetland ecosystems under water stress<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Services<\/td><td>watershed regulation, pollination, carbon storage<\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-n26\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-r26\" aria-label=\"Note 26\">26<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Couplings into other systems<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>BIO \u2192 WAT watershed regulation<\/li><li>BIO \u2192 FOO pollination<\/li><li>CLI \u2192 BIO fire and heat<\/li><\/ul><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence to bind in 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>ecosystem condition indicators<\/li><li>species trends by region<\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">WHAT TO WATCH<\/p><p>Wildfire seasons in the West; species listings; wetland and river condition.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Related editions<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">REG-NAM North America<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GLB Global Systems<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-01 Water<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-02 Energy<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">GS-05 Finance<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">XT-01 AI<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Biodiversity is not reduced to a single number. Where valuation is used later, it will never be presented as the whole value.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>C. A. Dieter, M. A. Maupin, R. R. Caldwell et al., Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2015, Circular 1441. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (ed.), \u201cReclamation announces 2022 operating conditions for Lake Powell and Lake Mead.\u201d News release, Washington, DC, August 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>National Drought Mitigation Center (ed.), U.S. Drought Monitor. University of Nebraska\u2013Lincoln, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r17\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 17\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>U.S. Energy Information Administration (ed.), \u201cElectricity in the United States\u201d and Electric Power Monthly. EIA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>A. Shehabi, S. J. Smith, A. Hubbard et al., 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Texas Department of State Health Services (ed.), February 2021 Winter Storm-Related Deaths, Texas. DSHS, Austin, TX, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n32\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">32<\/span><span>North American Electric Reliability Corporation (ed.), 2025 Summer Reliability Assessment. NERC, Atlanta, GA, 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r32\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 32\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and North American Electric Reliability Corporation (eds.), February 2021 Cold Weather Outages in Texas and the South Central United States. FERC and NERC, Washington, DC, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r31\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 31\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n29\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">29<\/span><span>U.S. Congress (ed.), Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Public Law 117-169, as amended by Public Law 119-21 (2025). Washington, DC.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r29\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 29\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>USDA Economic Research Service (ed.), Household Food Security in the United States in 2023. USDA ERS, Washington, DC, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (ed.), 2022 Census of Agriculture. USDA NASS, Washington, DC, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r22\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 22\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>J. T. Howard, N. Androne, K. C. Alcover and A. R. Santos-Lozada, \u201cTrends of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in the US, 1999\u20132023,\u201d JAMA, vol. 332, no. 14, pp. 1203\u20131204, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>A. R. Crimmins, C. W. Avery, D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, B. C. Stewart and T. K. Maycock (eds.), Fifth National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>NatureServe (ed.), Biodiversity in Focus: United States Edition. NatureServe, Arlington, VA, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-c8-n26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.13850054\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054<\/a><a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-c8-r26\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 26\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-methodology\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex A<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Methodology<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">How the edition was made: methods, the model card, the evidence cut and its age, the acceptance record and the glossary.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>9 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>12 tables<\/span><span>6 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.1<\/span><span>Methods<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The baseline uses published values and four simple derivations. Each is shown in full so that any reader can reproduce it.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Methods<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">No.<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Derivation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Calculation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Result<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>(1)<\/td><td>Insured share of North American losses, 2025<\/td><td>93 \u00f7 133<\/td><td>\u2248 70%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(2)<\/td><td>Uninsured North American losses, 2025<\/td><td>133 \u2212 93<\/td><td>US$40 bn<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(3)<\/td><td>Share of withdrawals for power and irrigation<\/td><td>41 + 37<\/td><td>\u2248 78%<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>(4)<\/td><td>Insured share of the Los Angeles wildfires<\/td><td>40 \u00f7 53<\/td><td>\u2248 75%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab2\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.2<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coupling strength scale (matrix and model card)<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Strength<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Definition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>STRONG<\/td><td>a disruption in the source system has historically changed the target system\u2019s service or output within one season<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>MODERATE<\/td><td>an effect is documented but buffered or slower<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WEAK<\/td><td>an effect is plausible but not documented at national scale<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Status grammar<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Label<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Rule<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td>value as issued by its source, with year<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><td>reasoned from cited evidence; never a measurement<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Estimated<\/span><\/td><td>Nexus analytical value with stated method<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Scenario<\/span><\/td><td>conditional on stated assumptions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><td>structured editorial judgement awaiting evidence<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.2<\/span><span>Model card, National Model v0<\/span><\/h2><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Model ID<\/dt><dd>MDL-USA-NATIONAL \u00b7 v0.1<\/dd><dt>Purpose<\/dt><dd>represent the United States as coupled water, energy, food, health and biodiversity <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> with forcing and transmission layers<\/dd><dt>Family<\/dt><dd>graph-based system of systems<\/dd><dt>Inputs<\/dt><dd>the cited sources of this edition; no proprietary data<\/dd><dt>Method<\/dt><dd>expert-specified coupling strengths (STRONG \u00b7 MODERATE \u00b7 WEAK) from evidence and analogue events<\/dd><dt>Validation<\/dt><dd>none yet, first validation against Q1 2027 Foundry evidence<\/dd><dt>Uncertainty<\/dt><dd>qualitative; strengths are hypotheses, not measurements<\/dd><dt>Domain of validity<\/dt><dd>national scale; not for state or asset-level use<\/dd><dt>Reproducibility<\/dt><dd>strength table and sources published in this edition<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"pp-cells nrp-cells-3\"><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">20<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">couplings<\/span><p>typed in v0<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">strong<\/span><p>documented within one season<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">moderate<\/span><p>documented, buffered<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cell\"><span class=\"pp-metric\">4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">weak<\/span><p>plausible, undocumented<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">SUITABLE FOR<\/p><p>framing the 2027 agenda; choosing which couplings to measure first; explaining the coupled reading of American risk.<\/p><\/aside><\/div><div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NOT SUITABLE FOR<\/p><p>quantitative loss estimates, operational decisions, provincial comparisons or any claim about a specific asset.<\/p><\/aside><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">VERSIONING<\/p><p>Models are immutable by version. A change to any coupling, rule or weight produces v0.2 with its own card and correction note.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.3<\/span><span>The baseline evidence cut<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Every Nexus edition is published from a frozen evidence cut. The baseline cut is documentary: it pins the exact edition of every source cited. Model runs begin with the first Foundry cut in Q1 2027.<\/p><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Cut ID<\/dt><dd>NQ-USA-2026-Q0-1<\/dd><dt>Type<\/dt><dd>baseline documentary cut<\/dd><dt>Resolution policy<\/dt><dd>pinned \u00b7 as of 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Sources pinned<\/dt><dd>40 cited sources, each at the edition and retrieval date in the references<\/dd><dt>Model runs<\/dt><dd>none at baseline, analytical values are stated with their method<\/dd><dt>Digest<\/dt><dd>computed at <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h5\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 atmo.thermal.hard-freeze\" data-tk=\"Atmosphere and weather \u00b7 Thermal extremes\" data-td=\"Air temperature falling well below freezing for hours, killing crops, bursting pipes and stopping water flow.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H5\" data-tr=\"draft\">freeze<\/a> and recorded in the publication record<\/dd><dt>Supersedes<\/dt><dd>nothing, first cut of the series<\/dd><dt>Superseded by<\/dt><dd>NQ-USA-2027-Q1-1 at the Q1 2027 close<\/dd><\/dl><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Lineage<\/h3><ol class=\"nrp-rows\"><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">01<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">source edition<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">02<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">pinned citation<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">03<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">finding<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">04<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">page<\/p><\/li><li><span class=\"nrp-rows-i\">05<\/span><p class=\"nrp-rows-x\">publication record<\/p><\/li><\/ol><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">From the baseline cut to the first Foundry cut<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Element<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline 2026<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Q1 2027<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Sources<\/td><td>cited publications, pinned by edition<\/td><td>qualified source bindings with versions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Analysis<\/td><td>stated methods and editorial estimates<\/td><td>typed analysis specifications<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Models<\/td><td>National Model v0 specification<\/td><td>model runs with receipts<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Findings<\/td><td>twelve baseline findings<\/td><td>findings re-bound to the cut<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Review<\/td><td>five passes scheduled<\/td><td>five passes on the exact digest<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.4<\/span><span>Evidence age and coverage<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">A 2026 edition rests on evidence observed in many different years. This page shows each time base, so that no single year label hides older evidence.