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:where([role=\"tablist\"],[role=\"toolbar\"],[hidden],button,.nx-theme-toggle,.nx-live-slot){display:none}#nxe-n184aybs.nxe img{max-width:100%;height:auto}<\/style><svg class=\"nx-defs\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" width=\"0\" height=\"0\"><defs><linearGradient id=\"nx-gi\" x1=\"0\" y1=\"0\" x2=\"1\" y2=\"1\"><stop offset=\"0\" class=\"nx-gi-a\"\/><stop offset=\"0.55\" class=\"nx-gi-b\"\/><stop offset=\"1\" class=\"nx-gi-c\"\/><\/linearGradient><linearGradient id=\"nx-giu\" gradientUnits=\"userSpaceOnUse\" x1=\"0\" y1=\"0\" x2=\"800\" y2=\"0\"><stop offset=\"0\" class=\"nx-gi-a\"\/><stop offset=\"0.55\" class=\"nx-gi-b\"\/><stop offset=\"1\" class=\"nx-gi-c\"\/><\/linearGradient><linearGradient id=\"nx-gp\" x1=\"0\" y1=\"0\" x2=\"1\" y2=\"1\"><stop offset=\"0\" class=\"nx-gp-a\"\/><stop offset=\"1\" class=\"nx-gp-b\"\/><\/linearGradient><\/defs><\/svg><section class=\"nx-scene nx-es-scene\" data-scene=\"text\" data-ground=\"none\" data-es-org=\"grf\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-scene-title\"><div class=\"nx-scene-intro nx-es-intro\"><p class=\"nx-eyebrow\"><abbr title=\"The Global Risks Forum\">GRF<\/abbr> \u00b7 Foresight Nexus<\/p><span class=\"nx-scene-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><h1 id=\"nx-scene-title\" class=\"nx-scene-title\">Scenario design and stress testing for foresight<\/h1><p class=\"nx-scene-lede\">Scenario design and stress testing are the core methods of this platform: building plausible, divergent futures and using them to test whether strategies, plans and institutions hold. In foresight the weight falls on design choices, on who takes part, and on how results reach a decision-holder with a mandate to act.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/write-to-us\/contact\/\">Make an enquiry <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/stem\/\">Back to STEM foundation of Foresight Nexus<\/a><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-1-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"systemic\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-1\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Contents<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-1\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Scenario design and stress testing for foresight in five parts.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-es-fig\" data-es-layout=\"protocol\"><div class=\"nx-hero-panel\"><div class=\"nx-lv-steps\"><div class=\"nx-register-head\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\"><strong>Protocol<\/strong><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">5 steps<\/span><\/div><ol><li><a href=\"#nx-sec-application\"><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-n\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-t\">Application<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-d\">What scenario design and stress testing does here<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#nx-sec-data\"><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-n\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-t\">Data<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-d\">What the method consumes<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#nx-sec-checks\"><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-n\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-t\">Validation<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-d\">How results are checked<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#nx-sec-connections\"><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-n\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-t\">Connections<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-d\">Topics that rely on this method<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"#nx-sec-stewardship\"><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-n\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-t\">Stewardship<\/span><span class=\"nx-lv-steps-d\">Who maintains the method<\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ol><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-section\" data-band=\"auto\" data-band-id=\"nx-band-1\" data-hue=\"risk\" aria-label=\"Application, Monitor, Data, Policy scenarios\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-hm-band nx-band\" data-nx-tabs=\"true\" data-active=\"p1\"><div class=\"nx-tablist nx-hm-tabs\" role=\"tablist\" aria-label=\"Application, Monitor, Data, Policy scenarios\"><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-1-tab-1\" aria-controls=\"nx-sec-application\" aria-selected=\"true\" data-key=\"p1\">Application<\/button><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-1-tab-2\" aria-controls=\"nx-s-3-sec\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-key=\"p2\">Monitor<\/button><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-1-tab-3\" aria-controls=\"nx-sec-data\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-key=\"p3\">Data<\/button><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-1-tab-4\" aria-controls=\"nx-sec-instrument\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-key=\"p4\">Policy scenarios<\/button><\/div><section id=\"nx-sec-application\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"risk\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-2\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-1-tab-1\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Application<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-2\" class=\"nx-section-title\">What scenario design and stress testing does here.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Scenario design and stress testing construct plausible, severe future conditions to examine how <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/systems\" data-tc=\"Systems\" data-tk=\"Nexus Standards\" data-td=\"The twenty Nexus systems, NXS-CMD to NXS-LAB\">systems<\/a> and institutions would perform. They complement probabilistic analysis where data are scarce or futures are deeply uncertain. In foresight and risk management and <a class=\"nx-link nx-term\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/standards\/nrs\/#nrs-c1\" data-tc=\"NRS-C1 systemic-risk\" data-tk=\"Nexus risk vocabulary\" data-td=\"Risk that the failure or disruption of parts of an interconnected system propagates through its dependencies to impair the functioning of the whole, often beyond the sector or place where it began. It arises from\u2026\" data-ts=\"NRS-C1\" data-tr=\"draft\">systemic risk<\/a>, stress tests reveal vulnerabilities that arise when several risks materialise together. They inform capital, contingency and coordination plans across sectors. The canonical description is on <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/mathematics\/scenario-stress\/\">the STEM Commons<\/a>.