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class=\"nx-theme-toggle\" role=\"group\" aria-label=\"Appearance of this page\" hidden><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"light\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Light<\/button><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"dark\" aria-pressed=\"false\">Dark<\/button><button type=\"button\" data-mode=\"auto\" aria-pressed=\"true\">Auto<\/button><\/div><div class=\"nx-folio\" aria-label=\"Document reference\"><strong>R04 \u00b7 INDEX \u00b7 topics<\/strong>GRF dossier \u00b7 service level R0<\/div><div class=\"nx-hero-grid\"><div class=\"nx-hero-text\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">GRF<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00b7<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Foresight Nexus<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00b7<\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Established<\/span><\/div><div class=\"nx-accent-row\"><span class=\"nx-accent-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span>Foresight Nexus \u00b7 Topics<\/span><\/div><h1 id=\"nx-title-1\" class=\"nx-hero-title\">Topics<\/h1><p class=\"nx-tagline\">Topics at Foresight Nexus: the pages in this section are listed below, each with its own scope and status.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/horizon-scanning\/\">Open Horizon scanning <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/\">Back to Foresight Nexus<\/a><\/div><\/div><div class=\"nx-hero-panel\"><div class=\"nx-register\" data-variant=\"ledger\"><div class=\"nx-register-head\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\"><strong>Foresight Nexus<\/strong><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Register<\/span><\/div><ol class=\"nx-register-rows\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/horizon-scanning\/\"><span class=\"nx-register-n\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Topic<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">Horizon scanning<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/strategic-scenarios\/\"><span class=\"nx-register-n\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Topic<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">Strategic scenarios<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/deep-uncertainty\/\"><span class=\"nx-register-n\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Topic<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">Deep uncertainty<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/technology-futures\/\"><span class=\"nx-register-n\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Topic<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">Technology futures<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/geopolitical-futures\/\"><span class=\"nx-register-n\">05<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Topic<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">Geopolitical futures<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/demographic-and-social-futures\/\"><span class=\"nx-register-n\">06<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Topic<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">Demographic and social futures<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/future-generations\/\"><span class=\"nx-register-n\">07<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Topic<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">Future generations<\/span><\/a><\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/foresight-in-decisions\/\"><span class=\"nx-register-n\">08<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-k\">Topic<\/span><span class=\"nx-register-v\">Foresight in decisions<\/span><\/a><\/li><\/ol><p class=\"nx-register-foot\">GRF \u00b7 Established \u00b7 service level R0<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section> <nav class=\"nx-index-strip\" data-nx-spy=\"true\" aria-label=\"On this page\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><a href=\"#nx-sec-brief-answer\"><span>01<\/span>The short answer<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-about-this-section\"><span>02<\/span>Topics at Foresight Nexus<\/a><a href=\"#nx-sec-terms\"><span>03<\/span>Terms used on this page<\/a><a href=\"#nx-s-5-sec\"><span>04<\/span>Pages in Topics<\/a><\/div><\/nav> <section id=\"nx-sec-brief-answer\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"systemic\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-2\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">01<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">In brief<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-2\" class=\"nx-section-title\">The short answer.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The Foresight Nexus topics are the eight subject dossiers of its field, among them horizon scanning, strategic scenarios and deep uncertainty. Each dossier sets out how the risk develops, what is measured and in which units, the public sources and their licences, the methods, who decides and the limits of the evidence.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-about-this-section\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"risk\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-3\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">02<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">About this section<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-3\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Topics at Foresight Nexus.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">GRF convenes and governs programmes. It does not regulate, finance, procure or certify, and hosting or sponsorship confers no authority over findings.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-sec-terms\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"systemic\" data-tone=\"alt\" data-variant=\"stack\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-4\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">03<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Key terms<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-4\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Terms used on this page.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">Each term as this page uses it. Where a standard-setting body defines the term, the wording follows that body.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-table-wrap\"><table class=\"nx-table\" data-stack=\"true\"><thead><tr><th scope=\"col\">Term<\/th><th scope=\"col\">Definition<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Weak signal<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">An early, ambiguous indication of a change that may grow in significance.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Critical uncertainty<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">A driver that is both highly uncertain and highly important, used to define scenario axes.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Regret<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">The difference between an option's outcome in a given future and the best outcome available in that future.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Technology convergence<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">The combination of technologies from different fields into new capabilities.<\/td><\/tr><tr><td data-label=\"Term\">Forecasting tournament<\/td><td data-label=\"Definition\">A competition in which forecasters predict well-defined questions and are scored on accuracy.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section id=\"nx-s-5-sec\" class=\"nx-section\" data-hue=\"risk\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-s-5\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><div class=\"nx-section-head\"><div class=\"nx-eyebrow-row\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">04<\/span><span class=\"nx-rule\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/span><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Pages<\/span><\/div><h2 id=\"nx-s-5\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Pages in Topics.