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Evidence age and coverage<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Indicator<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Observed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Released<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Cadence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Next release<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Gross GHG emissions<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td>Apr 2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>next inventory<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Disaster losses<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>Jan 2026<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>Jan 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Billion-dollar disasters<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>Jan 2025<\/td><td>retired<\/td><td>,<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Population<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>Dec 2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Data-centre electricity share<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>Dec 2024<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>next report<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water withdrawals<\/td><td>2015<\/td><td>2018<\/td><td>five-yearly<\/td><td>next national estimate<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">Heat-related deaths<\/a><\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>Aug 2024<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>new studies<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Household <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 food-insecurity\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A situation in which people lack reliable access to enough safe and nutritious food for active and healthy lives.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">food insecurity<\/a><\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>Dec 2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>annual<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Species at risk<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>next edition<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Warming since 1970<\/td><td>to 2023<\/td><td>Nov 2023<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>next assessment<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Coverage by system at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">System<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Thinnest dimension<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Climate forcing<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>state-level downscaling<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>reliability margins under new load<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Finance<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>insurance availability by state<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Food<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><td>aquifer dependence<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>water-use data last compiled for 2015<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Health<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>heat surge capacity<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><td>ecosystem condition<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Digital and cyber<\/td><td>THIN<\/td><td>dependency mapping<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.5<\/span><span>Evidence cards, two anchor sources<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Issued by the Environmental Protection Agency under the UNFCCC. National coverage 1990\u20132022 with IPCC methods; each edition revises earlier years. Role: binds CLI-001.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EVD-USA-001<\/h3><p>Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Issued by the U.S. Geological Survey from state and federal data, compiled every five years. Role: binds WAT-007 and the withdrawal figure.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">EVD-USA-002<\/h3><p>Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2015<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/p><\/article><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab7\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Quality dimensions at baseline<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Dimension<\/th><th scope=\"col\">EVD-CAN-001<\/th><th scope=\"col\">EVD-CAN-002<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Completeness<\/td><td>all sectors and gases<\/td><td>all categories; some modelled<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Timeliness<\/td><td>about 16 months after the year<\/td><td>about three years after the year<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Revision<\/td><td>annual back-revision<\/td><td>revised between compilations<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Method transparency<\/td><td>published annexes<\/td><td>published methods<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>External validation<\/td><td>UNFCCC expert review<\/td><td>state agency review<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Evidence cards to follow in Q1 2027<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-list\"><li>Fifth National Climate Assessment<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup>, warming and frequency findings<\/li><li>Heat-mortality study<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup>, death-certificate method<\/li><li>Homeowners insurance analysis<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup>, ZIP-level method<\/li><li>Data-centre report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup>, scenario method<\/li><\/ul><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.6<\/span><span>Publication acceptance record<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Editorial self-check at evidence close. Every applicable item carries a disposition; the remaining items are review, approval and deposit.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab8\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.8<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Publication acceptance record<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Group<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Area<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Items<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Pass<\/th><th scope=\"col\">N\/A<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Pending<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>D1<\/td><td>Identity and scope<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D2<\/td><td>Source and data<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>1<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D3<\/td><td>Analysis and models<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>3<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D4<\/td><td>Findings and claims<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D5<\/td><td>Figures, tables, maps<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>6<\/td><td>2<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D6<\/td><td>Editorial and citations<\/td><td>10<\/td><td>8<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D7<\/td><td>Review and approval<\/td><td>13<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>13<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D8<\/td><td>Artefact and design<\/td><td>12<\/td><td>7<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D9<\/td><td>Registry and release<\/td><td>9<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>0<\/td><td>9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication gate<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Conditions met<\/dt><dd>14 of 23 at evidence close<\/dd><dt>Blocking problems<\/dt><dd>none recorded<\/dd><dt>Open conditions<\/dt><dd>reviews, approval of the exact digest, deposit, registry pointer<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Not applicable at baseline<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Model runs<\/dt><dd>first runs in Q1 2027<\/dd><dt>Maps<\/dt><dd>plates in Q2 2027<\/dd><dt>Waivers<\/dt><dd>none<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Dispositions are recorded item by item in the machine-readable checklist. A FAIL on any item blocks release.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.7<\/span><span>Status words<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab9\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.9<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">The status every value carries<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What it means<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"positive\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Observed<\/span><\/td><td>Measured directly and published by the source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td>Published statistics of an official or institutional source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Declared<\/span><\/td><td>Stated by the body concerned; not independently measured.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Estimated<\/span><\/td><td>A Nexus estimate from cited evidence, with its method in Annex A.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Modelled<\/span><\/td><td>Produced by a stated model from cited inputs.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Inferred<\/span><\/td><td>Reasoned from cited evidence; not measured.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Forecast<\/span><\/td><td>A projection by the cited source.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Simulated<\/span><\/td><td>A simulation result under stated assumptions.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Scenario<\/span><\/td><td>A conditional statement under stated assumptions; never a prediction.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"neutral\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Expert input<\/span><\/td><td>Expert judgement, recorded with its basis.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Candidate<\/span><\/td><td>Proposed for a later edition; not yet evidence.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"2\">Evidence-quality levels (EQL 1 to 5) grade the source behind a value; they are not a score of the subject.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s8\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s8-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s8-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.8<\/span><span>How the edition is made, released and corrected<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nx-p\">Every edition is built from a sealed evidence cut, reviewed under three keys, signed and deposited before any site shows it as published; corrections go to <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/\" data-tc=\"Nexus Standards\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The foundation standards\">Nexus Standards<\/a> as change proposals and feed the next cut.<\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">01 Evidence arrives from the pillars<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Foundry seals observations and indicator series, Universe hands over after-action and scenario findings, and contributions are screened at every gateway, including this site&#8217;s.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">02 The cut is sealed<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">On the cut date the evidence is pinned under one identifier, so anyone can rebuild the edition from exactly what it was built on.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">03 The edition is assembled<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">The edition is drafted from its template and content pack. Agents may draft; they never publish and never decide.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">04 The keys turn<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">The Global Risks Forum turns the meaning key: its steward checks that each finding is said without overreach, endorsement or judgement of public figures. No edition moves on until every key has been turned by a named steward.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">05 The gate opens<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">A named approver releases one exact digest of the edition; any change after this point is a new version, never a silent edit.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">06 Signed and deposited<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">The PDF, the web edition and the data bundle are signed together with a manifest and an RO-Crate description, and deposited on Zenodo with a concept and a version DOI.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">07 Published on five sites<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Only then do the five Reports sites show the edition as published, each reading it through its own lens.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Step\">08 Corrections go to Standards<\/td><td data-label=\"What happens\">Method and correction findings go to Nexus Standards as change proposals; citations, corrections and new contributions feed the next evidence cut.<\/td><td data-label=\"Source\"><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-2\">A teaching model of the process, not a forecast and not a record of any run; dates and counts on this page come from the programme record. Sources: <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/governance\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Reports governance at Global Risks Forum<\/a> (2026); Zenodo, repository of record for Reports deposits (2026).<\/p><p class=\"nrp-note\">Lifecycle, one state at a time: Draft, Computed, Evidence bound, Reviewed, Approved for release, Published, Corrected, Superseded. This edition is a draft.