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-cols\"><article><div class=\"nx-glyph-row\"><span class=\"nx-glyph\" data-tone=\"accent\" data-size=\"lg\"><svg class=\"nx-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><circle cx=\"6\" cy=\"19\" r=\"3\"\/><path d=\"M9 19h8.5a3.5 3.5 0 0 0 0-7h-11a3.5 3.5 0 0 1 0-7H15\"\/><circle cx=\"18\" cy=\"5\" r=\"3\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/div><h3 class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">Exploratory scenario development<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Drivers are mapped, critical uncertainties chosen and combined into a small set of divergent, internally consistent narratives, then challenged by participants from outside the commissioning institution.<\/p><\/article><article><div class=\"nx-glyph-row\"><span class=\"nx-glyph\" data-tone=\"accent\" data-size=\"lg\"><svg class=\"nx-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"10\"\/><circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"6\"\/><circle cx=\"12\" cy=\"12\" r=\"2\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/div><h3 class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">Policy wind-tunnelling<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">A strategy or proposed regulation is tested against each scenario in a structured workshop, recording where it fails, what would need to change and which signposts would show that future arriving.<\/p><\/article><article><div class=\"nx-glyph-row\"><span class=\"nx-glyph\" data-tone=\"accent\" data-size=\"lg\"><svg class=\"nx-i\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M20 13c0 5-3.5 7.5-7.66 8.95a1 1 0 0 1-.67-.01C7.5 20.5 4 18 4 13V6a1 1 0 0 1 1-1c2 0 4.5-1.2 6.24-2.72a1.17 1.17 0 0 1 1.52 0C14.51 3.81 17 5 19 5a1 1 0 0 1 1 1z\"\/><path d=\"m9 12 2 2 4-4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/div><h3 class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">Supervisory and national risk scenarios<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Severe but plausible scenarios are drafted for supervisory exercises or national risk assessments, with the severity reasoning, the assumptions and the institutional responses they test documented.<\/p><\/article><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-3-sec\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"systemic\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-3\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-1-tab-2\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Monitor<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-3\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Scenario stress.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The screen a team would use to follow this method: its measures, states and decisions. Names are examples and values are illustrative.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><figure class=\"nx-fk nx-cx\" data-fk=\"cx-foresight-method-stress\" data-cx=\"foresight.method-stress\" data-variant=\"section\" aria-label=\"Scenario stress: illustrative console with example names and values\"><div class=\"nx-fk-head\"><div class=\"nx-fk-heading\"><h3 class=\"nx-fk-title\">Scenario stress<\/h3><p class=\"nx-fk-sub\">Foresight \u00b7 Scenario design and stress testing \u00b7 Run R-5825<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-fk-actions\"><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-fk-btn\" data-fk-act=\"menu\" aria-haspopup=\"true\" aria-expanded=\"false\" hidden><svg viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\"><path d=\"M12 4v11\"\/><path d=\"m7 10 5 5 5-5\"\/><path d=\"M5 20h14\"\/><\/svg>Export<\/button><ul class=\"nx-fk-menu\" data-fk-menu=\"true\" hidden><li><button type=\"button\" data-fk-act=\"export-png\">Image<small>PNG of the map or chart<\/small><\/button><\/li><li><button type=\"button\" data-fk-act=\"export-csv\">Data<small>CSV of the figure&#8217;s values<\/small><\/button><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-cx-status\"><span class=\"nx-fk-pill\" data-state=\"near\"><i aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>Severe case breaches limit<\/span><span class=\"nx-cx-prod\">GRF \u00b7 Foresight Nexus<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-cx-grid\"><div class=\"nx-fk-panel nx-cx-p\" data-w=\"4\" data-t=\"table\"><div class=\"nx-fk-panel-head\"><div><h4 class=\"nx-fk-panel-title\">Scenario set<\/h4><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-fk-tablewrap\" data-fk-view=\"table:cx-foresight-method-stress-t0\"><table class=\"nx-fk-table\" data-fk-table=\"cx-foresight-method-stress-t0\" aria-label=\"Scenario set\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\" data-col=\"c0\" aria-sort=\"none\"><button type=\"button\" data-fk-sort=\"c0\">Scenario<\/button><\/th><th scope=\"col\" data-col=\"c1\" aria-sort=\"none\"><button type=\"button\" data-fk-sort=\"c1\">Severity<\/button><\/th><th scope=\"col\" data-col=\"c2\" data-num=\"true\" aria-sort=\"none\"><button type=\"button\" data-fk-sort=\"c2\">Impact index<\/button><\/th><th scope=\"col\" data-col=\"c3\" aria-sort=\"none\"><button type=\"button\" data-fk-sort=\"c3\">Against limit<\/button><\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr data-fk-key=\"cx-foresight-method-stress:r0-0\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"row\" aria-selected=\"false\"><td>Baseline<\/td><td>Central<\/td><td data-num=\"true\" data-sv=\"26\">26<\/td><td><span class=\"nx-fk-pill\" data-state=\"met\"><i aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>Within<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr data-fk-key=\"cx-foresight-method-stress:r0-1\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"row\" aria-selected=\"false\"><td>Adverse<\/td><td>1-in-25<\/td><td data-num=\"true\" data-sv=\"49\">49<\/td><td><span class=\"nx-fk-pill\" data-state=\"near\"><i aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>Close<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr data-fk-key=\"cx-foresight-method-stress:r0-2\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"row\" aria-selected=\"false\" aria-current=\"true\" data-cur=\"true\"><td>Severe<\/td><td>1-in-100<\/td><td data-num=\"true\" data-sv=\"76\">76<\/td><td><span class=\"nx-fk-pill\" data-state=\"not\"><i aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>Breach<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr data-fk-key=\"cx-foresight-method-stress:r0-3\" tabindex=\"0\" role=\"row\" aria-selected=\"false\"><td>Reverse stress<\/td><td>Find the break<\/td><td data-num=\"true\" data-sv=\"100\">100<\/td><td><span class=\"nx-fk-pill\" data-state=\"info\"><i aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>Defines edge<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-fk-panel