Reports
GRF Public Deliberation
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The Forum holds the public meaning of every edition. Its key asks whether an outcome can be said without overclaiming. Two subjects, or two quarters of one subject, are set side by side by chapter.

The catalogue

Pairs: 13
Frame: Eight chapters
Subjects with a pack: 37

01 · This desk

How GRF Public Deliberation compares.

The Forum reads an edition for public meaning: what a finding means for governance, diplomacy and trust, and how it can be said without overclaiming.

The meaning key is the Forum’s. It asks whether an outcome is said as the participants meant it, and whether the dissent stands beside it.

A Forum edition is not an opinion poll and not a decision. It records deliberation and states where it ended.

02 · Compare

Side by side.

Frame	Canada 2026	United States 2026
1 · The question	Canada’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.	America’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Western heat, drought and fire year A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Western heat, fire and grid summer A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Mexico 2026	Brazil 2026
1 · The question	Mexico’s risk runs through its borders, its basins and its coasts Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Brazil’s risk runs through water, forest and fire Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Multi-year drought on a gas-reliant grid A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Strong El Niño drought across rivers, hydropower and fire A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Argentina 2026	France 2026
1 · The question	Argentina’s risk is hydrological and fiscal at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.	France’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Multi-year drought with low Paraná flows A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Hot, dry summer with low river flows A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Germany 2026	Italy 2026
1 · The question	Germany’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Italy’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Hot, dry summer with low Rhine water A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Drought-to-flood year A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	United Kingdom 2026	Switzerland 2026
1 · The question	Britain’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Switzerland’s risk starts in the mountains and runs through water Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Hot, dry summer in southern England A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Dry year with low reservoirs and low river flows A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	European Union 2026	Turkiye 2026
1 · The question	The Union’s risk is shared across borders and unevenly insured Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Turkiye’s risk is seismic, climatic and import-dependent at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Compound summer of heat, drought and fire A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	A drought year across water, hydropower, wheat and budgets A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Russian Federation 2026	Saudi Arabia 2026
1 · The question	Russia’s risk is thermal, hydrological and informational at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Saudi Arabia’s risk is heat, water and supply at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Heat, drought and smoke in a grain and forest region A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Summer heat peak with a mass gathering A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	United Arab Emirates 2026	South Africa 2026
1 · The question	The United Arab Emirates’ risk is heat, water and supply at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.	South Africa’s risk runs through its pipes and its grid Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Humid summer heat peak with grid and desalination stress A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Power shortfall and wastewater stress in a dense province A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Senegal 2026	Kenya 2026
1 · The question	Senegal’s risk runs through its rivers, its coast and its fuel Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Kenya’s risk runs between its rains and its grid Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Urban flood with a water, power and clinic interruption A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Failed rains, grid shortfall and outbreak in the arid counties A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	African Union 2026	India 2026
1 · The question	The Union’s risk is shared across borders and carried by services that do not yet reach everyone Part I describes systems and their couplings.	India’s risk is monsoon-dependent, heat-loaded and changing fast in power Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Compound drought, price and outbreak year A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	A second deficient monsoon across groundwater, kharif output, power demand and food budgets A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	China 2026	Japan 2026
1 · The question	China’s risk is climatic, seismic and demographic at continental scale Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Japan’s risk is seismic, climatic and demographic at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Extreme rain on a dense plain in a hot summer A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Great earthquake in an ageing region A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Republic of Korea 2026	Indonesia 2026
1 · The question	Korea’s risk is demographic, climatic and import-dependent at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Indonesia’s risk is climatic, geophysical and supply-linked at once Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Heat and heavy-rain sequence over the capital region A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Flood and landslide sequence across rice-growing islands A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Singapore 2026	Australia 2026
1 · The question	Singapore’s risk arrives through imports, heat and the sea Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Australia’s risk is a coupling of heat, fire, water and distance Part I describes systems and their couplings.
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Systems and sectors at baseline
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.
5 · Scenario	Imported-fuel interruption during a heat-stress period A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Hot, dry summer in the populated south-east A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.

Frame	Baseline Edition 2026	Q1 2027
1 · The question	Canada’s risk is coupled, not cumulative Part I describes systems and their couplings.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
2 · Findings	Key findings Twelve findings carry the baseline.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
3 · By system and sector	Systems and sectors at baseline	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
4 · Risk and capability	Risks and capability Four risk objects open the portfolio.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
5 · Scenario	Western heat, drought and fire year A conditional statement under stated assumptions, never a prediction.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
6 · Readings	Readings from the other desks The baseline is read through each steward’s lens, then once as a whole.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
7 · Agenda	The 2027 agenda Eight bounded questions open the 2027 National Agenda.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut
8 · In depth	Systems in depth One section per system: its state at evidence close, its exposures and what the operational series will watch.	Planned; no content before the Q1 2027 cut

CC BY 4.0 Free to read. Text and figures: CC BY 4.0. Data: CC0 1.0. Authors keep copyright. Published by the Global Centre for Risk and Innovation (GCRI Canada).

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