<\/p><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s9\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s9-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s9-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.9<\/span><span>Glossary and abbreviations<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab10\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.10<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Series terms<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Term<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Meaning<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Baseline Edition<\/td><td>the inaugural annual edition that fixes the reference state for the series<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>WEFH+B<\/td><td>water, energy, food, health and biodiversity, the <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/governance-in-operation\/national-nexus\" data-tc=\"National Nexus\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The national model: the NNC, the NLC and the NWG as its three participation pillars, with the National Desk, Model and Portfolio and the NSC as the standards function of the NNC (OR-13)\">national nexus<\/a> core<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Coupling<\/td><td>a typed dependency through which one system transmits to another<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 protection-gap\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The difference between total economic losses from hazards and the share covered by insurance or other pre-arranged protection, leaving households, firms and governments to absorb the rest.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Protection gap<\/a><\/td><td>the share of losses not covered by insurance<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Capability ladder<\/td><td>LISTED \u2192 EXISTS \u2192 ADEQUATE \u2192 TESTED \u2192 DEMONSTRATED<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>EQL<\/td><td>evidence-quality level, 1\u20135<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Evidence cut<\/td><td>a frozen resolution of exact sources and versions<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NNC \u00b7 NLC \u00b7 NWG<\/td><td>National Nexus Consortium \u00b7 National Leadership Council \u00b7 National Working Groups<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab11\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.11<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Abbreviations used in this edition<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Abbreviation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Expansion<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>BIS<\/td><td>Bureau of Industry and Security<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>CISA<\/td><td>Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>EIA<\/td><td>Energy Information Administration<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>EPA<\/td><td>Environmental Protection Agency<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>ERS<\/td><td>USDA Economic Research Service<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FEMA<\/td><td>Federal Emergency Management Agency<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FERC<\/td><td>Federal Energy Regulatory Commission<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>FIO<\/td><td>Federal Insurance Office<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>LBNL<\/td><td>Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NCA5<\/td><td>Fifth National Climate Assessment<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NERC<\/td><td>North American Electric Reliability Corporation<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NOAA<\/td><td>National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>NSM-22<\/td><td>National Security Memorandum on <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 critical-infrastructure\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Physical and digital assets, systems and networks whose disruption would seriously affect health, safety, security, economic welfare or the functioning of government. Criticality depends on what relies on them.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Critical Infrastructure<\/a> Security and Resilience<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>USGS<\/td><td>U.S. Geological Survey<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s10\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s10-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-s10-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">A.10<\/span><span>Technical annex<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-tab12\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table A.12<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Technical annex<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Item<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Annex<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Contents<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Status<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>A.1<\/td><td>Indicator definitions<\/td><td>the baseline indicator set, with units and sources<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.2<\/td><td>Coupling strengths<\/td><td>the twenty-cell matrix and its rationale<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.3<\/td><td>Scenario specification<\/td><td>SCN-USA-HFG-01 assumptions and signposts<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.4<\/td><td>Capability placements<\/td><td>rung evidence for fifteen functions<\/td><td>IN THIS EDITION<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.5<\/td><td>Model diagnostics<\/td><td>first runs and validation<\/td><td>Q1 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.6<\/td><td>Sensitivity analyses<\/td><td>influence of coupling strengths<\/td><td>Q2 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.7<\/td><td>State notes<\/td><td>atlas cards for every state and territory<\/td><td>Q2 2027<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>A.8<\/td><td>Review statements<\/td><td>pass-by-pass review record<\/td><td>AT RELEASE<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">A.1 \u00b7 indicator definition, gross greenhouse-gas emissions<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Construct<\/dt><dd>annual anthropogenic greenhouse-gas emissions before land-sector removals<\/dd><dt>Unit<\/dt><dd>Mt CO\u2082e, 100-year <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 global-warming\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"The rise in global average surface temperature relative to a pre-industrial baseline, the headline indicator of human-driven climate change.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">global warming<\/a> potentials<\/dd><dt>Scope<\/dt><dd>gross total; net total includes land use, land-use change and forestry<\/dd><dt>Source<\/dt><dd>EPA Inventory 1990\u20132022<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Revision<\/dt><dd>back-revised each edition<\/dd><dt>Known limits<\/dt><dd>about 16 months\u2019 lag at release<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Annexes carry the same evidence, review and correction rules as the chapters and are versioned with the edition.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (ed.), Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990\u20132022. EPA, Washington, DC, April 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>C. A. Dieter, M. A. Maupin, R. R. Caldwell et al., Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2015, Circular 1441. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>A. R. Crimmins, C. W. Avery, D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, B. C. Stewart and T. K. Maycock (eds.), Fifth National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>J. T. Howard, N. Androne, K. C. Alcover and A. R. Santos-Lozada, \u201cTrends of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in the US, 1999\u20132023,\u201d JAMA, vol. 332, no. 14, pp. 1203\u20131204, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Federal Insurance Office (ed.), Analyses of U.S. Homeowners Insurance Markets, 2018\u20132022: Climate-Related Risks and Other Factors. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Washington, DC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ca-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>A. Shehabi, S. J. Smith, A. Hubbard et al., 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-ca-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-data\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex B<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">Data appendix<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">The indicator set with its sources, the source registers, the licences of every kind of material and the formats of the edition.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>8 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>7 tables<\/span><span>15 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.1<\/span><span>The indicator set<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Baseline indicator set<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Indicator<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Value<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Unit<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Gross GHG emissions<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">6,343<\/span><\/td><td>Mt CO\u2082e<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n1\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Net emissions against 2005<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u2248 \u221217<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>North American disaster losses<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">133<\/span><\/td><td>US$ billion<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Insured North American losses<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">93<\/span><\/td><td>US$ billion<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Los Angeles wildfires, overall<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">53<\/span><\/td><td>US$ billion<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Billion-dollar disasters<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">27<\/span><\/td><td>events<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n15\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Warming of the contiguous US since 1970<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">\u22481.4<\/span><\/td><td>\u00b0C<\/td><td>to 2023<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n3\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Population<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">340.1<\/span><\/td><td>million<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n4\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Data-centre share of electricity<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">4.4<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n6\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Projected data-centre share<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">6.7\u201312<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2028<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"caution\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Scenario<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water withdrawals<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">322<\/span><\/td><td>bn gal\/day<\/td><td>2015<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n7\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Thermoelectric share of withdrawals<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">41<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2015<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Irrigation share of withdrawals<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">37<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2015<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">Heat-related deaths<\/a><\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">2,325<\/span><\/td><td>deaths<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n9\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Winter Storm Uri deaths, Texas<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">246<\/span><\/td><td>deaths<\/td><td>2021<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n16\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Households food insecure<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">13.5<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n11\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Animal species at risk<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">40<\/span><\/td><td>%<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n10\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Critical minerals listed<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">50<\/span><\/td><td>minerals<\/td><td>2022<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-st\"><span class=\"nf-ui-dot\" data-tone=\"info\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span>Reported<\/span><\/td><td><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n12\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r12\" aria-label=\"Note 12\">12<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-actions nrp-noprint\"><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"data:text\/csv;charset=utf-8,Indicator%2CValue%2CUnit%2CYear%2CState%2CSource%0AGross%20GHG%20emissions%2C%226%2C343%22%2CMt%20CO%E2%82%82e%2C2022%2CREPORTED%2C%5B1%5D%0ANet%20emissions%20against%202005%2C%E2%89%88%20%E2%88%9217%2C%25%2C2022%2CREPORTED%2C%5B1%5D%0ANorth%20American%20disaster%20losses%2C133%2CUS%24%20billion%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B2%5D%0AInsured%20North%20American%20losses%2C93%2CUS%24%20billion%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B2%5D%0A%22Los%20Angeles%20wildfires%2C%20overall%22%2C53%2CUS%24%20billion%2C2025%2CREPORTED%2C%5B2%5D%0ABillion-dollar%20disasters%2C27%2Cevents%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B15%5D%0AWarming%20of%20the%20contiguous%20US%20since%201970%2C%E2%89%881.4%2C%C2%B0C%2Cto%202023%2CREPORTED%2C%5B3%5D%0APopulation%2C340.1%2Cmillion%2C2024%2CREPORTED%2C%5B4%5D%0AData-centre%20share%20of%20electricity%2C4.4%2C%25%2C2023%2CREPORTED%2C%5B6%5D%0AProjected%20data-centre%20share%2C6.7%E2%80%9312%2C%25%2C2028%2CSCENARIO%2C%5B6%5D%0AWater%20withdrawals%2C322%2Cbn%20gal%2Fday%2C2015%2CREPORTED%2C%5B7%5D%0AThermoelectric%20share%20of%20withdrawals%2C41%2C%25%2C2015%2CREPORTED%2C%5B7%5D%0AIrrigation%20share%20of%20withdrawals%2C37%2C%25%2C2015%2CREPORTED%2C%5B7%5D%0AHeat-related%20deaths%2C%222%2C325%22%2Cdeaths%2C2023%2CREPORTED%2C%5B9%5D%0A%22Winter%20Storm%20Uri%20deaths%2C%20Texas%22%2C246%2Cdeaths%2C2021%2CREPORTED%2C%5B16%5D%0AHouseholds%20food%20insecure%2C13.5%2C%25%2C2023%2CREPORTED%2C%5B11%5D%0AAnimal%20species%20at%20risk%2C40%2C%25%2C2023%2CREPORTED%2C%5B10%5D%0ACritical%20minerals%20listed%2C50%2Cminerals%2C2022%2CREPORTED%2C%5B12%5D%0A\" download=\"NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-indicators.csv\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 