nx-cx-p\" data-w=\"2\" data-t=\"kv\"><div class=\"nx-fk-panel-head\"><div><h4 class=\"nx-fk-panel-title\">Method card<\/h4><\/div><\/div><dl class=\"nx-fk-dl\"><div><dt>Method<\/dt><dd>Scenario design and stress testing<\/dd><\/div><div><dt>Narrative<\/dt><dd>compound shock<\/dd><\/div><div><dt>Horizon<\/dt><dd>4 years<\/dd><\/div><div><dt>Label<\/dt><dd><span class=\"nx-fk-pill\" data-state=\"info\"><i aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i>MODELLED<\/span><\/dd><\/div><\/dl><\/div><div class=\"nx-fk-panel nx-cx-p\" data-w=\"6\" data-t=\"chart\"><div class=\"nx-fk-panel-head\"><div><h4 class=\"nx-fk-panel-title\">Impact build-up, severe case<\/h4><\/div><\/div><svg class=\"nx-fk-svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 520 230\" width=\"520\" height=\"230\" role=\"img\" focusable=\"false\" preserveAspectRatio=\"xMidYMid meet\" aria-label=\"Impact build-up, severe case\" data-fk-chart=\"cx-foresight-method-stress-c2\" data-nx-z=\"vZbbcpswEIZfRbP3BnTgoA7irjO960zzBBiIrRoLDyiG9Al63Ufsk3SEhBMnEDvuJHcLg\/Zf\/Z+0S7pBZa7z1V5APlQdZGktVXV6t2llCWjAAhgDNBABIQ4APWIBmJuA2MDPUl0N+rROy2IHaBBAE0CP5hvqhYDMN6tcFdumFVCpErIg9c3Ld8hS5mQpuyxL43lZ8m7dOLGycXJRNcHzouzdooRYUUIuipJwXjQ6iZ4tr\/N1VY\/rjaixirxY3em81ZAVjdKtXD9o2SikGyT3h7zQSKqyGqbM\/iZL26p4yr7OW7APOwH9qg\/cUyFAqh0ZdUNbd0i8BFAvS70VwLgXA9pWcrPVlt648TO7ikapZ8mLMbtxDwexWT2MZyP0ImuhzW9MHKOXNh6dEad8R5tPQGIXCmCRCc682cuyrCvIGJ8suG\/aSm7U9\/VP48MzW3l02l0cP98dZZClpTyiYV+rTsBW68MX3+\/73uup17QbH3PO\/WGr9zWgos67ToAaVve7VW+Lzu4MotQv5TFL\/bMKLvDATzwOTTdud7LsTSKEeOwKINgBSULPnWiCqUfdRQo9d6rH6Bog2FYYBeaIv03k7+8\/ySITTLDZzUdj+Zb\/ytvyFi7kNZfJucm4\/+FCLBcSUUeFY8uExyN74qJrmNhLTGgy0hQQcY\/cxIRzt78PZfJ1ODTdQ1vdQoXOUBmdm4yb716RbTcXmFDLhLJgal40SqbmhTHzpnE3hteQoXYs4ND1L45NuiUy0SIZEn\/CXbk7yLpujlV7Cxj2Gsxk3sm7eTbcnvILbJgbyziZ+hhj0dTH3vwRmePCbIH2T8gUGIxpl8DEi2BoyD6jjf2oukOjupuuTDgz8CfvnHWzYMLrmk9oE8bYNR9MlubB04\/e6wlNyad0HrUwCv4B\"><\/svg><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-fk-tip\" aria-hidden=\"true\" hidden><\/div><figcaption class=\"nx-fk-cap\"><span>Scenario stress: the screen&#8217;s structure, terms and states for Foresight.<\/span><span data-honesty=\"true\">Example names and illustrative values; a design, not a record or a live system.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-data\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"risk\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-4\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-1-tab-3\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Data<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-4\" class=\"nx-section-title\">What the method consumes.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Datasets and records used by scenario design and stress testing on this platform, with the role each plays and the label its values carry. Sources are listed in <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/research\/sources\/\">the source register<\/a>.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\" data-lv=\"register\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Data<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Role<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Label<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Data\">Driver and trend registers<\/td><td data-label=\"Role\">Inputs to the choice of critical uncertainties<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">REPORTED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Data\">Published scenario sets from public bodies<\/td><td data-label=\"Role\">Comparison and reuse of scenario logic<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">Published statistics<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Data\">Integrated assessment model pathways<\/td><td data-label=\"Role\">Quantified background for climate and energy scenarios<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">MODELLED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Data\">Workshop and exercise records<\/td><td data-label=\"Role\">Participation, challenges raised and decisions tested<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">REPORTED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Data\">Historical analogues and past crises<\/td><td data-label=\"Role\">Plausibility and severity reference<\/td><td data-label=\"Label\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">OBSERVED<\/span><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"data\" data-nxf-kind=\"data\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/grf\/R04\/stem\/scenario-stress\/#data\" data-nxf-title=\"Method record\" data-nxf-height=\"520\" hidden><\/div><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"evidence\" data-nxf-kind=\"evidence\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/grf\/R04\/stem\/scenario-stress\/#evidence\" data-nxf-title=\"Evidence\" data-nxf-height=\"520\" hidden><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-instrument\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"systemic\" data-ns-layout=\"es-wide\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-5\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-1-tab-4\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Policy scenarios<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-5\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Compare instruments: rules, incentives and information.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Three families of instruments side by side against the baseline, each with its own lag and adoption speed, under the coverage and compliance you set; effect sizes are teaching values to replace with evidence. Scenario: named assumptions about the future, not a forecast.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><figure class=\"nx-in nx-fk\" id=\"nx-in-foresight-stem-scenario-stress-0\" data-nxi=\"policy\" data-nxi-id=\"policy\" data-nxi-z=\"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\" aria-label=\"Compare instruments: rules, incentives and information\"><div class=\"nx-in-body\"><div class=\"nx-in-main\"><div class=\"nx-in-tabs\" data-nxi-tabs=\"true\" aria-label=\"Views of the model\" hidden><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-in-tab\" data-nxi-view=\"result\">Result<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-in-tab\" data-nxi-view=\"fan\">Uncertainty<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-in-tab\" data-nxi-view=\"tornado\">Sensitivity<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-in-tab\" data-nxi-view=\"loops\">Loops<\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-in-stage\" id=\"nx-in-foresight-stem-scenario-stress-0-stage\" data-nxi-stage=\"true\" data-view=\"result\"><svg class=\"nx-in-svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 720 340\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Outcome