<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"nx-section-body\"><div class=\"nx-cards\" data-cols=\"3\"><a class=\"nx-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/horizon-scanning\/\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Topic<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Horizon scanning<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Signals, emergence and source quality.<\/p><\/a><a class=\"nx-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/strategic-scenarios\/\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Topic<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Strategic scenarios<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Plausible alternative futures.<\/p><\/a><a class=\"nx-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/deep-uncertainty\/\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Topic<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Deep uncertainty<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Methods when probabilities are contested.<\/p><\/a><a class=\"nx-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/technology-futures\/\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Topic<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Technology futures<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Emerging and converging technology.<\/p><\/a><a class=\"nx-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/geopolitical-futures\/\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Topic<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Geopolitical futures<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Political economy and strategic shocks.<\/p><\/a><a class=\"nx-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/demographic-and-social-futures\/\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Topic<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Demographic and social futures<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Ageing, migration, trust and cohesion.<\/p><\/a><a class=\"nx-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/future-generations\/\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Topic<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Future generations<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Long-term public value and stewardship.<\/p><\/a><a class=\"nx-card\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/foresight-in-decisions\/\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Topic<\/span><h3 class=\"nx-h4 nx-mt-2\">Foresight in decisions<\/h3><p class=\"nx-p nx-mt-1\">Scenario-informed policy, not predictions.<\/p><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-section\" data-tone=\"alt\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-rel-6\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Related<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-rel-6\" class=\"nx-h3 nx-mt-2\">Around Foresight Nexus.<\/h2><nav class=\"nx-related nx-mt-3\" aria-label=\"Related\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/about\/\">Mandate, publisher and status <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/field\/\">Discipline and institutional issues <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/research\/\">Research and institutional knowledge <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/practice\/\">Professional practice <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/dialogues\/\">Dialogues and cooperation <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/programmes\/\">Programmes and projects <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/\">Foresight Nexus home <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/counterparts\/\">Counterparts across the Consortium <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/\">The Global Risks Forum home <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/trust\/\">GRF governance and trust <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><\/nav><\/div><\/section><section class=\"nx-closing\" aria-labelledby=\"nx-close-7\"><div class=\"nx-container\"><span class=\"nx-eyebrow\">Foresight Nexus<\/span><h2 id=\"nx-close-7\" class=\"nx-section-title\">Bring your expertise to this field.<\/h2><p class=\"nx-lede\">The current service level is R0: information and enquiries. An enquiry receives a reference and names the next step; applications, payments, compute allocations and registrations open only when their team, terms and review capacity exist.<\/p><div class=\"nx-actions\"><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"primary\" href=\"mailto:contact@globalriskforum.com?subject=Foresight%20Nexus%3A%20Topics\">Write to the team <svg class=\"nx-arrow\" viewBox=\"0 0 16 16\" aria-hidden=\"true\" fill=\"none\" stroke=\"currentColor\" stroke-width=\"1.5\" stroke-linecap=\"round\" stroke-linejoin=\"round\"><path d=\"M3 8h10M9 4l4 4-4 4\"\/><\/svg><\/a><a class=\"nx-btn\" data-variant=\"secondary\" href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/contact\/\">See all contact routes<\/a><\/div><\/div><\/section><\/div><\/div><script class=\"_iub_cs_skip\">window.__nxMount ? window.__nxMount(document.currentScript) : null;<\/script>\n\n\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"DefinedTermSet\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/#terms\",\"name\":\"Key terms: Topics\",\"inLanguage\":\"en\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/#webpage\"},\"hasDefinedTerm\":[{\"@type\":\"DefinedTerm\",\"name\":\"Weak signal\",\"description\":\"An early, ambiguous indication of a change that may grow in significance.\",\"inDefinedTermSet\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/#terms\"}},{\"@type\":\"DefinedTerm\",\"name\":\"Critical uncertainty\",\"description\":\"A driver that is both highly uncertain and highly important, used to define scenario axes.\",\"inDefinedTermSet\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/#terms\"}},{\"@type\":\"DefinedTerm\",\"name\":\"Regret\",\"description\":\"The difference between an option's outcome in a given future and the best outcome available in that future.\",\"inDefinedTermSet\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/#terms\"}},{\"@type\":\"DefinedTerm\",\"name\":\"Technology convergence\",\"description\":\"The combination of technologies from different fields into new capabilities.\",\"inDefinedTermSet\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/#terms\"}},{\"@type\":\"DefinedTerm\",\"name\":\"Forecasting tournament\",\"description\":\"A competition in which forecasters predict well-defined questions and are scored on accuracy.\",\"inDefinedTermSet\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/#terms\"}}]}]}<\/script>\n\n<!-- nx-rev:a3dafaa987b4e16a -->\n<!-- nx-path:\/topics\/ -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>LightDarkAuto R04 \u00b7 INDEX \u00b7 topicsGRF dossier \u00b7 service level R0 GRF\u00b7Foresight Nexus\u00b7Established Foresight Nexus \u00b7 Topics Topics Topics at Foresight Nexus: the pages in this section are listed below, &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/topics\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Topics&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":346,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"elementor_header_footer","meta":{"_buddyx_sub_header_visibility":"","_buddyx_sub_header_title_visibility":"","_hide_show_side_panel":"","_buddyxpro_page_sidebar":"","_buddyxpro_page_disable_header":"","_buddyxpro_page_disable_footer":"","_buddyxpro_page_content_width":"","_buddyxpro_page_header_style":"","_buddyxpro_page_color_mode":"","_buddyxpro_page_loader":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-17491","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/17491","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17491"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/17491\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17656,"href":"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/17491\/revisions\/17656"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/globalriskforum.com\/foresight\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17491"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}