15V3\"\/><path d=\"M21 15v4a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H5a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-4\"\/><path d=\"m7 10 5 5 5-5\"\/><\/svg>Indicators, CSV<\/a><a class=\"nf-ui-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"data:application\/json;charset=utf-8,%7B%0A%20%22edition%22%3A%20%22NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE%22%2C%0A%20%22title%22%3A%20%22United%20States%20Systems%20Risk%20and%20Resilience%20Report%202026%3A%20The%20State%20of%20the%20United%20States%E2%80%99%20Interdependent%20Systems%22%2C%0A%20%22status%22%3A%20%22Draft%20under%20stewardship%20review%3B%20not%20yet%20released%22%2C%0A%20%22licence%22%3A%20%22CC-BY-4.0%20for%20the%20edition%20table%3B%20each%20value%20keeps%20its%20source's%20licence%22%2C%0A%20%22columns%22%3A%20%5B%0A%20%20%22Indicator%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Value%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Unit%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Year%22%2C%0A%20%20%22State%22%2C%0A%20%20%22Source%22%0A%20%5D%2C%0A%20%22rows%22%3A%20%5B%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Gross%20GHG%20emissions%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%226%2C343%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22Mt%20CO%E2%82%82e%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222022%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B1%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Net%20emissions%20against%202005%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%88%20%E2%88%9217%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222022%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B1%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22North%20American%20disaster%20losses%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22133%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22US%24%20billion%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B2%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Insured%20North%20American%20losses%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2293%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22US%24%20billion%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B2%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Los%20Angeles%20wildfires%2C%20overall%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2253%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22US%24%20billion%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222025%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B2%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Billion-dollar%20disasters%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2227%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22events%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B15%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Warming%20of%20the%20contiguous%20US%20since%201970%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%E2%89%881.4%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%C2%B0C%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22to%202023%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B3%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Population%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22340.1%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22million%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222024%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B4%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Data-centre%20share%20of%20electricity%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%224.4%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222023%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B6%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Projected%20data-centre%20share%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%226.7%E2%80%9312%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222028%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22SCENARIO%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B6%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Water%20withdrawals%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22322%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22bn%20gal%2Fday%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222015%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B7%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Thermoelectric%20share%20of%20withdrawals%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2241%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222015%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B7%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Irrigation%20share%20of%20withdrawals%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2237%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222015%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B7%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Heat-related%20deaths%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222%2C325%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22deaths%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222023%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B9%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Winter%20Storm%20Uri%20deaths%2C%20Texas%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22246%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22deaths%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222021%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B16%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Households%20food%20insecure%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2213.5%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222023%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B11%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Animal%20species%20at%20risk%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2240%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%25%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222023%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B10%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%2C%0A%20%20%5B%0A%20%20%20%22Critical%20minerals%20listed%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%2250%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22minerals%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%222022%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22REPORTED%22%2C%0A%20%20%20%22%5B12%5D%22%0A%20%20%5D%0A%20%5D%0A%7D\" download=\"NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-indicators.json\"><svg class=\"nrp-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 15V3\"\/><path d=\"M21 15v4a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H5a2 2 0 0 1-2-2v-4\"\/><path d=\"m7 10 5 5 5-5\"\/><\/svg>Indicators, JSON<\/a><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NOTES<\/p><p>Emissions exclude land use, land-use change and forestry in the gross total. Loss values are nominal US dollars. A machine-readable copy of this table is published with the evidence bundle at release.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.2<\/span><span>National source register<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The governed source set behind this edition. Each source keeps its authority, coverage, cadence and role; categories describe origin, not truth.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-tab3\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.3<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">National source register<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Source<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Category<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Period<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Cadence<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>GHG Inventory<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n1\" aria-label=\"Note 1\">1<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national technical authority<\/td><td>national \u00b7 state<\/td><td>1990\u20132022<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>CLI \u00b7 ENE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Fifth National Climate Assessment<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>scientific assessment<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>to 2023<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>CLI<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Population estimates<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national statistics<\/td><td>national \u00b7 state<\/td><td>2024<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>profile<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Electricity statistics<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n5\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national statistics<\/td><td>national \u00b7 state<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><td>monthly<\/td><td>ENE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Data-centre report<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n6\" aria-label=\"Note 6\">6<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national laboratory<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>ENE<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Water use<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n7\" aria-label=\"Note 7\">7<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national technical authority<\/td><td>national \u00b7 state<\/td><td>2015<\/td><td>five-yearly<\/td><td>WAT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Heat mortality<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n9\" aria-label=\"Note 9\">9<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>peer-reviewed<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>1999\u20132023<\/td><td>one-off<\/td><td>HLT<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Food security<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n11\" aria-label=\"Note 11\">11<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national statistics<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>FOO<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Biodiversity in Focus<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n10\" aria-label=\"Note 10\">10<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>civil society<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>2023<\/td><td>periodic<\/td><td>BIO<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Billion-dollar disasters<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n15\" aria-label=\"Note 15\">15<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>national technical authority<\/td><td>national<\/td><td>1980\u20132024<\/td><td>retired 2025<\/td><td>FIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Catastrophe figures<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>industry<\/td><td>regional<\/td><td>2025<\/td><td>annual<\/td><td>FIN<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Insurance markets<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n21\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/td><td>federal office<\/td><td>national \u00b7 ZIP<\/td><td>2018\u20132022<\/td><td>one-off<\/td><td>FIN<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Domains bound by the register<\/h3><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">WAT<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">ENE<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">FOO<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">HLT<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">BIO<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">CLI<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">INF<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">FIN<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">TRD<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">MIN<\/li><\/ul><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">FIXTURE PROHIBITION<\/p><p>No demonstration or reference-cartographic fixture is used as evidence in this edition. The publication gate checks every binding against this register.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.3<\/span><span>Regional reading, the United States by climate region<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Map plates for every state and territory follow in Q2 2027. This page gives the regional reading in table form, using the regions of the national climate assessment, and ranks no region.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-tab4\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.4<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Regional reading, the United States by climate region<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Region<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Principal hazards<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Systems most exposed<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline evidence<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Northeast<\/td><td>heat, extreme rainfall, coastal flooding<\/td><td>cities, transit, health<\/td><td>NCA5<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Southeast<\/td><td>hurricanes, heat, inland flooding<\/td><td>power, housing, insurance<\/td><td>NCA5<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Midwest<\/td><td>floods, heat, drought<\/td><td>agriculture, rivers, rail<\/td><td>NCA5<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Great Plains<\/td><td>drought, hail, winter storms<\/td><td>agriculture, grid, aquifers<\/td><td>Uri 2021<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n16\" aria-label=\"Note 16\">16<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Southwest<\/td><td>drought, heat, <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/hazards\/wildfire-and-vegetation-fire-standards\/\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a><\/td><td>water, power, health<\/td><td>Colorado <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.supply-disruption\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"A break in the flow of goods or materials between producers and users that stops production or leaves shortages.