by option\" data-nx-z=\"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\"><\/svg><\/div><p class=\"nx-in-tip\" data-nxi-tip=\"true\" aria-live=\"polite\"><\/p><div class=\"nx-in-bar\" data-nxi-bar=\"true\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Play over time\" hidden><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-in-btn\" data-nxi-prev=\"true\" aria-label=\"Step back\">&#8249;<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-in-btn\" data-nxi-play=\"true\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Play<\/button><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-in-btn\" data-nxi-next=\"true\" aria-label=\"Step forward\">&#8250;<\/button><span class=\"nx-in-step\" data-nxi-step=\"true\" aria-live=\"polite\"><\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-in-side\"><p class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Controls<\/p><div class=\"nx-in-ctl\" data-nxi-ctl=\"true\"><dl class=\"nx-in-pv\"><div><dt>Baseline trend of the outcome<\/dt><dd>2.0% a year<\/dd><\/div><div><dt>Coverage of the instrument<\/dt><dd>70%<\/dd><\/div><div><dt>Compliance<\/dt><dd>75%<\/dd><\/div><div><dt>Effect size, against the teaching value<\/dt><dd>100%<\/dd><\/div><div><dt>Years ahead<\/dt><dd>20 years<\/dd><\/div><\/dl><\/div><p class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Readouts<\/p><dl class=\"nx-in-out\" data-nxi-out=\"true\" aria-live=\"polite\"><div><dt>Largest reduction at the horizon<\/dt><dd>Regulation<\/dd><\/div><div><dt>Its reduction against the baseline<\/dt><dd>21%<\/dd><\/div><\/dl><\/div><\/div><details class=\"nx-in-more\"><summary>Numbers, methods and sources<\/summary><div class=\"nx-in-more-in\"><div class=\"nx-in-tblw\" data-nxi-table=\"true\"><table class=\"nx-in-tbl\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Year<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Baseline<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Regulation<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Economic incentive<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Information and capacity<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><th scope=\"row\">0<\/th><td>100.0<\/td><td>99.5<\/td><td>98.8<\/td><td>99.1<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">1<\/th><td>102.0<\/td><td>101.2<\/td><td>100.1<\/td><td>99.8<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">2<\/th><td>104.0<\/td><td>102.5<\/td><td>101.1<\/td><td>99.9<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">3<\/th><td>106.1<\/td><td>103.5<\/td><td>101.6<\/td><td>100.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">4<\/th><td>108.2<\/td><td>103.7<\/td><td>101.8<\/td><td>100.7<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">5<\/th><td>110.4<\/td><td>103.2<\/td><td>101.7<\/td><td>102.1<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">6<\/th><td>112.6<\/td><td>102.0<\/td><td>101.6<\/td><td>103.9<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">7<\/th><td>114.9<\/td><td>100.4<\/td><td>101.6<\/td><td>105.9<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">8<\/th><td>117.2<\/td><td>99.2<\/td><td>102.1<\/td><td>108.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">9<\/th><td>119.5<\/td><td>98.6<\/td><td>102.9<\/td><td>110.1<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">10<\/th><td>121.9<\/td><td>98.9<\/td><td>104.2<\/td><td>112.3<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">11<\/th><td>124.3<\/td><td>99.7<\/td><td>105.7<\/td><td>114.5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">12<\/th><td>126.8<\/td><td>101.1<\/td><td>107.4<\/td><td>116.8<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">13<\/th><td>129.4<\/td><td>102.7<\/td><td>109.4<\/td><td>119.2<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">14<\/th><td>131.9<\/td><td>104.5<\/td><td>111.4<\/td><td>121.6<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">15<\/th><td>134.6<\/td><td>106.5<\/td><td>113.5<\/td><td>124.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">16<\/th><td>137.3<\/td><td>108.5<\/td><td>115.7<\/td><td>126.5<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">17<\/th><td>140.0<\/td><td>110.7<\/td><td>118.0<\/td><td>129.0<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">18<\/th><td>142.8<\/td><td>112.9<\/td><td>120.4<\/td><td>131.6<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">19<\/th><td>145.7<\/td><td>115.1<\/td><td>122.8<\/td><td>134.2<\/td><\/tr><tr><th scope=\"row\">20<\/th><td>148.6<\/td><td>117.4<\/td><td>125.2<\/td><td>136.9<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><button type=\"button\" class=\"nx-in-btn\" data-nxi-csv=\"true\" hidden>Download the numbers (CSV)<\/button><h4 class=\"nx-h4\">Methods<\/h4><ol class=\"nx-in-meth\"><li>Tools of government <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Hood (1983), The Tools of Government, Macmillan<\/span><\/li><li>Carrots, sticks and sermons <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Bemelmans-Videc, Rist and Vedung (1998), Transaction<\/span><\/li><li>Diffusion of innovations <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Rogers (2003), Diffusion of Innovations, Free Press<\/span><\/li><li>Uncertainty fan (parameter Monte Carlo) <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Spiegelhalter, Pearson and Short (2011), Visualising uncertainty about the future, Science 333<\/span><\/li><li>One-at-a-time sensitivity (tornado) <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Saltelli and others (2008), Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer, Wiley<\/span><\/li><\/ol><h4 class=\"nx-h4\">Data<\/h4><p class=\"nx-p\">The model runs on the teaching values set by the controls. To calibrate it for a place, read it against these admitted layers and series, which this page&#8217;s map can draw:<\/p><ul class=\"nx-in-src\"><li>Borders <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Natural Earth<\/span><\/li><li>Cities <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Natural Earth<\/span><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/details><figcaption class=\"nx-caption\">Compare instruments: rules, incentives and information. Illustrative teaching model: it runs on the values set by the controls, not on measured data. Methods: Tools of government (Hood (1983), The Tools of Government, Macmillan); Carrots, sticks and sermons (Bemelmans-Videc, Rist and Vedung (1998), Transaction); Diffusion of innovations (Rogers (2003), Diffusion of Innovations, Free Press).<\/figcaption><div class=\"nx-in-pls\"><p class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Across the six pillars, led by Nexus Consortium<\/p><ul class=\"nx-in-pl\" aria-label=\"Where this instrument connects across the pillars\"><li data-pillar=\"labs\" data-hue=\"social\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Experiments<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-labs\/\">Labs<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Built in<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/foundry\/\">Foresight Nexus in Foundry<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Tested at<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/universe\/\">Foresight Nexus in Universe<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Codified in<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/systemic-risk\/\">Systemic Risks in Standards<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"reports\" data-hue=\"energy\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Published in<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/reports\/\">Foresight Nexus in Reports<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"academy\" data-hue=\"risk\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Taught in<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/risk-science\/\">Faculty of Risk Science and Methods in Academy<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><span class=\"nx-in-keep\" hidden><i data-c=\"c1\"><\/i><i data-c=\"c2\"><\/i><i data-c=\"c3\"><\/i><i data-c=\"c4\"><\/i><i data-c=\"c5\"><\/i><i data-c=\"c6\"><\/i><i data-c=\"l0\"><\/i><i data-c=\"l1\"><\/i><i data-c=\"l2\"><\/i><i data-c=\"l3\"><\/i><i data-c=\"l5\"><\/i><i data-c=\"h3\"><\/i><i data-c=\"neg\"><\/i><i data-c=\"on0\"><\/i><i data-c=\"on1\"><\/i><i data-l=\"0\"><\/i><i data-l=\"1\"><\/i><i data-l=\"2\"><\/i><i data-l=\"3\"><\/i><i data-l=\"4\"><\/i><i data-l=\"5\"><\/i><i data-on=\"0\"><\/i><i data-on=\"1\"><\/i><i data-pol=\"p\"><\/i><i data-pol=\"n\"><\/i><i data-k=\"R\"><\/i><i data-k=\"B\"><\/i><i data-k=\"dash\"><\/i><i data-dash=\"true\"><\/i><i data-view=\"result\"><\/i><i data-nxi-live=\"on\"><\/i><i data-nxi-live=\"off\"><\/i><i class=\"nx-in-svg nx-in-grid nx-in-ax nx-in-tk nx-in-at nx-in-ln nx-in-band nx-in-lbl nx-in-lk nx-in-ref nx-in-reft nx-in-mk nx-in-x nx-in-rect nx-in-val nx-in-rowl nx-in-cl nx-in-arrow nx-in-pol nx-in-cln nx-in-loop nx-in-edge nx-in-node nx-in-nl nx-in-reach nx-in-trib nx-in-agent nx-in-flow nx-in-legend nx-in-sw nx-in-note nx-in-loops nx-in-3d nx-in-cv nx-in-field nx-in-fl nx-in-fv nx-in-range nx-in-btn nx-in-err nx-in-tbl nx-in-cite\"><\/i><\/span><\/figure><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-section\" data-band=\"auto\" data-band-id=\"nx-band-2\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-hue=\"risk\" aria-label=\"Validation, Implementation, Connections, Instruments and commitments\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-hm-band nx-band\" data-nx-tabs=\"true\" data-active=\"p1\"><div class=\"nx-tablist nx-hm-tabs\" role=\"tablist\" aria-label=\"Validation, Implementation, Connections, Instruments and commitments\"><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-2-tab-1\" aria-controls=\"nx-sec-checks\" aria-selected=\"true\" data-key=\"p1\">Validation<\/button><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-2-tab-2\" aria-controls=\"nx-sec-instrument-2\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-key=\"p2\">Implementation<\/button><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-2-tab-3\" aria-controls=\"nx-sec-connections\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-key=\"p3\">Connections<\/button><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-2-tab-4\" aria-controls=\"nx-sec-audience\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-key=\"p4\">Instruments and commitments<\/button><\/div><section id=\"nx-sec-checks\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"risk\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-6\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-2-tab-1\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">06<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Validation<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-6\" class=\"nx-section-title\">How results are checked.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Scenarios are reviewed for plausibility, internal consistency and severity relative to history. Exercise outcomes are compared with actual events when they occur.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Check<\/th><th scope=\"col\">How it is done<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Check\">Internal consistency<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is done\">A cross-impact or consistency matrix confirms that the elements of each scenario can coexist<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Check\">Divergence and coverage<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is done\">The set is checked to span futures that would call for different responses, not variants of one future<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Check\">Challenge by outsiders<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is done\">Participants from outside the commissioning institution review the assumptions before the set is used<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Check\">Retrospective review<\/td><td data-label=\"How it is done\">As events unfold, the set is compared with what happened to learn what it missed<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-3\">Scenario choice can reflect prevailing assumptions and miss novel combinations. Results depend on how participants and models represent responses.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-instrument-2\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"systemic\" data-ns-layout=\"es-wide\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-7\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-2-tab-2\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">07<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Implementation<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-7\" class=\"nx-section-title\">From mandate to evaluation, by pillar.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The steps an instrument takes from mandate to evaluation, each with the pillar that runs it, and the decisions that stay with the authority. Teaching model with stated illustrative values, not a prediction.