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\">shortage<\/a><sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n8\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-r8\" aria-label=\"Note 8\">8<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Northwest<\/td><td>heat domes, <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h24\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 eco.wildfire.wildfire\" data-tk=\"Land and ecosystems \u00b7 Vegetation and peat fire\" data-td=\"An uncontrolled fire in forest, scrub or grass that burns structures, crops and habitat and fills the air with smoke.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H24\" data-tr=\"draft\">wildfire<\/a>, low snowpack<\/td><td>hydro, health, forests<\/td><td>NCA5<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Alaska<\/td><td><a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h15\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 cryo.glacier.permafrost-thaw\" data-tk=\"Ice and snow \u00b7 Glacier, ice-sheet and permafrost change\" data-td=\"Warming of frozen ground that weakens foundations, collapses slopes, releases greenhouse gases and reshapes drainage.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H15\" data-tr=\"draft\">permafrost thaw<\/a>, <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h21\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 geo.surface.coastal-erosion\" data-tk=\"Solid Earth \u00b7 Erosion and sediment movement\" data-td=\"Retreat of the shoreline and cliffs under waves, currents and storms, removing land and exposing buildings.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H21\" data-tr=\"draft\">coastal erosion<\/a>, wildfire<\/td><td>communities, infrastructure<\/td><td>NCA5<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Hawai\u2018i and Pacific islands<\/td><td>wildfire, drought, sea-level rise<\/td><td>water supply, communities<\/td><td>NCA5<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>US Caribbean<\/td><td>hurricanes, flooding, heat<\/td><td>power, water, health<\/td><td>NCA5<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n3\" aria-label=\"Note 3\">3<\/a><\/sup><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The leading compound pathway runs through the West: low snowpack, heat domes, wildfire smoke and grid peaks in the same summer, with insurance retreating at the fire edge.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">WEST<\/h3><p>Heat, water and fire<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Winter Storm Uri showed how cold can fail power, gas and water together; the Plains also hold the depleting High Plains aquifer.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">GREAT PLAINS AND SOUTH CENTRAL<\/h3><p>Cold, drought and the grid<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Warmer oceans bring heavier rain far inland, where flood-insurance take-up is low.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">SOUTHEAST AND GULF<\/h3><p>Hurricanes and inland flooding<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">MAP PLATES IN Q2 2027<\/p><p>Each plate will carry its boundary source and version, projection, resolution, classification, uncertainty encoding and public-safe transform, with text and table alternatives.<\/p><\/aside><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>Regional readings summarise the cited evidence. They are not risk ratings of any state, territory or region.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.4<\/span><span>Atlas card, California<\/span><\/h2><ul class=\"nrp-chips\"><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">state<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">basin<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">grid region<\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-chip\">wildland\u2013urban interface<\/li><\/ul><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Systems in view<\/dt><dd>water, energy, health, insurance<\/dd><dt>Defining events<\/dt><dd>January 2025 Los Angeles wildfires, about US$53 billion in losses<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup>; 2020 rotating outages; recurrent drought<\/dd><dt>Couplings<\/dt><dd>CLI \u2192 BIO \u2192 HLT smoke; CLI \u2192 FIN insurance; WAT \u2192 ENE hydro<\/dd><dt>Capability evidence<\/dt><dd>fire services and alerts used in real events; residual-market insurance under strain<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n21\" aria-label=\"Note 21\">21<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Gaps<\/dt><dd>insurance availability by area; grid margins under heat; groundwater<\/dd><dt>Agenda items<\/dt><dd>A-01 \u00b7 A-02 \u00b7 A-04<\/dd><\/dl><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">California holds the costliest wildfire disaster on record. Rising premiums and non-renewals in high-risk areas move losses onto households and public budgets [2] [21].<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">INSURANCE<\/h3><p>Where cover retreats<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Heat waves push demand to its peak as hydro output falls in dry years, as in the rotating outages of 2020.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">ENERGY<\/h3><p>Peak demand in heat<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">In drought, farms in the Central Valley lean on groundwater, deepening a depletion that shapes the next drought.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">WATER<\/h3><p>Groundwater as buffer<\/p><\/article><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">evidence<\/p><p>Atlas cards are generated for every state and territory from Q2 2027 with consistent fields and evidence-age labels. California is shown first because it holds the leading compound pathway.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.5<\/span><span>United States system card<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">The card through which the United States appears in the North America regional edition and the global series. It summarises; it does not rank.<\/p><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-tab5\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.5<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">United States system card<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">System<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline state<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coupling to watch<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Coverage<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Water<\/td><td>ample in the East; Western <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h60\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 sys.supply-chain.supply-disruption\" data-tk=\"Systemic and compound events \u00b7 Supply-chain and flow disruption\" data-td=\"A break in the flow of goods or materials between producers and users that stops production or leaves shortages.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H60\" data-tr=\"draft\">shortage<\/a><\/td><td>drought into power, food and cities<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Energy<\/td><td>gas-led mix; growing new load<\/td><td>extremes and data centres<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Food<\/td><td>leading producer and exporter<\/td><td>aquifers and drought<\/td><td>GOOD<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Health<\/td><td>record heat deaths<\/td><td>heat, smoke, storms<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Biodiversity<\/td><td>many species at risk<\/td><td>fire and land use<\/td><td>PARTIAL<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-cards\"><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">The United States card sits beside those of Canada and Mexico; shared basins, grids, rail and supply chains are read as one regional system.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">NORTH AMERICA REGIONAL EDITION<\/h3><p>One regional system<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">American evidence enters the water, energy, food, finance and climate sector reports through the same finding identifiers, so a correction travels everywhere at once.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">GLOBAL SECTOR SERIES<\/h3><p>Same findings, same IDs<\/p><\/article><article class=\"nf-ui-card nrp-card\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">In the global edition the United States is read against peer distributions and thresholds, never placed in a league table.<\/p><h3 class=\"nf-ui-title\" data-level=\"card\">GLOBAL FLAGSHIP<\/h3><p>Peers, not ranks<\/p><\/article><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Context<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Archetype<\/dt><dd>high-income federal republic with a continental climate range<\/dd><dt>Population<\/dt><dd>340.1 million (2024)<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n4\" aria-label=\"Note 4\">4<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Losses<\/dt><dd>largest recorded disaster losses in the world<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n2\" aria-label=\"Note 2\">2<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><dt>Energy<\/dt><dd>natural gas about 43% of electricity<sup class=\"nrp-fn\"><a href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-n5\" aria-label=\"Note 5\">5<\/a><\/sup><\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">boundary<\/p><p>External rankings, where cited, keep their own method and source. Nexus never converts them into a rating, and national ownership of the United States edition is unaffected.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s6\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s6-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s6-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.6<\/span><span>Licences<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-tab6\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.6<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Licences of each kind of material<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Material<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Licence<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Text<\/td><td>CC BY 4.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Data<\/td><td>on the licence of each source; Nexus tables CC BY 4.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Figures<\/td><td>Nexus figures CC BY 4.0; third-party as credited<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Maps<\/td><td>boundary source and licence printed on each plate<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Metadata<\/td><td>CC0 1.0, as Zenodo publishes it<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Third-party data, figures and text<\/td><td>The source&#8217;s own licence, credited where it is used; never relicensed<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><tfoot><tr><td colspan=\"2\">Nexus-authored text, tables and figures: CC BY 4.0 (SPDX CC-BY-4.0). Map plates print their boundary source and licence.<\/td><\/tr><\/tfoot><\/table><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s7\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s7-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-s7-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">B.7<\/span><span>Formats and provenance<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-tab7\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table B.7<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">This edition in every format<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Format<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Kind<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What it is<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Identifier<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Web edition<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HTML<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>Draft in stewardship review; every value resolves to its source.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Print edition<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"release\">At release<\/span><\/td><td>A4 portrait \u00b7 screen, print and archival PDF, signed with the web edition at release.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Indicator data<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">CSV \u00b7 JSON<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>18 indicators with unit, year, status and source; the machine-readable copy ships with the evidence bundle at release.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE data release v1<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Figures<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">SVG \u00b7 PNG<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"here\">On this site<\/span><\/td><td>4 on the web edition: headline figure, figure 1.3, coupling instrument, capability ladder.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">FIG-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-*<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Slides<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"none\">Not recorded<\/span><\/td><td>No slide deck is recorded for this edition.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Evidence brief<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">HTML \u00b7 PDF<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"none\">Not recorded<\/span><\/td><td>No evidence brief is recorded for this edition.