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><figure class=\"nx-in nx-fk\" id=\"nx-in-foresight-stem-scenario-stress-1\" aria-label=\"From mandate to evaluation, by pillar\"><ol class=\"nx-in-steps\"><li><strong>Mandate and problem framing<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Competent authority (outside the programme)<\/span><br>A competent authority frames the problem and the mandate under its own rules. <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009)<\/span><\/li><li><strong>Evidence and system model<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Foundry<\/span><br>The system is modelled with its feedbacks, data and stated limits. <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">OECD (2014), principle 2<\/span><\/li><li><strong>Options appraised with scenarios<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Foundry<\/span><br>Instruments are compared under scenarios, with uncertainty shown. <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Hood (1983)<\/span><\/li><li><strong>Exercise with stakeholders<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Universe<\/span><br>The options are tested in an exercise with those who would implement and bear them. <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">OECD (2014), principle 3<\/span><\/li><li><strong>Standard or guidance drafted<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Nexus Standards<\/span><br>What works is codified as a standard or guidance, open to comment. <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Nexus Standards process<\/span><\/li><li><strong>Decision by the authority<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Competent authority (outside the programme)<\/span><br>The authority decides, outside the programme, with the evidence on record. <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009)<\/span><\/li><li><strong>Capacity and training<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Risk Academy<\/span><br>Those who implement are trained on the decided instrument and its data. <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Sendai Framework (2015), priority 2<\/span><\/li><li><strong>Monitoring and public report<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Reports<\/span><br>Indicators are published with sources, limits and corrections. <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">OECD (2014), principle 5<\/span><\/li><li><strong>Evaluation and revision<\/strong> <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Nexus Standards<\/span><br>Results return to the standard and the model: the cycle closes. <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009)<\/span><\/li><\/ol><h4 class=\"nx-h4\">Methods<\/h4><ol class=\"nx-in-meth\"><li>Policy cycle <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Howlett, Ramesh and Perl (2009), Studying Public Policy, Oxford University Press<\/span><\/li><li>Governance of critical risks <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">OECD (2014), Recommendation of the Council on the Governance of Critical Risks<\/span><\/li><li>Layered drawing of directed graphs <span class=\"nx-in-cite\">Sugiyama, Tagawa and Toda (1981), IEEE SMC 11<\/span><\/li><\/ol><figcaption class=\"nx-caption\">From mandate to evaluation, by pillar: the steps as recorded, each with its pillar; sources as cited on each step.<\/figcaption><div class=\"nx-in-pls\"><p class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Across the six pillars, led by Nexus Consortium<\/p><ul class=\"nx-in-pl\" aria-label=\"Where this instrument connects across the pillars\"><li data-pillar=\"labs\" data-hue=\"social\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Experiments<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/nexus-labs\/\">Labs<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"foundry\" data-hue=\"infrastructure\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Built in<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/foundry\/\">Foresight Nexus in Foundry<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"universe\" data-hue=\"water\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Tested at<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/universe\/\">Foresight Nexus in Universe<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"standards\" data-hue=\"biodiversity\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Codified in<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/systemic-risk\/\">Systemic Risks in Standards<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"reports\" data-hue=\"energy\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Published in<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/reports\/\">Foresight Nexus in Reports<\/a><\/li><li data-pillar=\"academy\" data-hue=\"risk\"><span class=\"nx-pl-dot\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-in-plv\">Taught in<\/span> <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/risk-science\/\">Faculty of Risk Science and Methods in Academy<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><span class=\"nx-in-keep\" hidden><i data-c=\"c1\"><\/i><i data-c=\"c2\"><\/i><i data-c=\"c3\"><\/i><i data-c=\"c4\"><\/i><i data-c=\"c5\"><\/i><i data-c=\"c6\"><\/i><i data-c=\"l0\"><\/i><i data-c=\"l1\"><\/i><i data-c=\"l2\"><\/i><i data-c=\"l3\"><\/i><i data-c=\"l5\"><\/i><i data-c=\"h3\"><\/i><i data-c=\"neg\"><\/i><i data-c=\"on0\"><\/i><i data-c=\"on1\"><\/i><i data-l=\"0\"><\/i><i data-l=\"1\"><\/i><i data-l=\"2\"><\/i><i data-l=\"3\"><\/i><i data-l=\"4\"><\/i><i data-l=\"5\"><\/i><i data-on=\"0\"><\/i><i data-on=\"1\"><\/i><i data-pol=\"p\"><\/i><i data-pol=\"n\"><\/i><i data-k=\"R\"><\/i><i data-k=\"B\"><\/i><i data-k=\"dash\"><\/i><i data-dash=\"true\"><\/i><i data-view=\"result\"><\/i><i data-nxi-live=\"on\"><\/i><i data-nxi-live=\"off\"><\/i><i class=\"nx-in-svg nx-in-grid nx-in-ax nx-in-tk nx-in-at nx-in-ln nx-in-band nx-in-lbl nx-in-lk nx-in-ref nx-in-reft nx-in-mk nx-in-x nx-in-rect nx-in-val nx-in-rowl nx-in-cl nx-in-arrow nx-in-pol nx-in-cln nx-in-loop nx-in-edge nx-in-node nx-in-nl nx-in-reach nx-in-trib nx-in-agent nx-in-flow nx-in-legend nx-in-sw nx-in-note nx-in-loops nx-in-3d nx-in-cv nx-in-field nx-in-fl nx-in-fv nx-in-range nx-in-btn nx-in-err nx-in-tbl nx-in-cite\"><\/i><\/span><\/figure><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-connections\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"risk\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-8\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-2-tab-3\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">08<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Connections<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-8\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Topics that rely on this method.