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Dataset with DOI<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\">DataCite<\/span><\/td><td><span class=\"nx-nr-out-s\" data-state=\"release\">At release<\/span><\/td><td>Concept and version DOI are minted at deposit; none is recorded yet.<\/td><td><span class=\"nrp-mono\"><\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Provenance<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Edition pack<\/dt><dd>The edition&#8217;s content pack (JSON), from which the print and web editions are built<\/dd><dt>Evidence cut<\/dt><dd>NQ-USA-2026-Q0-1, closed 30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Reproducibility<\/dt><dd>sourced values cited; analytical values reproducible from stated parameters<\/dd><dt>Self-check<\/dt><dd>14 of 23 at evidence close; a fail on any item blocks release<\/dd><dt>Review<\/dt><dd>five passes scheduled before release<\/dd><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>GCRI for the Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Corrections<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version<\/dd><\/dl><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-notes\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-notes-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-notes-h\"><span>Notes<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-note\">Numbers are the edition&#8217;s reference numbers, so a note reads the same in every chapter. The full list, with every source and its licence, is in Annex C. <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/references\/\">Annex C, references<\/a><\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (ed.), Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990\u20132022. EPA, Washington, DC, April 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r1\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 1\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r2\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 2\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (ed.), U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters, 1980\u20132024. NOAA NCEI, Asheville, NC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r15\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 15\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>A. R. Crimmins, C. W. Avery, D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, B. C. Stewart and T. K. Maycock (eds.), Fifth National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r3\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 3\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>U.S. Census Bureau (ed.), Vintage 2024 national population estimates. Census Bureau, Washington, DC, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r4\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 4\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>A. Shehabi, S. J. Smith, A. Hubbard et al., 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r6\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 6\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>C. A. Dieter, M. A. Maupin, R. R. Caldwell et al., Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2015, Circular 1441. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 2018.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r7\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 7\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>J. T. Howard, N. Androne, K. C. Alcover and A. R. Santos-Lozada, \u201cTrends of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in the US, 1999\u20132023,\u201d JAMA, vol. 332, no. 14, pp. 1203\u20131204, 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r9\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 9\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Texas Department of State Health Services (ed.), February 2021 Winter Storm-Related Deaths, Texas. DSHS, Austin, TX, 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r16\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 16\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>USDA Economic Research Service (ed.), Household Food Security in the United States in 2023. USDA ERS, Washington, DC, December 2024.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r11\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 11\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>NatureServe (ed.), Biodiversity in Focus: United States Edition. NatureServe, Arlington, VA, 2023.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r10\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 10\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>U.S. Geological Survey (ed.), \u201c2022 Final List of Critical Minerals.\u201d Federal Register, vol. 87, 24 February 2022.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r12\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 12\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>U.S. Energy Information Administration (ed.), \u201cElectricity in the United States\u201d and Electric Power Monthly. EIA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r5\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 5\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Federal Insurance Office (ed.), Analyses of U.S. Homeowners Insurance Markets, 2018\u20132022: Climate-Related Risks and Other Factors. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Washington, DC, January 2025.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r21\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 21\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cb-n8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (ed.), \u201cReclamation announces 2022 operating conditions for Lake Powell and Lake Mead.\u201d News release, Washington, DC, August 2021.<a class=\"nrp-notes-back\" href=\"#nx-nrp-usa-cb-r8\" aria-label=\"Back to the first call of note 8\">back<\/a><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><\/div><div class=\"nrp-part\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-part-references\"><header class=\"nrp-chap-head\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-top\"><ul class=\"nrp-eyerow\"><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\">United States 2026<\/a><\/li><li class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Annex C<\/li><\/ul><span class=\"nrp-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h2 class=\"pp-hero-title\">References and record<\/h2><p class=\"nrp-lede\">Every source the edition rests on, the publication record, the corrections log and the open record.<\/p><p class=\"nrp-chap-meta\"><span>10 min read<\/span><span>0 figures<\/span><span>1 table<\/span><span>0 notes<\/span><span>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE<\/span><\/p><\/header><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s1\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s1-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s1-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.1<\/span><span>40 sources<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">NR-CIT-1, editor first. A DOI is linked where the source has one; Nexus records carry a <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/uni\/\" data-tc=\"UNI\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The universal identifier of every Nexus artifact (NS-1)\">UNI<\/a> once the catalogue allocates it (NS-1).<\/p><ol class=\"nrp-notes\"><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-1\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">1<\/span><span>U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (ed.), Inventory of U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Sinks: 1990\u20132022. EPA, Washington, DC, April 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 2, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-2\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">2<\/span><span>Munich Re (ed.), Natural disasters in 2025: NatCatSERVICE full-year figures. Munich Re, Munich, January 2026. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 5, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-3\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">3<\/span><span>A. R. Crimmins, C. W. Avery, D. R. Easterling, K. E. Kunkel, B. C. Stewart and T. K. Maycock (eds.), Fifth National Climate Assessment. U.S. Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-4\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">4<\/span><span>U.S. Census Bureau (ed.), Vintage 2024 national population estimates. Census Bureau, Washington, DC, December 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-5\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">5<\/span><span>U.S. Energy Information Administration (ed.), \u201cElectricity in the United States\u201d and Electric Power Monthly. EIA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 3, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-6\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">6<\/span><span>A. Shehabi, S. J. Smith, A. Hubbard et al., 2024 United States Data Center Energy Usage Report. Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, December 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-7\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">7<\/span><span>C. A. Dieter, M. A. Maupin, R. R. Caldwell et al., Estimated Use of Water in the United States in 2015, Circular 1441. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, 2018. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-8\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">8<\/span><span>U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (ed.), \u201cReclamation announces 2022 operating conditions for Lake Powell and Lake Mead.\u201d News release, Washington, DC, August 2021. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-9\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">9<\/span><span>J. T. Howard, N. Androne, K. C. Alcover and A. R. Santos-Lozada, \u201cTrends of <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-h75\" data-tc=\"NHS-1 health.climate-sensitive.heat-illness-surge\" data-tk=\"Health and biosecurity \u00b7 Climate-sensitive illness\" data-td=\"A rise in heatstroke, dehydration and heat-worsened heart, lung and kidney illness during hot spells, overwhelming emergency care and killing older and isolated people.\" data-ts=\"NRS-H75\" data-tr=\"draft\">heat-related deaths<\/a> in the US, 1999\u20132023,\u201d JAMA, vol. 332, no. 14, pp. 1203\u20131204, 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-10\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">10<\/span><span>NatureServe (ed.), Biodiversity in Focus: United States Edition. NatureServe, Arlington, VA, 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-11\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">11<\/span><span>USDA Economic Research Service (ed.), Household Food Security in the United States in 2023. USDA ERS, Washington, DC, December 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-12\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">12<\/span><span>U.S. Geological Survey (ed.), \u201c2022 Final List of Critical Minerals.\u201d Federal Register, vol. 87, 24 February 2022. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-13\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">13<\/span><span>U.S. Geological Survey (ed.), Mineral Commodity Summaries 2025. USGS, Reston, VA, 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-14\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">14<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), National Risk Index: Technical Documentation. FEMA, Washington, DC, 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-15\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">15<\/span><span>NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information (ed.), U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters, 1980\u20132024. NOAA NCEI, Asheville, NC, January 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-16\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">16<\/span><span>Texas Department of State Health Services (ed.), February 2021 Winter Storm-Related Deaths, Texas. DSHS, Austin, TX, 2021. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-17\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">17<\/span><span>National Drought Mitigation Center (ed.), U.S. Drought Monitor. University of Nebraska\u2013Lincoln, retrieved 2026-09-30. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-18\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">18<\/span><span>Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency (ed.), National Critical Functions: An Evolved Lens for <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 critical-infrastructure\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Physical and digital assets, systems and networks whose disruption would seriously affect health, safety, security, economic welfare or the functioning of government. Criticality depends on what relies on them.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Critical Infrastructure<\/a> Security and Resilience. CISA, Washington, DC, 2019. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-19\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">19<\/span><span>The White House (ed.), National Security Memorandum on Critical Infrastructure Security and Resilience (NSM-22). Washington, DC, April 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-20\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">20<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), 2024 National Preparedness Report. FEMA, Washington, DC, 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-21\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">21<\/span><span>Federal Insurance Office (ed.), Analyses of U.S. Homeowners Insurance Markets, 2018\u20132022: Climate-Related Risks and Other Factors. U.S. Department of the Treasury, Washington, DC, January 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-22\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">22<\/span><span>USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (ed.), 2022 Census of Agriculture. USDA NASS, Washington, DC, 2024. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-23\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">23<\/span><span>H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.), <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 climate-change\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"A change in the state of the climate that persists for decades or longer, identified by shifts in averages and variability; in current practice, mainly the change driven by human emissions.\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">Climate Change<\/a> 2023: Synthesis Report. IPCC, Geneva, 2023. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-24\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">24<\/span><span>J. Zscheischler, S. Westra, B. J. J. M. van den Hurk et al., \u201cFuture climate risk from compound events,\u201d Nature Climate Change, vol. 8, pp. 469\u2013477, 2018. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-25\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">25<\/span><span>S. V. Buldyrev, R. Parshani, G. Paul, H. E. Stanley and S. Havlin, \u201cCatastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks,\u201d Nature, vol. 464, pp. 1025\u20131028, 2010. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-26\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">26<\/span><span>P. D. McElwee, P. A. Harrison, T. L. van Huysen et al. (eds.), Thematic Assessment Report on the Interlinkages among Biodiversity, Water, Food and Health. IPBES secretariat, Bonn, 2024. doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054. <a class=\"nrp-doi\" href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.13850054\" rel=\"noopener\">doi:10.5281\/zenodo.13850054<\/a> <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-27\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">27<\/span><span>International Energy Agency (ed.), Energy and AI. World Energy Outlook Special Report. IEA, Paris, 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6, chapter 7<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-28\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">28<\/span><span>U.S. Congress (ed.), Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, Public Law 117-58. Washington, DC, 2021. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 4, chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-29\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">29<\/span><span>U.S. Congress (ed.), Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, Public Law 117-169, as amended by Public Law 119-21 (2025). Washington, DC. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 3, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-30\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">30<\/span><span>UNFCCC (ed.), <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/climate\/paris-agreement-and-ndc-alignment\/\">Paris Agreement<\/a>, and notification of withdrawal by the United States of America (effective January 2026). United Nations, New York. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-31\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">31<\/span><span>Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and North American Electric Reliability Corporation (eds.), February 2021 Cold Weather Outages in Texas and the South Central United States. FERC and NERC, Washington, DC, 2021. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-32\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">32<\/span><span>North American Electric Reliability Corporation (ed.), 2025 Summer Reliability Assessment. NERC, Atlanta, GA, 2025. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 8<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-33\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">33<\/span><span>WMO (ed.), State of the Global Climate 2025, WMO-No. 1391. WMO, Geneva, March 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-34\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">34<\/span><span>U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Industry and Security (ed.), export controls on advanced computing and semiconductor manufacturing items. Federal Register, October 2022, as updated. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in chapter 6<\/span><\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-35\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">35<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Reports, The Foundational Edition, Volumes I and II. Reports series, Edition 2026\u20132030, V1.0. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-36\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">36<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. NR-GLOBAL-SYSTEMS-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-37\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">37<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Canada Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026. NR-COUNTRY-CAN-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-38\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">38<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Global Water Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-39\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">39<\/span><span>S. Valadbaygi (ed.), Exponential Technology Report 2026, AI and Agentic Systems, Baseline Edition. GCRI for the Nexus Consortium, Toronto, 2026.<\/span><\/li><li id=\"nx-nrp-usa-ref-40\"><span class=\"nrp-notes-n\">40<\/span><span>Federal Emergency Management Agency (ed.), National Flood Insurance Program: program description and policy statistics. FEMA, Washington, DC, retrieved 2026-09-30. <span class=\"nrp-cell-u\">Cited in the summary, chapter 1, chapter 2, chapter 4, chapter 6, chapter 7<\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ol><\/section><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s2\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s2-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s2-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.2<\/span><span>Publication record<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publication<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Title<\/dt><dd>United States <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">Systems<\/a> Risk &amp; Resilience Report 2026, Baseline Edition<\/dd><dt>Series<\/dt><dd>Reports \u00b7 Edition 2026\u20132030<\/dd><dt>Edition<\/dt><dd>Baseline Edition 2026 \u00b7 inaugural annual<\/dd><dt>Version<\/dt><dd>v1.0.0 \u00b7 draft for stewardship review<\/dd><dt>Publication ID<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/dd><dt>Evidence close<\/dt><dd>30 September 2026<\/dd><dt>Publication date<\/dt><dd>October 2026<\/dd><dt>DOI<\/dt><dd>concept and version DOI at deposit<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Publisher<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Publisher of record<\/dt><dd>The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI), for the Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Place<\/dt><dd>Toronto<\/dd><dt>Editor<\/dt><dd>Saeed Valadbaygi, Chief Steward and Managing Editor<\/dd><dt>Stewards<\/dt><dd>GCRI \u00b7 technical truth \u00b7 GRF \u00b7 public meaning \u00b7 GRA \u00b7 capital meaning<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd>text CC BY 4.0; data on the terms of each source<\/dd><dt>Copyright<\/dt><dd>\u00a9 2026 GCRI \u00b7 Nexus Consortium<\/dd><dt>Language<\/dt><dd>English (en-GB) source edition<\/dd><dt>Correspondence<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway \u00b7 editorial office<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">DISCLAIMER<\/p><p>This edition is published for research, planning and public understanding. It is not a government assessment, an official warning, a rating, a certification, investment advice or an operational authorisation. Reasonable care has been taken with every source; consult the cited originals before relying on any value.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Colophon<\/h3><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Format<\/dt><dd>A4 portrait \u00b7 screen, print and archival PDF<\/dd><dt>Typefaces<\/dt><dd>Space Grotesk (display) \u00b7 Geist (text) \u00b7 IBM Plex Sans Italic (standfirsts) \u00b7 IBM Plex Mono (data)<\/dd><dt>Design standard<\/dt><dd>Reports Foundational Edition, Volume I, Part VII<\/dd><dt>Accessibility<\/dt><dd>tagged PDF and HTML targets; text alternatives for every figure<\/dd><dt>Production<\/dt><dd>Reports editorial team, GCRI<\/dd><\/dl><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">HOW TO CORRECT THIS EDITION<\/p><p>Report errors, omissions or objections through the Registry correction pathway. Each report is logged and answered; upheld corrections are published as notices with a new version, and the original remains resolvable.<\/p><\/aside><h3 class=\"nrp-h3\">Release path for this version<\/h3><div class=\"nrp-tblw\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-tab1\"><table class=\"nrp-tbl\"><caption><span class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">Table C.1<\/span><span class=\"nrp-tbl-t\">Release path for this version<\/span><\/caption><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Step<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What happens<\/th><th scope=\"col\">When<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Draft<\/td><td>editorial self-check complete at evidence close<\/td><td>October 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Steward review<\/td><td>five passes on the exact draft (keys T \u00b7 M \u00b7 F \u00b7 N)<\/td><td>Q4 2026<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Approval<\/td><td>publication authority approves the exact digest<\/td><td>before release<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Deposit<\/td><td>concept and version DOI minted; registry pointer set<\/td><td>at release<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Succession<\/td><td>the Q1 2027 edition reports changes against this baseline<\/td><td>Q1 2027<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nrp-split\"><div><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Current version<\/dt><dd>v1.0.0 draft, stewardship review<\/dd><dt>Previous edition<\/dt><dd>none, first edition of the series<\/dd><dt>Next edition<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2027-Q1-v1.0.0<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div><dl class=\"nrp-dl\"><dt>Latest version<\/dt><dd>resolve the concept DOI or the registry record<\/dd><dt>Correction route<\/dt><dd>Registry correction pathway<\/dd><dt>Notice types<\/dt><dd>erratum \u00b7 addendum \u00b7 supersession \u00b7 withdrawal<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><\/div><aside class=\"nrp-call\"><p class=\"nf-ui-eyebrow\">NO CORRECTIONS \u2260 NO LIMITS<\/p><p>The absence of corrections does not mean the absence of limitations. Limitations and uncertainty are stated where they arise in the edition.<\/p><\/aside><\/section><div id=\"nx-nr-usa-corrections\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s3\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s3-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s3-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.3<\/span><span>Corrections log<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nx-nr-corr\"><p class=\"nx-nr-corr-sum\"><span class=\"nx-nr-corr-n\">0<\/span><span>correction notices. No edition has been released yet, so none can be corrected; the log below lists each edition&#8217;s current version.<\/span><\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table nx-rd-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Edition<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Version<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Date<\/th><th scope=\"col\">State<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Change<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Notice<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Edition\"><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">USA<\/span><\/td><td data-label=\"Version\" class=\"nx-rd-mono\">NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/td><td data-label=\"Date\">October 2026<\/td><td data-label=\"State\">Draft<\/td><td data-label=\"Change\">Baseline Edition 2026, inaugural annual edition,<\/td><td data-label=\"Notice\">None<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-rd-source\">Notice types: erratum, addendum, supersession, withdrawal. A correction is a new version with a published notice; the earlier version stays resolvable, and no edition is ever edited in silence.<\/p><\/div><\/section><\/div><div id=\"nx-nr-usa-outputs\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s4\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s4-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s4-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.4<\/span><span>Open record<\/span><\/h2><div class=\"nx-nr-os\"><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>This edition&#8217;s open record<\/h3><dl class=\"nx-nr-os-kv\"><dt>Publication ID<\/dt><dd>NR-COUNTRY-USA-2026-BASELINE-v1.0.0<\/dd><dt>Series alias<\/dt><dd>NR-NAT-USA-2026-BL<\/dd><dt>DOI<\/dt><dd>Concept and version DOI at deposit, on Zenodo with DataCite metadata<\/dd><dt>Versions<\/dt><dd>Each correction is a new version (isNewVersionOf); the concept DOI resolves to the latest<\/dd><dt>Bundle<\/dt><dd>RO-Crate 1.2 with CITATION.cff, CodeMeta and PROV-O provenance; a signed manifest<\/dd><dt>Licence<\/dt><dd><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\" rel=\"noopener\">CC BY 4.0<\/a> (SPDX CC-BY-4.0) for original material; metadata CC0 1.0<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Credit and identity<\/h3><dl class=\"nx-nr-os-kv\"><dt>ORCID<\/dt><dd>Your iD in the deposit and the contribution record; DataCite can then add the work to your ORCID record<\/dd><dt>ROR<\/dt><dd>Your organisation by its ROR identifier, never by a typed name alone<\/dd><dt>CRediT<\/dt><dd>Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Investigation, Methodology, Software, Validation, Visualisation, Writing, review and editing<\/dd><dt>Account<\/dt><dd>None needed to contribute; never a password<\/dd><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Find and follow<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p\">Search the open indexes for United States; software is cited by its SWHID from Software Heritage, and a quantified scenario run is preregistered on OSF before it is run. Annotation is your choice: Hypothesis opens this page in its own viewer.