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-list\" data-nav=\"true\"><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/horizon-scanning\/\"><span>Horizon scanning<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/strategic-scenarios\/\"><span>Strategic scenarios<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/deep-uncertainty\/\"><span>Deep uncertainty<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/technology-futures\/\"><span>Technology futures<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/geopolitical-futures\/\"><span>Geopolitical futures<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/demographic-and-social-futures\/\"><span>Demographic and social futures<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/future-generations\/\"><span>Future generations<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/foresight-in-decisions\/\"><span>Foresight in decisions<\/span><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-audience\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"systemic\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-9\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-2-tab-4\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">09<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Instruments and commitments<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-9\" class=\"nx-section-title\">How scenario design and stress testing for foresight is governed: instruments, mandates and commitments.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The instruments, mandates, actors and accountability arrangements a policymaker, diplomat or development agency works with, citing the agreements that set them. Structures follow the frameworks named. Any state or progress drawn is illustrative, not a record.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-au\" data-au-voice=\"governance\" data-au-n=\"1\"><figure class=\"nx-au-c\" data-au-fig=\"instrument-matrix\"><h3 class=\"nx-h4\">Policy instrument matrix<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-au-what\">The kinds of instrument available on scenario design and stress testing for foresight, by level of government and cooperation.<\/p><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Instrument type<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Local<\/th><th scope=\"col\">National<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Regional<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Global<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Instrument type\"><strong>Regulatory<\/strong><\/td><td data-label=\"Local\">Zoning, building codes<\/td><td data-label=\"National\">Laws, standards, licensing<\/td><td data-label=\"Regional\">Harmonised rules<\/td><td data-label=\"Global\">Conventions and treaties<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Instrument type\"><strong>Economic<\/strong><\/td><td data-label=\"Local\">Local levies, grants<\/td><td data-label=\"National\">Budget lines, taxes, insurance schemes<\/td><td data-label=\"Regional\">Risk pools, regional funds<\/td><td data-label=\"Global\">Financing mechanisms<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Instrument type\"><strong>Information<\/strong><\/td><td data-label=\"Local\">Local warnings<\/td><td data-label=\"National\">Disclosure, early warning, statistics<\/td><td data-label=\"Regional\">Data sharing arrangements<\/td><td data-label=\"Global\">Global monitoring and reporting<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Instrument type\"><strong>Institutional<\/strong><\/td><td data-label=\"Local\">Local committees<\/td><td data-label=\"National\">Lead agencies, coordination councils<\/td><td data-label=\"Regional\">Regional bodies and secretariats<\/td><td data-label=\"Global\">Multilateral mandates<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Instrument type\"><strong>Cooperative<\/strong><\/td><td data-label=\"Local\">Community agreements<\/td><td data-label=\"National\">Partnership compacts<\/td><td data-label=\"Regional\">Memoranda and joint programmes<\/td><td data-label=\"Global\">Agreements and joint commitments<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><figcaption class=\"nx-caption\"><span>A typology after the OECD Recommendation on the Governance of Critical Risks; examples of instrument types, not an inventory of any country&#8217;s measures.<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div><div class=\"nx-chips nx-au-fw\" aria-label=\"Frameworks cited\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction \u00b7 UNDRR<\/span><span class=\"nx-chip\">Paris Agreement \u00b7 UNFCCC<\/span><span class=\"nx-chip\">2030 Agenda and the Sustainable Development Goals \u00b7 United Nations<\/span><span class=\"nx-chip\">International Health Regulations \u00b7 WHO<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-section\" data-band=\"auto\" data-band-id=\"nx-band-3\" data-hue=\"risk\" aria-label=\"Stewardship, Connected, Questions\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-hm-band nx-band\" data-nx-tabs=\"true\" data-active=\"p1\"><div class=\"nx-tablist nx-hm-tabs\" role=\"tablist\" aria-label=\"Stewardship, Connected, Questions\"><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-3-tab-1\" aria-controls=\"nx-sec-stewardship\" aria-selected=\"true\" data-key=\"p1\">Stewardship<\/button><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-3-tab-2\" aria-controls=\"nx-s-11-sec\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-key=\"p2\">Connected<\/button><button class=\"nx-tab\" type=\"button\" role=\"tab\" id=\"nx-band-3-tab-3\" aria-controls=\"nx-s-12-sec\" aria-selected=\"false\" data-key=\"p3\">Questions<\/button><\/div><section id=\"nx-sec-stewardship\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"risk\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-10\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-3-tab-1\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">10<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Stewardship<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-10\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Who maintains the method.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/risk-management\/\">Systemic Risk Management<\/a> stewards scenario design and stress testing for the Consortium and reviews how it is applied across platforms.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><p class=\"nx-p\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/mathematics\/scenario-stress\/\">Canonical page: Scenario design and stress testing<\/a><\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-11-sec\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"systemic\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-11\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-3-tab-2\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">11<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Connected<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-11\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Where this page leads across the Consortium.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-dest\"><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/risk-management\/stem\/scenario-stress\/\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Steward platform<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\"><abbr title=\"The Global Centre for Risk and Innovation\">GCRI<\/abbr><\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Scenario design and stress testing<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Systemic Risk Management stewards this method.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-12-sec\" class=\"nx-section nx-band-panel\" data-hue=\"risk\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-12\" role=\"tabpanel\" data-band-tab=\"nx-band-3-tab-3\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">12<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Questions<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-12\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Questions and answers.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-faq\"><details><summary>What are the limits of scenario design and stress testing in this field?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">Scenario choice can reflect prevailing assumptions and miss novel combinations. Results depend on how participants and models represent responses.<\/div><\/details><details><summary>How are results checked?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">Scenarios are reviewed for plausibility, internal consistency and severity relative to history. Exercise outcomes are compared with actual events when they occur.<\/div><\/details><details><summary>Are the values on this page real?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">The data names, roles and checks are real descriptions of practice. The canvas shows a design of the method&#8217;s use, not a run; no result is reported here.<\/div><\/details><details><summary>Where else is this method applied?<\/summary><div class=\"nx-answer\">The <a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/therisk.global\/stem\/mathematics\/scenario-stress\/\">canonical method page<\/a> lists every platform that applies it.<\/div><\/details><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-nr-gateway\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"systemic\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-nr-gateway-h\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Contribute<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-nr-gateway-h\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Contribute evidence from this page.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\"><a class=\"nx-link\" href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/programme\/reports\">Reports<\/a> is the Consortium&#8217;s quarterly publication. What you know about this subject can become evidence, a case or a correction in the next edition, credited to you and published under CC BY 4.0 where it is your own work.<\/p><div class=\"nx-chips\"><span class=\"nx-chip\">Global Risks Forum<\/span><span class=\"nx-chip\">Foresight Nexus<\/span><span class=\"nx-chip\">Foresight Outlook<\/span><span class=\"nx-chip\">Scenario and Stress-Test<\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><ul class=\"nx-dest\"><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/write-to-us\/contact\/\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Email<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Gateway GW-GRF<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Send it from this page<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Evidence, a correction, a case, a method, a review, a translation or profile input. It arrives tagged with this page, so the editor who owns it receives it.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/open-science\/#nx-sec-zenodo\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Zenodo<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Open deposit<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">Deposit it and submit to the community<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">Publish your own record on Zenodo with your ORCID iD, then submit it to the Reports community there. Curators review it; the DOI stays yours.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"nx-dest-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/nexus-reports\/contribute\/\"><span class=\"nx-dest-top\"><span class=\"nx-dest-rel\">Reports<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-host\">Global Risks Forum<\/span><\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-title\">See every way to contribute<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-why\">The contribution types, how each is reviewed, what credit you receive, the licence and what is never accepted.<\/span><span class=\"nx-dest-go\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"nx-live-slot\" data-nxf-slot=\"contribute\" data-nxf-kind=\"workflow\" data-nxf-resource=\"nexus:\/\/grf\/foresight\/stem\/scenario-stress#contribute\" data-nxf-title=\"Contribute evidence\" data-nxf-height=\"480\" hidden><\/div><p class=\"nx-note nx-mt-3\">Never send personal data, sensitive infrastructure detail or anything you have no right to share. A contribution is reviewed before use; sending it confers no authorship or editorial rights, and sponsorship never buys a finding.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-section nx-deeper-band\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-deeper-obalriskforum-com-foresight-stem-scenario-stress-h\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><nav class=\"nx-deeper\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-deeper-obalriskforum-com-foresight-stem-scenario-stress-h\" data-nx-deeper=\"3\" data-nx-resources=\"1 1 1\"><h2 class=\"nx-deeper-h\" id=\"nx-deeper-obalriskforum-com-foresight-stem-scenario-stress-h\">Go deeper<\/h2><ul><li><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.therisk.global\/organization\/model\/scenarios\/heatwave\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Documentation:<\/span> Heatwave<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/risksacademy.com\/systems-nexus\/global-catastrophic-risk\/\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Academy:<\/span> Global catastrophic risks<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/nexustandards.com\/systemic-risk\/global-and-systemic-risk\/\" data-ext><span class=\"nx-deeper-k\">Standards:<\/span> Global and systemic risk<span class=\"nx-deeper-x\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u2197<\/span><span class=\"nx-deeper-sr\"> (opens another site)<\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-closing\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-close-13\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Foresight Nexus<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-close-13\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Bring a governance question to the Forum.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Information and enquiries are open today. 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