<\/p><ul class=\"nx-nr-os-links\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/openalex.org\/works?search=Nexus%20Reports%20United%20States\" rel=\"noopener\">OpenAlex<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/explore.openaire.eu\/search\/find?fv0=Nexus%20Reports%20United%20States&amp;f0=q\" rel=\"noopener\">OpenAIRE<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/search.crossref.org\/search\/works?q=Nexus%20Reports%20United%20States\" rel=\"noopener\">Crossref<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/commons.datacite.org\/?query=Nexus%20Reports%20United%20States\" rel=\"noopener\">DataCite Commons<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/zenodo.org\/search?q=Nexus%20Reports%20United%20States\" rel=\"noopener\">Zenodo<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/archive.softwareheritage.org\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Software Heritage<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/osf.io\/prereg\/\" rel=\"noopener\">OSF preregistration<\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/via.hypothes.is\/https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/\" rel=\"noopener\">Annotate with Hypothesis<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-card\"><h3>Mirrors and harvest<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p\">The DOI is canonical. At release each signed bundle is also given an IPFS content identifier and a bloxberg anchor as mirrors; both are listed in the record once they exist. Zenodo exposes every record over OAI-PMH, and reviews and endorsements can arrive through COAR Notify where the repository supports it.<\/p><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-mt-3\"><figure class=\"nx-nr-code\"><figcaption class=\"nx-nr-code-cap\">InvenioRDM metadata for a contribution on United States, prefilled from this page<\/figcaption><pre class=\"nx-nr-pre\" tabindex=\"0\"><code>{&#10;  &quot;metadata&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;resource_type&quot;: {&#10;      &quot;id&quot;: &quot;dataset&quot;&#10;    },&#10;    &quot;title&quot;: &quot;Evidence on United States for Nexus Reports&quot;,&#10;    &quot;publication_date&quot;: &quot;YYYY-MM-DD&quot;,&#10;    &quot;creators&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;person_or_org&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;type&quot;: &quot;personal&quot;,&#10;          &quot;family_name&quot;: &quot;Your family name&quot;,&#10;          &quot;given_name&quot;: &quot;Your given name&quot;,&#10;          &quot;identifiers&quot;: [&#10;            {&#10;              &quot;scheme&quot;: &quot;orcid&quot;,&#10;              &quot;identifier&quot;: &quot;0000-0000-0000-0000&quot;&#10;            }&#10;          ]&#10;        },&#10;        &quot;affiliations&quot;: [&#10;          {&#10;            &quot;id&quot;: &quot;ROR identifier of your organisation&quot;&#10;          }&#10;        ]&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;description&quot;: &quot;What it is, where its record is kept and how it bears on United States Systems Risk and Resilience Report 2026.&quot;,&#10;    &quot;rights&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;id&quot;: &quot;cc-by-4.0&quot;&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;subjects&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;Nexus Reports&quot;&#10;      },&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;United States&quot;&#10;      },&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;subject&quot;: &quot;Country Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report&quot;&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;related_identifiers&quot;: [&#10;      {&#10;        &quot;identifier&quot;: &quot;https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/&quot;,&#10;        &quot;scheme&quot;: &quot;url&quot;,&#10;        &quot;relation_type&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;id&quot;: &quot;issupplementto&quot;&#10;        },&#10;        &quot;resource_type&quot;: {&#10;          &quot;id&quot;: &quot;publication-report&quot;&#10;        }&#10;      }&#10;    ],&#10;    &quot;version&quot;: &quot;1.0.0&quot;&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;custom_fields&quot;: {},&#10;  &quot;access&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;record&quot;: &quot;public&quot;,&#10;    &quot;files&quot;: &quot;public&quot;&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;files&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;enabled&quot;: true&#10;  },&#10;  &quot;parent&quot;: {&#10;    &quot;communities&quot;: {&#10;      &quot;default&quot;: &quot;nexusreports&quot;&#10;    }&#10;  }&#10;}<\/code><\/pre><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"nx-nr-os-hook\" data-nx-research-hub=\"slot\" data-nx-research-context=\"{&quot;org&quot;:&quot;GRF&quot;,&quot;site&quot;:&quot;grf&quot;,&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/&quot;,&quot;kind&quot;:&quot;edition&quot;,&quot;subject&quot;:&quot;United States&quot;,&quot;series&quot;:[&quot;Country Systems Risk &amp; Resilience Report&quot;]}\" hidden><\/div><\/section><\/div><div id=\"nx-nr-usa-pillars\"><section class=\"nrp-block\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s5\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s5-h\"><h2 class=\"nrp-h2\" id=\"nx-nrp-usa-cc-s5-h\"><span class=\"nrp-num\">C.5<\/span><span>Where this edition sits among the six pillars<\/span><\/h2><p class=\"nrp-stand\">Foundry seals the evidence and Universe tests it; Reports publishes it; Standards takes its corrections and Academy teaches from it.<\/p><ol class=\"nx-pl-list\"><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F03 Sealed observations and indicator series<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Foundry<\/span> Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F04 After-action and scenario findings for<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Universe<\/span> After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F05 National Portfolio movement for chapter<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Foundry<\/span> National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>Applied in editions<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Standards<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/\" data-tc=\"Nexus Standards\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The foundation standards\">Nexus Standards<\/a>: applied in editions.<\/li><li data-pillar=\"reports\" data-hue=\"energy\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>USA edition<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Reports<\/span> United States 2026, published in every format with its sources, citation and corrections.<\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F06 Method and correction findings as change<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Standards<\/span> Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>F12 Q4 synthesis informs the next-year<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Universe<\/span> Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).<\/li><li data-pillar=\"academy\" data-hue=\"risk\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><strong>Taught in the open<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-pl-in\">Academy<\/span> Risk Academy: taught in the open.<\/li><\/ol><p class=\"nx-caption\"><span>What Foundry and Universe hand to this edition, and what it hands to Standards, Universe and Academy. From the programme spine; USA is a drafted Baseline Edition, so these handoffs run from its first operational quarter.<\/span><\/p><ul class=\"nx-pl-legend\" aria-label=\"Pillars\"><li data-pillar=\"labs\" data-hue=\"social\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-labs\/\">Labs<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-foundry\/\">Foundry<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/universe.nexus\/\">Universe<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/\">Nexus Standards<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"reports\" data-hue=\"energy\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-reports\/\">Reports<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"academy\" data-hue=\"risk\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/\">Risk Academy<\/a><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table nx-rd-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Handoff<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Between<\/th><th scope=\"col\">What crosses, and when<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr data-pillar=\"foundry\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F03<\/span><\/td><td>Foundry to Reports<\/td><td>Sealed observations and indicator series behind a profile (closeout).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"universe\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F04<\/span><\/td><td>Universe to Reports<\/td><td>After-action and scenario findings for chapters 10 and 13 (after action review).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"foundry\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F05<\/span><\/td><td>Foundry to Reports<\/td><td>National Portfolio movement for chapter 11 (after action review).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"standards\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">Ring<\/span><\/td><td>Nexus Standards to Reports<\/td><td>Nexus Standards: applied in editions.<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"standards\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F06<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Nexus Standards<\/td><td>Method and correction findings as change proposals (correction).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"universe\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">F12<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Universe<\/td><td>Q4 synthesis informs the next-year mandate (renewal).<\/td><\/tr><tr data-pillar=\"academy\"><td><span class=\"nx-rd-code\">Ring<\/span><\/td><td>Reports to Risk Academy<\/td><td>Risk Academy: taught in the open.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><\/article><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nrp-noprint\"><section id=\"nx-sec-nr-gateway\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"systemic\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nr-gateway-h\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Contribute<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-nr-gateway-h\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Send evidence or a correction on United States.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Reports is the Consortium&#8217;s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.<\/p><div class=\"nx-chips\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">Global Risks Forum<\/span><span class=\"nx-chip\">Country Systems Risk and Resilience<\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-dest\"><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/write-to-us\/contact\/\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Email<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Gateway GW-GRF<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Send it from this page<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Evidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/open-science\/#nx-sec-zenodo\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Zenodo<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Open deposit<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Deposit it and submit to the community<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Publish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/contribute\/\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Global Risks Forum<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">See every way to contribute<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">The contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"contribute\" data-nxf-kind=\"workflow\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/grf\/nexus-reports\/editions\/usa\/full#contribute\" data-nxf-title=\"Contribute evidence\" data-nxf-height=\"480\" hidden><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-3\">Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><section class=\"nx-section nx-deeper-band\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-deeper-balriskforum-com-nexus-reports-editions-usa-full-h\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><nav class=\"nx-deeper\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-deeper-balriskforum-com-nexus-reports-editions-usa-full-h\" data-nx-deeper=\"3\" data-nx-resources=\"1 1 1\"><h2 class=\"nx-deeper-h\" id=\"nx-deeper-balriskforum-com-nexus-reports-editions-usa-full-h\">Go deeper<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/programme\/reports\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Documentation:<\/span> Reports<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/risk-science\/risk-information-standards\/\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Academy:<\/span> Risk information standards and interoperability<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/data\/identification-standards\/\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Standards:<\/span> Identification (the UNI)<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><script class=\"_iub_cs_skip\">window.__nxMount ? 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